Result
1:1
13/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 8
- Referee: Vsetecka J. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (212/269) | 58% (85/147) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (212/269) | 58% (85/147) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (25/49) | 24% (10/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (58/88) | 42% (21/50) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.27 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 29% (2/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 29 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.32 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 37', Petruta S. 🟨,
- 39', Sehovic Z. 🟨,
- 40', 0 - 1, Sehovic Z. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Petruta S. ↓, Nombil C. ↑,
- 55', 1 - 1, Cernin J. (Pen),
- 70', Didiba J. 🟨,
- 72', Cisse N. ↓, Diallo B. ↑,
- 72', Cermak M. ↓, Fokam J. ↑,
- 72', Kadak J. ↓, Jedlicka T. ↑,
- 72', Pisoja M. ↓, Natchkebia Z. ↑,
- 72', Bartosak L. ↓, Kalabiska J. ↑,
- 72', Poznar T. ↓, Kanu S. ↑,
- 73', Kalabiska J. 🟨,
- 74', Kopecny M. 🟨,
- 85', Pourzitidis M. 🟨,
- 90+1', Zitny M. ↓, Hasek D. ↑,
- 90+1', Sehovic Z. ↓, Ambler M. ↑,
- 90+2', Cupak M. ↓, Ulbrich T. ↑,
- 90+3', Fukala M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Zlín
42.4% | Draw
30.2% | Dukla Prague
27.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zlín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Dukla Prague has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zlín than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zlín, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dukla Prague than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Zlín - Dukla Prague Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(2.01) |
3.12 ↓
(3.33) |
3.48 ↑
(3.43) |
6.3%
(9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Zlín - Dukla Prague?
Users Predictions:
Zlín will win
(10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Zlín will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zlín won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Zlín is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Zlín: Bachurek S.
(Injury)
Trummer V.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Dukla Prague: Cernak M.
(Injury)
Mikus R.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Dukla Prague: Emeka C.
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Zlín won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zlín won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Zlín won against Dukla Prague?
Zlín has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dukla Prague won against Zlín?
Dukla Prague has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zlín - Dukla Prague were as follows:
Latest results of Dukla Prague
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 18:6 | 12 | 20 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | Jablonec | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | Plzen | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:7 | 9 | 15 |
| 5 | Zlin | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Sigma Olomouc | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5:4 | 1 | 13 |
| 7 | Karvina | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Liberec | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Bohemians | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Hradec Kralove | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | Dukla Prague | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Mlada Boleslav | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14:21 | -7 | 7 |
| 13 | Slovacko | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:10 | -6 | 5 |
| 14 | Ostrava | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Teplice | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8:16 | -8 | 3 |
| 16 | FK Pardubice | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8:18 | -10 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
