Zug United vs Winterthur – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:5 penalties
25/04/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Prime League - Play Offs - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
switzerlandSwitzerlandRTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 1)
  • 2nd Period (2 - 3)
  • 3rd Period (2 - 0)
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (0 - 1)

Chances of winning


Zug United
51.7%
Draw
20%
Winterthur
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.2% 19.1% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7% 20% 28.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Zug United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Winterthur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zug United than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Winterthur aligns with the current prediction.
  • Zug United - Winterthur Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.72)
    4.5
    (4.6)
    3.18
    (2.96)
    11.1%
    (13.7%)
    Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - BCF-Arena.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zug won 4.
    • Recent performances by Zug have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Winterthur is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Winterthur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Zug is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zug won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 118:110. (average 5.9:5.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Zug won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 71:57. (average 6.5:5.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Zug United - Winterthur were as follows:
    25.01.2026 Winterthur - Zug United 5:6
    02.11.2025 Zug United - Winterthur 7:4
    12.01.2025 Zug United - Winterthur 10:4
    05.10.2024 Winterthur - Zug United 7:6
    17.12.2023 Winterthur - Zug United 7:8
    Latest results of Zug United
    17.04.2026 Thurgau - Zug United 3:4
    15.04.2026 Zug United - Thurgau 6:8
    12.04.2026 Thurgau - Zug United 3:2
    11.04.2026 Zug United - Thurgau 6:4
    06.04.2026 Thurgau - Zug United 3:6
    Latest results of Winterthur