Result
5:0
15/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 27
- Referee: Ilic M. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 0.09 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 74% | 26% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (632/694) | 74% (188/253) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 0.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (632/694) | 74% (188/253) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (19/36) | 36% (15/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (99/143) | 50% (22/44) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (7/22) | 0% (0/2) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.15 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 27% (3/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -1.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', Knezevic B. 🟨,
- 21', Bojic P. 🟨,
- 32', Djurkovic J. 🟨,
- 34', Ljubomirac U. 🟨,
- 41', Djurkovic J. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 0, Pirgic S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 46', Ciric J. ↓, Milosevic A. ↑,
- 58', 2 - 0, Knezevic B. ⚽, Lhernault C. (A),
- 63', 3 - 0, Karikari K. ⚽,
- 65', Knezevic B. ↓, Jovanovic N. ↑,
- 69', Hadzic I. ↓, Todosijevic M. ↑,
- 69', Ljubomirac U. ↓, Tumbasevic J. ↑,
- 72', 4 - 0, Karikari K. ⚽, Pirgic S. (A),
- 75', Pedro S. ↓, Djuricic N. ↑,
- 75', Karikari K. ↓, Jovanovic D. ↑,
- 75', Lhernault C. ↓, Tosic D. ↑,
- 79', Zunic F. ↓, Kijevcanin V. ↑,
- 80', Tegeltija U. ↓, Yusif A. ↑,
- 85', Bojic P. ↓, Djokic D. ↑,
- 86', 5 - 0, Cirkovic N. (Own goal),
Chances of winning
Železničar Pančevo
61.3% | Draw
24.3% | Mladost Lučani
14.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Železničar Pančevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Mladost Lučani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Železničar Pančevo than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mladost Lučani than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Železničar Pančevo - Mladost Lučani Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↓
(1.53) |
3.8 ↑
(3.61) |
6.31 ↓
(6.57) |
8%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Železničar Pančevo - Mladost Lučani?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Železničar P (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Železničar Pančevo will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: ) and 14 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )).
- Železničar P has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Mladost Lučani has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Železničar P may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Železničar P is a strong favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Železničar P won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Železničar P won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Železničar Pančevo won against Mladost Lučani?
Železničar Pančevo has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mladost Lučani won against Železničar Pančevo?
Mladost Lučani has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Železničar Pančevo - Mladost Lučani were as follows:
19.10.2025
Mladost Lučani
-
Železničar Pančevo
2:1
03.03.2025
Mladost Lučani
-
Železničar Pančevo
1:1
05.10.2024
Železničar Pančevo
-
Mladost Lučani
1:2
02.12.2023
Mladost Lučani
-
Železničar Pančevo
1:0
05.08.2023
Železničar Pančevo
-
Mladost Lučani
0:2
Latest results of Železničar Pančevo
Latest results of Mladost Lučani
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crvena zvezda ✔ | 28 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 82:20 | 62 | 69 |
| 2 | Vojvodina ✔ | 28 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 52:27 | 25 | 58 |
| 3 | Partizan ✔ | 28 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 59:37 | 22 | 57 |
| 4 | Novi Pazar ✔ | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 36:32 | 4 | 47 |
| 5 | Zeleznicar Pancevo ✔ | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 38:29 | 9 | 45 |
| 6 | Radnik | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 36:33 | 3 | 38 |
| 7 | Cukaricki | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 42:43 | -1 | 38 |
| 8 | OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 36 |
| 9 | Radnicki 1923 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 34 |
| 10 | Radnicki Nis | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 33:37 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 | IMT Novi Beograd | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 32:48 | -16 | 33 |
| 12 | TSC | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 23:31 | -8 | 31 |
| 13 | Javor | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 26:36 | -10 | 31 |
| 14 | Mladost ✔ | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 20:45 | -25 | 28 |
| 15 | Sp. Subotica ✔ | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 31:50 | -19 | 21 |
| 16 | Napredak ✔ | 28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 25:61 | -36 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )
Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Crvena zvezda is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Vojvodina is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Partizan is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Novi Pazar is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Zeleznicar Pancevo is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
Mladost is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
Sp. Subotica is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
Napredak is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
