Result
1:1
21/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 1
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', 0 - 1, Willy J. ⚽,
- 75', 1 - 1, Cloth J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Santa Lucia
49% | Draw
35.2% | Żebbuġ Rangers
15.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Lucia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santa Lucia's form might have worsened.Żebbuġ Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Lucia than the current prediction. (+17.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Lucia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Żebbuġ Rangers than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Santa Lucia - Żebbuġ Rangers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↑
(1.4) |
3.48 ↓
(4.27) |
7.72 ↑
(6.47) |
-18.2%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: ) and 15 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Lucia won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Santa Lucia is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Santa Lucia won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santa Lucia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Lucia won against Żebbuġ Rangers?
Santa Lucia has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Żebbuġ Rangers won against Santa Lucia?
Żebbuġ Rangers has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Lucia - Żebbuġ Rangers were as follows:
11.01.2026
Santa Lucia
-
Żebbuġ Rangers
0:0
27.02.2025
Żebbuġ Rangers
-
Santa Lucia
2:3
02.11.2024
Żebbuġ Rangers
-
Santa Lucia
1:2
20.01.2023
Santa Lucia
-
Żebbuġ Rangers
2:1
03.09.2022
Żebbuġ Rangers
-
Santa Lucia
2:0
Latest results of Santa Lucia
Latest results of Żebbuġ Rangers
Maltese Challenge League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mgarr | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 35:25 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | Santa Lucia | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 30:27 | 3 | 22 |
| 3 | Gudja | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 22 |
| 4 | Zurrieq | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 25:29 | -4 | 17 |
| 5 | Vittoriosa | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:27 | -6 | 16 |
| 6 | Zebbug | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 16:38 | -22 | 12 |
| 7 | Marsa | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 21:32 | -11 | 9 |
| 8 | Mtarfa | 17 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9:78 | -69 | -2 |
Relegation
