Znicz Pruszków vs Puszcza Niepołomice – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
24/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 14
  • Referee: Idzik P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
710
Shots on target
18
Corner Kicks
75
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
710
Shots on target
18
Shots off target
62
Corner Kicks
75
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1412
Throw-ins
4317
Fouls
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Przybylko K. , Barczak N. (A),
  • 36', Kanach R. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Okhronchuk V. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Kanach R. , Walski M. ,
  • 67', Proczek T. , Karol M. ,
  • 67', Majewski R. , Valencia J. ,
  • 69', 0 - 2, Kasolik K. , Cholewiak M. (A),
  • 72', Borecki M. 🟨,
  • 76', Bak D. , Nadolski A. ,
  • 76', Borecki M. , Mak M. ,
  • 84', 0 - 3, Barczak N. ,
  • 87', Nascimento F. , Mrozinski P. ,
  • 87', Okhronchuk V. , Pawlik M. ,
  • 87', Simon C. , Basse A. ,
  • 90', Iwao K. , Korczakowski O. ,
  • 90', Cholewiak M. , Francois E. ,

Chances of winning


Znicz Pruszków
37.6%
Draw
28.1%
Puszcza Niepołomice
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.4% 27.4% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 27% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Znicz Pruszków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Znicz Pruszków's form might have worsened.
  • Puszcza Niepołomice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Puszcza Niepołomice's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Znicz Pruszków than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Znicz Pruszków, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Puszcza Niepołomice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Znicz Pruszków - Puszcza Niepołomice Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (2.11)
    3.32
    (3.35)
    2.74
    (3.14)
    7.4%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Znicz Pruszków - Puszcza Niepołomice?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Znicz will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Puszcza will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 40%93.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 15).
    • Znicz is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Puszcza's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Znicz won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Znicz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    Latest results of Znicz Pruszków
    Latest results of Puszcza Niepołomice
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla25157357:243352
    2Slask Wroclaw25127649:391043
    3Grodzisk M25119544:35942
    4Chrobry Glogow25125836:241241
    5Wieczysta Krakow24117651:351640
    6Polonia Warszawa25117741:36540
    7Ruch Chorzow25117738:34440
    8Legnica25115943:43038
    9LKS Lodz25107836:36037
    10S. Rzeszow25106937:39-236
    11Polonia Bytom24105938:31735
    12Puszcza25810734:31334
    13Odra Opole2579925:32-730
    14Pogon Siedlce2579926:28-230
    15Stal Mielec25551532:50-1820
    16Pruszkow25551526:49-2320
    17Leczna252111227:46-1917
    18Tychy25351730:58-2814

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2