Result
1:0
12/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | Kora Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (257/356) | 75% (279/372) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (257/356) | 75% (279/372) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (17/65) | 33% (24/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (56/104) | 54% (52/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 57% (4/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.81 | -0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Sayed A. 🟨,
- 22', Farag N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', 1 - 0, Saber M. ⚽, Saad M. (A),
- 60', Mohamed A. ↓, El Nagaawy I. ↑,
- 60', Farag N. ↓, Wagdi M. ↑,
- 65', El Kot O. 🟨,
- 69', Katkot A. ↓, El Dah A. ↑,
- 69', Abdelsamia M. ↓, Al Nabris K. ↑,
- 71', Ahmed El Sageery 🟨,
- 72', Saber M. ↓, Messi ↑,
- 72', Saad M. ↓, Emad A. ↑,
- 77', Gamal A. 🟨,
- 82', Mazzika M. 🟨,
- 86', Castelo A. ↓, Gamal A. ↑,
- 89', Abdelrahman El Sakran ↓, Alaa H. ↑,
- 89', Atef A. ↓, Khalil R. ↑,
- 90+1', El Kot O. ↓, Zidan M. ↑,
- 90+2', Wagdi M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
ZED
47.2% | Draw
31.3% | Ismaily
21.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ZED has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Ismaily has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ismaily's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for ZED than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ZED, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ismaily than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ismaily, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
ZED - Ismaily Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.79) |
2.96 ↑
(2.93) |
4.29 ↓
(5.63) |
7.9%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for ZED - Ismaily?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ismaily (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
ZED will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 17 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ZED won 4.
- Recent performances by ZED have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ismaily's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, ZED is considered a favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, ZED won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, ZED won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has ZED won against Ismaily?
ZED has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ismaily won against ZED?
Ismaily has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between ZED - Ismaily were as follows:
28.04.2025
Ismaily
-
ZED
0:2
04.03.2025
ZED
-
Ismaily
2:2
27.08.2024
Ismaily
-
ZED
0:1
18.04.2024
Ismaily
-
ZED
1:2
19.09.2023
ZED
-
Ismaily
1:0
Latest results of Ismaily
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zamalek | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | Al Masry | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Pyramids | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Wadi Degla | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Petrojet | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 14 |
| 6 | Enppi | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6:3 | 3 | 13 |
| 8 | Al Ahly | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 | ZED | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 12 |
| 10 | Haras El Hodood | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 | Modern Sport | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Smouha | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 10 |
| 13 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 9 |
| 14 | El Gaish | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 9 |
| 15 | National Bank Egypt | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 8 |
| 16 | El Gouna | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 8 |
| 17 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:14 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Arab Contractors | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 2:7 | -5 | 5 |
| 19 | Al Ittihad | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3:10 | -7 | 5 |
| 20 | Pharco | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 4 |
| 21 | El Ismaily | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1:9 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )
