Zrinjski Mostar vs Häcken – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
27/11/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Ciochirca P. (Aut)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.411.53
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
75% (236/314)83% (438/527)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.411.53
xG on target (xGOT)
1.341.09
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
1635
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
810
Passes
75% (236/314)83% (438/527)
Long passes
47% (18/38)33% (15/45)
Passes in final third
66% (51/77)67% (80/119)
Crosses
29% (4/14)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.631.01
Throw-ins
1818
Fouls
108
Tackles
71% (15/21)89% (8/9)
Duels won
4335
Clearances
2711
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.091.34
Goals prevented
0.09-0.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', Brusberg I. 🟨,
  • 40', 0 - 1, Andersen S. , Rygaard M. (A),
  • 45', Dahbo P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 58', Sakota M. , Mikic L. ,
  • 61', Dahbo P. , Ngabo S. ,
  • 62', Brusberg I. , Svanback A. ,
  • 66', Djurasek N. , Surdanovic S. ,
  • 67', Filipovic B. , Cavar M. ,
  • 71', Rygaard M. 🟨,
  • 73', Savic I. 🟨,
  • 78', 1 - 1, Cuze M. ,
  • 82', 2 - 1, Bilbija N. ,
  • 85', Bilbija N. , Ivancic A. ,
  • 85', Mamic P. , Susak A. ,
  • 85', Lundkvist A. , Wembangomo B. ,
  • 85', Samuelsson O. , Hammar J. ,
  • 90+2', Susak A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Zrinjski Mostar
29.4%
Draw
28.2%
Häcken
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.4% 29.5% 32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7% 30% 32.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Zrinjski Mostar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zrinjski Mostar's form might have worsened.
  • Häcken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Häcken's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zrinjski Mostar than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zrinjski Mostar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Häcken than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Häcken, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Zrinjski Mostar - Häcken Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.18
    (2.46)
    3.39
    (3.2)
    2.3
    (2.94)
    4.3%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Zrinjski Mostar - Häcken?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Zrinjski will win (votes: 9 - 36%). Häcken will win (votes: 10 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 24%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Häcken: 20.8%59.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Zrinjski (votes: 1 - 20%). Häcken (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Häcken (1.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Zrinjski (1.60) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Zrinjski (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Häcken (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Zrinjski is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Häcken has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Zrinjski may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Zrinjski has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Häcken: Abrahamsson P. (Back Injury) Laursen J. (Knee Injury) Svanback A. (Injury) Vaisanen L. (Knee Injury)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Zrinjski Mostar
    Latest results of Häcken
    09.11.2025 Mjällby - Häcken 1:0
    06.11.2025 Häcken - Strasbourg 1:2
    01.11.2025 Häcken - Malmö 1:1
    26.10.2025 AIK - Häcken 2:2
    23.10.2025 Häcken - Rayo Vallecano 2:2
    Draw
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