Zhizhen Zhang vs Aslan Karatsev – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Almaty Zhizhen Zhang - Aslan Karatsev
Result
0:2
15/10/2024 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Almaty (Kazakhstan), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
613
Double Faults
02
1st Serve Percentage
69%68%
1st Serve Points Won
80% (36/45)81% (38/47)
2nd Serve Points Won
45% (9/20)50% (11/22)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/1)100% (1/1)
1st Return Points Won
19% (9/47)20% (9/45)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (11/22)55% (11/20)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/1)100% (1/1)
Winners
2330
Unforced Errors
2324
Net Points Won
100% (5/5)73% (11/15)
Max Points In Row
44
Service Points Won
69% (45/65)71% (49/69)
Return Points Won
29% (20/69)31% (20/65)
Total Points Won
49% (65/134)51% (69/134)
Max Games In Row
13
Service Games Won
91% (10/11)100% (11/11)
Return Games Won
0% (0/11)9% (1/11)
Total Games Won
45% (10/22)55% (12/22)

Chances of winning


Zhizhen Zhang
53.8%
Aslan Karatsev
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.4% 41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4% 39.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Zhizhen Zhang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Aslan Karatsev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhizhen Zhang than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zhizhen Zhang, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aslan Karatsev, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Zhizhen Zhang - Aslan Karatsev Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.63)

    2.05
    (2.29)
    5.1%
    (5%)
    What is the prediction for Zhizhen Zhang - Aslan Karatsev?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Zhang will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Karatsev will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Zhang: 40%93.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Zhang is ranked ATP: 46. Karatsev is ranked ATP: 139.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Zhang could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Zhang won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:5 (average 0.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Zhizhen Zhang - Aslan Karatsev were as follows:
    19.10.2023 Zhizhen Zhang - Aslan Karatsev 0:2
    04.05.2023 Zhizhen Zhang - Aslan Karatsev 0:2
    03.10.2022 Zhizhen Zhang - Aslan Karatsev 2:1
    Latest results of Zhizhen Zhang
    Latest results of Aslan Karatsev
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Tiafoe F. (1)Bye
    2Daniel T.Evans D. (Q)0 : 2
    3Duckworth J.Vukic A.0 : 2
    4Safiullin R.Mannarino A. (8)1 : 2
    5Khachanov K. (3)Bye
    6Virtanen O.Fognini F.2 : 0
    7Hassan B. (Q)Zhukayev B. (WC)0 : 2
    8Skatov T. (WC)Machac T. (5)0 : 2
    9Zhang Z. (6)Karatsev A. (Q)0 : 2
    10Shevchenko A.Kukushkin M. (Q)2 : 0
    11Engel J. (WC)Wong C.2 : 0
    12ByeCerundolo F. (4)
    13Marozsan F. (7)Coric B.0 : 2
    14O'Connell C.Diallo G.0 : 2
    15Dzumhur D.Marterer M.0 : 2
    16ByeTabilo A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Tiafoe F. (1)Evans D.2 : 1
    2Vukic A.Mannarino A. (8)2 : 0
    3Khachanov K. (3)Virtanen O.2 : 0
    4Zhukayev B.Machac T. (RET.) (5)0 : 0
    5Karatsev A.Shevchenko A.1 : 2
    6Engel J.Cerundolo F. (4)0 : 2
    7Coric B.Diallo G.0 : 2
    8Marterer M.Tabilo A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Tiafoe F. (1)Vukic A.0 : 2
    2Khachanov K. (3)Zhukayev B.2 : 0
    3Shevchenko A.Cerundolo F. (4)0 : 2
    4Diallo G.Tabilo A. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Vukic A.Khachanov K. (3)1 : 2
    2Cerundolo F. (4)Diallo G.0 : 2

    Final
    1Khachanov K. (3)Diallo G.2 : 1