Result
1:3
14/09/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 5
- Referee: Panchyshyn D. (Ukr)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, UPL TV |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
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Ball Possession |
---|
56% | 44% |
Total shots |
---|
1 | 4 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 3 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Total shots |
---|
1 | 4 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 3 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 13 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 14 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 36', 0 - 1, Klymchuk Y. ⚽, Alefirenko D. (A),
- 42', 0 - 2, Tsurikov A. ⚽, Klymchuk Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Perduta I. ↓, Malysh N. ↑,
- 46', Basic J. ↓, Salenko R. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 2, Budkivsky P. ⚽, Juninho (A),
- 59', Matkevych A. ↓, Ruan Oliveira ↑,
- 63', Gusol A. ↓, Kane I. ↑,
- 63', Alefirenko D. ↓, Tretyakov M. ↑,
- 64', Klymchuk Y. ↓, Oyewusi M. ↑,
- 72', Rrapaj A. ↓, Demchenko O. ↑,
- 81', Andjusic N. ↓, Gorbach I. ↑,
- 83', Kozik E. ↓, Burda M. ↑,
- 84', Slesar A. 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 3, Kane I. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Zorya Luhansk 28.9% | Draw 30.7% | Kolos Kovalivka 40.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zorya Luhansk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zorya Luhansk's form might have worsened.Kolos Kovalivka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kolos Kovalivka's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zorya Luhansk than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zorya Luhansk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kolos Kovalivka than the current prediction. (-8.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kolos Kovalivka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Zorya Luhansk - Kolos Kovalivka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.49 ↑ (2.47) |
3.28 ↑ (3.1) |
2.5 ↓ (2.82) |
-0.9% (8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zorya won 2.
- Zorya has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Kolos is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Zorya won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zorya won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Zorya Luhansk won against Kolos Kovalivka?
Zorya Luhansk has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kolos Kovalivka won against Zorya Luhansk?
Kolos Kovalivka has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zorya Luhansk - Kolos Kovalivka were as follows:
30.03.2025
Zorya Luhansk
-
Kolos Kovalivka
0:3
23.09.2024
Kolos Kovalivka
-
Zorya Luhansk
1:0
25.05.2024
Zorya Luhansk
-
Kolos Kovalivka
0:1
09.05.2024
Kolos Kovalivka
-
Zorya Luhansk
0:1
21.04.2023
Kolos Kovalivka
-
Zorya Luhansk
0:1
Latest results of Zorya Luhansk
Latest results of Kolos Kovalivka
Ukrainian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14:4 | 10 | 17 |
2 | Dyn. Kyiv | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 21:10 | 11 | 15 |
3 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:8 | 6 | 15 |
4 | Metalist 1925 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Kolos Kovalivka | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Kryvbas | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 13 |
7 | Karpaty Lviv | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 14:12 | 2 | 11 |
8 | FK Zorya Luhansk | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
9 | LNZ Cherkasy | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 11 |
10 | Kudrivka | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 10 |
11 | Obolon | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
12 | Veres-Rivne | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
13 | Oleksandriya | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 7 |
14 | Rukh Lviv | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6:16 | -10 | 6 |
15 | SC Poltava | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:17 | -12 | 4 |
16 | Epitsentr | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8:16 | -8 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Persha Liga