Marco Trungelliti vs Zdenek Kolar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
14/03/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali 2, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
43
Double Faults
13
1st serve percentage
60%73%
1st serve points won
74% (25/34)58% (28/48)
2nd serve points won
65% (15/23)50% (9/18)
Break Points Saved
2/28/11
1st return points won
44% (21/48)35% (12/34)
2nd return points won
50% (9/18)35% (8/23)
Break Points Converted
3/110/2
Winners
1519
Unforced errors
2636
Net points won
100% (3/3)50% (2/4)
Service Points Won
70% (40/57)58% (37/64)
Return Points Won
42% (27/64)30% (17/57)
Total Points Won
55% (67/121)45% (54/121)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
02
Service games won
100% (9/9)67% (6/9)
Return games won
33% (3/9)0% (0/9)
Total games won
67% (12/18)33% (6/18)

Chances of winning


Marco Trungelliti
37.3%
Zdenek Kolar
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.5% 53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4% 50.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marco Trungelliti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marco Trungelliti's form might have worsened.
  • Zdenek Kolar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zdenek Kolar's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marco Trungelliti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zdenek Kolar than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zdenek Kolar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Marco Trungelliti - Zdenek Kolar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.48
    (1.99)

    1.5
    (1.73)
    6.8%
    (8.1%)
    What is the prediction for Marco Trungelliti - Zdenek Kolar?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Trungelliti will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Kolar will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kolar: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kolar (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 132. Kolar is ranked ATP: 197.
    • Now, both players are in good form.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • We predict that Kolar will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Trungelliti won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marco Trungelliti - Zdenek Kolar were as follows:
    22.11.2025 Zdenek Kolar - Marco Trungelliti 2:1
    07.10.2025 Zdenek Kolar - Marco Trungelliti Canceled
    Latest results of Marco Trungelliti
    Latest results of Zdenek Kolar
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Martin Tiffon P.2 : 0
    2Forejtek J.Ouakaa A. (WC)2 : 0
    3Donski A. (Q)Johns G.2 : 0
    4Houkes M.Pavlovic L. (6)2 : 1
    5Carballes Baena R. (3)Vasa E. (Q)1 : 2
    6Nijboer R. (Q)Jianu F. C.0 : 2
    7Coulibaly E.Denolly C.0 : 2
    8Roca Batalla O.Kolar Z. (5)0 : 2
    9Cecchinato M. (8)Iradukunda G. (Q)2 : 0
    10Kopp S.Marrero Curbelo I. (LL)2 : 0
    11Erhard M.Martin A.1 : 2
    12Steiner M. (Q)Clarke J. (4)1 : 2
    13Schwaerzler J. J. (7)Napolitano S.0 : 2
    14Bax F.Neuchrist M. (WC)1 : 2
    15Pennaforti G. (Q)Cuenin S.0 : 2
    16Bouchelaghem C. (WC)Gea A. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Forejtek J.2 : 1
    2Donski A.Houkes M.0 : 2
    3Vasa E.Jianu F. C.0 : 2
    4Denolly C.Kolar Z. (5)0 : 2
    5Cecchinato M. (8)Kopp S.2 : 1
    6Martin A.Clarke J. (4)2 : 0
    7Napolitano S.Neuchrist M.2 : 1
    8Cuenin S. (RET.)Gea A. (2)0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Houkes M.2 : 1
    2Jianu F. C.Kolar Z. (5)0 : 2
    3Cecchinato M. (8)Martin A.2 : 0
    4Napolitano S.Gea A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Kolar Z. (5)2 : 0
    2Cecchinato M. (8)Gea A. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Cecchinato M. (8)2 : 1