Zhizhen Zhang vs Luciano Darderi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
14/04/2026 at 05:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Munich, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
118
Double Faults
23
1st serve percentage
68%57%
1st serve points won
70% (45/64)73% (37/51)
2nd serve points won
37% (11/30)61% (23/38)
Break Points Saved
7/113/6
1st return points won
29% (15/51)31% (20/64)
2nd return points won
39% (15/38)63% (19/30)
Break Points Converted
3/64/11
Winners
4628
Unforced errors
4424
Net points won
64% (9/14)89% (8/9)
Service Points Won
60% (56/94)67% (60/89)
Return Points Won
33% (29/89)40% (38/94)
Total Points Won
46% (85/183)54% (98/183)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
00
Service games won
71% (10/14)79% (11/14)
Return games won
21% (3/14)29% (4/14)
Total games won
46% (13/28)54% (15/28)

Chances of winning


Zhizhen Zhang
29.7%
Luciano Darderi
70.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48% 52%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Zhizhen Zhang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zhizhen Zhang's form might have worsened.
  • Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luciano Darderi's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhizhen Zhang than the current prediction. (+18.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zhizhen Zhang, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-18.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luciano Darderi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Zhizhen Zhang - Luciano Darderi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.17
    (2.27)

    1.36
    (1.56)
    5.2%
    (8.2%)
    What is the prediction for Zhizhen Zhang - Luciano Darderi?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Zhang will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Darderi will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Darderi: 31.2%83%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Zhang (votes: 1 - 50%). Darderi (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Zhang is ranked ATP: 240. Darderi is ranked ATP: 21.
    • Zhang has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Darderi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Darderi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Darderi is the team to beat.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Zhizhen Zhang
    Latest results of Luciano Darderi
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    2Diallo G.Sachko V. (Q)2 : 0
    3Van De Zandschulp B.Huesler M. (Q)2 : 0
    4Nagal S. (LL)Cerundolo F. (5)0 : 2
    5Cobolli F. (4)Dedura D. (Q)2 : 0
    6Bergs Z.Topo M. (LL)2 : 0
    7Engel J. (WC)Kopriva V.1 : 2
    8Zhang Z. (PR)Darderi L. (6)1 : 2
    9Griekspoor T. (8)Shapovalov D.1 : 2
    10Marozsan F.Tsitsipas S.1 : 1
    11Cilic M.Altmaier D.0 : 2
    12Molcan A. (Q)Bublik A. (3)2 : 0
    13Rinderknech A. (7)Michelsen A.2 : 0
    14Tabilo A.Fonseca J.0 : 2
    15Blockx A. (WC)Hanfmann Y.2 : 0
    16Nava E. (LL)Shelton B. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Diallo G.
    2Van De Zandschulp B.Cerundolo F. (5)
    3Cobolli F. (4)Bergs Z.
    4Kopriva V.Darderi L. (6)
    5Shapovalov D.TBD #10
    6Altmaier D.Molcan A.
    7Rinderknech A. (7)Fonseca J.
    8Blockx A.Shelton B. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2