Zorya Luhansk vs Kolos Kovalivka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ukrainian Premier League Zorya Luhansk - Kolos Kovalivka
Result
1:3
14/09/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 5
  • Referee: Panchyshyn D. (Ukr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, UPL TV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
14
Shots on target
14
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
10
Total shots
14
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
00
Corner Kicks
53
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1413
Fouls
1514
Goalkeeper Saves
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 36', 0 - 1, Klymchuk Y. , Alefirenko D. (A),
  • 42', 0 - 2, Tsurikov A. , Klymchuk Y. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Perduta I. , Malysh N. ,
  • 46', Basic J. , Salenko R. ,
  • 52', 1 - 2, Budkivsky P. , Juninho (A),
  • 59', Matkevych A. , Ruan Oliveira ,
  • 63', Gusol A. , Kane I. ,
  • 63', Alefirenko D. , Tretyakov M. ,
  • 64', Klymchuk Y. , Oyewusi M. ,
  • 72', Rrapaj A. , Demchenko O. ,
  • 81', Andjusic N. , Gorbach I. ,
  • 83', Kozik E. , Burda M. ,
  • 84', Slesar A. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 1 - 3, Kane I. ,

Chances of winning


Zorya Luhansk
28.9%
Draw
30.7%
Kolos Kovalivka
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.4% 29.8% 32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 30.7% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Zorya Luhansk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zorya Luhansk's form might have worsened.
  • Kolos Kovalivka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kolos Kovalivka's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zorya Luhansk than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zorya Luhansk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kolos Kovalivka than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kolos Kovalivka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Zorya Luhansk - Kolos Kovalivka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.49
    (2.47)
    3.28
    (3.1)
    2.5
    (2.82)
    -0.9%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zorya won 2.
    • Zorya has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Kolos is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Zorya won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Zorya won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Zorya Luhansk - Kolos Kovalivka were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Zorya Luhansk - Kolos Kovalivka 0:3
    23.09.2024 Kolos Kovalivka - Zorya Luhansk 1:0
    25.05.2024 Zorya Luhansk - Kolos Kovalivka 0:1
    09.05.2024 Kolos Kovalivka - Zorya Luhansk 0:1
    21.04.2023 Kolos Kovalivka - Zorya Luhansk 0:1
    Latest results of Zorya Luhansk
    Latest results of Kolos Kovalivka
    Ukrainian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shakhtar Donetsk752014:41017
    2Dyn. Kyiv743021:101115
    3Polissya Zhytomyr850314:8615
    4Metalist 1925742110:4614
    5Kolos Kovalivka84228:6214
    6Kryvbas741213:10313
    7Karpaty Lviv825114:12211
    8FK Zorya Luhansk832311:10111
    9LNZ Cherkasy73225:6-111
    10Kudrivka731311:11010
    11Obolon82427:8-110
    12Veres-Rivne82246:9-38
    13Oleksandriya82159:15-67
    14Rukh Lviv82066:16-106
    15SC Poltava81165:17-124
    16Epitsentr81078:16-83

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Persha Liga