Zhizhen Zhang vs Roberto Carballes Baena – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
17/02/2026 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Doha, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
107
Double Faults
02
1st serve percentage
67%69%
1st serve points won
88% (36/41)76% (28/37)
2nd serve points won
50% (10/20)47% (8/17)
Break Points Saved
100% (1/1)0% (0/2)
1st return points won
24% (9/37)12% (5/41)
2nd return points won
53% (9/17)50% (10/20)
Break Points Converted
100% (2/2)0% (0/1)
Winners
2817
Unforced errors
2115
Net points won
60% (6/10)67% (4/6)
Service Points Won
75% (45/60)66% (35/53)
Return Points Won
34% (18/53)25% (15/60)
Total Points Won
56% (63/113)44% (50/113)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
100% (10/10)80% (8/10)
Return games won
20% (2/10)0% (0/10)
Total games won
60% (12/20)40% (8/20)

Chances of winning


Zhizhen Zhang
54.5%
Roberto Carballes Baena
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.7% 35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3% 36.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Zhizhen Zhang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zhizhen Zhang's form might have worsened.
  • Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roberto Carballes Baena's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhizhen Zhang than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zhizhen Zhang, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roberto Carballes Baena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Zhizhen Zhang - Roberto Carballes Baena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.45)

    2.09
    (2.65)
    5.3%
    (6.9%)
    What is the prediction for Zhizhen Zhang - Roberto Carballes Baena?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 Sets - Zhang (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 Games - Zhang (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Zhizhen Zhang will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Zhang (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Carballes Baena (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Zhang is ranked ATP: 319. Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 175.
    • Zhang has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Carballes Baena is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Carballes Baena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • We predict that Zhang will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Zhang won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Zhizhen Zhang - Roberto Carballes Baena were as follows:
    22.09.2024 Zhizhen Zhang - Roberto Carballes Baena 2:0
    Latest results of Zhizhen Zhang
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Rinderknech A.2 : 0
    2Royer V.Herbert P. (Q)2 : 0
    3Fucsovics M.Habib H. (WC)2 : 0
    4Mochizuki S.Khachanov K. (7)1 : 2
    5Medvedev D. (4)Shang J. (PR)2 : 0
    6Echargui M. (WC)Tsitsipas S.0 : 2
    7Humbert U.Marozsan F.0 : 2
    8De Jong J.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    9Lehecka J. (8)Brooksby J.2 : 0
    10Bergs Z.Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 1
    11Fils A.Majchrzak K.2 : 1
    12Carreno-Busta P. (Q)Halys Q. (LL)1 : 2
    13Mensik J. (6)Choinski J. (Q)2 : 1
    14Zhang Z. (PR)Carballes Baena R. (Q)2 : 0
    15Zayid M. S. (WC)Popyrin A.0 : 2
    16Machac T.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Royer V.2 : 0
    2Fucsovics M.Khachanov K. (7)1 : 2
    3Medvedev D. (4)Tsitsipas S.0 : 2
    4Marozsan F.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    5Lehecka J. (8)Bergs Z.2 : 0
    6Fils A.Halys Q.2 : 0
    7Mensik J. (6)Zhang Z.2 : 0
    8Popyrin A.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Khachanov K. (7)2 : 1
    2Tsitsipas S.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    3Lehecka J. (8)Fils A.0 : 2
    4Mensik J. (6)Sinner J. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Rublev A. (5)2 : 0
    2Fils A.Mensik J. (6)2 : 0

    Final
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Fils A.2 : 0