AZ Alkmaar vs Zrinjski Mostar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League AZ Alkmaar - Zrinjski Mostar
Result
1:0
30/11/2023 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
finlandFinlandViaplay
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
swedenSwedenViaplay

Chances of winning


AZ Alkmaar
74.9%
Draw
15.6%
Zrinjski Mostar
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.9% 17.1% 11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8% 14.5% 13%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Zrinjski Mostar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-14.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AZ Alkmaar that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zrinjski Mostar than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • AZ Alkmaar - Zrinjski Mostar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.26
    (1.31)
    6
    (5.51)
    10.05
    (8.53)
    5.8%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar - Zrinjski Mostar?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 21 - 87.5%). Zrinjski will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 74.3%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • AZ could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match AZ is absolute favorite.
    • There will not play in Zrinjski: Barisic H. (Injury) Ticinovic M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in AZ: de Wit M. (Foot Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches AZ won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AZ Alkmaar - Zrinjski Mostar were as follows:
    21.09.2023 Zrinjski Mostar - AZ Alkmaar 4:3
    Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
    26.11.2023 AZ Alkmaar - Volendam 3:0
    12.11.2023 Feyenoord - AZ Alkmaar 1:0
    09.11.2023 Aston Villa - AZ Alkmaar 2:1
    04.11.2023 Excelsior - AZ Alkmaar 1:1
    26.10.2023 AZ Alkmaar - Aston Villa 1:4
    Latest results of Zrinjski Mostar
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fiorentina22005:056
    2AEK Larnaca22005:056
    3Celje22005:146
    4Lausanne22004:046
    5Samsunspor22004:046
    6Mainz22002:026
    7Rayo Vallecano21104:224
    8Rakow21103:124
    9Strasbourg21103:214
    10Jagiellonia21102:114
    11Noah21102:114
    12AEK Athens FC21017:343
    13Zrinjski21015:143
    14Lech Poznan21015:323
    15Sparta Prague21014:223
    16Crystal Palace21012:113
    17Shakhtar Donetsk21014:403
    18Legia21012:203
    19Rijeka21011:103
    20Shkendija21011:2-13
    21AZ Alkmaar21011:4-33
    22Lincoln Red Imps21012:6-43
    23Drita20202:202
    24Hacken20202:202
    25KuPS20201:102
    26Omonia20111:2-11
    27Shelbourne20110:1-11
    28Sigma Olomouc20111:3-21
    29Univ. Craiova20111:3-21
    30Breidablik20110:3-31
    31Slovan Bratislava20021:3-20
    32Hamrun20020:2-20
    33Shamrock Rovers20021:6-50
    34Dyn. Kyiv20020:5-50
    35SK Rapid20021:7-60
    36Aberdeen20022:9-70

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