AZ Alkmaar vs Zrinjski Mostar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
30/11/2023 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Chances of winning


AZ Alkmaar
74.9%
Draw
15.6%
Zrinjski Mostar
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.9% 17.1% 11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8% 14.5% 13%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Zrinjski Mostar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-14.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AZ Alkmaar that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zrinjski Mostar than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • AZ Alkmaar - Zrinjski Mostar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.26
    (1.31)
    6
    (5.51)
    10.05
    (8.53)
    5.8%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar - Zrinjski Mostar?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 21 - 87.5%). Zrinjski will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 74.3%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • AZ could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match AZ is absolute favorite.
    • There will not play in Zrinjski: Barisic H. (Injury) Ticinovic M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in AZ: de Wit M. (Foot Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches AZ won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AZ Alkmaar - Zrinjski Mostar were as follows:
    21.09.2023 Zrinjski Mostar - AZ Alkmaar 4:3
    Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
    26.11.2023 AZ Alkmaar - Volendam 3:0
    12.11.2023 Feyenoord - AZ Alkmaar 1:0
    09.11.2023 Aston Villa - AZ Alkmaar 2:1
    04.11.2023 Excelsior - AZ Alkmaar 1:1
    26.10.2023 AZ Alkmaar - Aston Villa 1:4
    Latest results of Zrinjski Mostar
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)2 : 1, 1 : 3
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)4 : 0, 2 : 1
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)2 : 1, 0 : 0
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)2 : 1, 2 : 1
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)1 : 0, 1 : 3
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)2 : 0, 0 : 4
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)1 : 1, 1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Shakhtar Donetsk (6)AZ Alkmaar (14)
    2Crystal Palace (10)Fiorentina (15)
    3Rayo Vallecano (5)AEK Athens (3)
    4Mainz (7)Strasbourg (1)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2