Result
2:3
10/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 3
- Referee: Put B. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1 |
 Netherlands | Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.55 | 1.79 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (492/560) | 70% (169/242) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.55 | 1.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 2.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (492/560) | 70% (169/242) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (38/62) | 43% (16/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 84% (208/247) | 46% (28/61) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (8/32) | 33% (2/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (13/22) | 67% (16/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.53 | 2.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.47 | 1.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', 0 - 1, Hedl T. ⚽, Opoku J. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Saliba N. ↓, Bertaccini A. ↑,
- 46', Maamar A. ↓, Degreef T. ↑,
- 46', Willen L. 🟨,
- 48', Claes T. 🟨,
- 50', 1 - 1, Dolberg K. (Pen),
- 69', 1 - 2, Ujka S. ⚽, Cappelle Y. (A),
- 74', 2 - 2, Tanghe A. (Own goal),
- 76', Hazard T. ↓, Stroeykens M. ↑,
- 76', Dolberg K. ↓, Vazquez L. ↑,
- 78', Paugain W. ↓, Nyssen B. ↑,
- 85', Hedl T. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
- 86', Claes T. ↓, Lofolomo E. ↑,
- 86', Ujka S. ↓, Erenbjerg J. ↑,
- 88', Simic J. ↓, Hey L. ↑,
- 90+1', Nnadi T. 🟨,
- 90+4', 2 - 3, Erenbjerg J. ⚽,
- 90+6', Opoku J. ↓, Vossen J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Anderlecht
57.3% | Draw
22.9% | Zulte Waregem
19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Anderlecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Zulte Waregem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Anderlecht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zulte Waregem than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Anderlecht - Zulte Waregem Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↑
(1.55) |
4.14 ↓
(4.2) |
4.84 ↓
(5.25) |
5.4%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Anderlecht - Zulte Waregem?
Users Predictions:
35 users predict this event. Anderlecht will win (votes: 32 - 91.4%). Waregem will win (votes: 2 - 5.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 2.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Anderlecht: 82.1% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Anderlecht will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 3.
- Anderlecht is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Waregem has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Waregem may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Anderlecht is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Anderlecht: Keita Z.
(Injury)
Sardella K.
(Hamstring Injury)
- We predict that Anderlecht will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 50:24. (average 2.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Anderlecht won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 31:9. (average 2.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Anderlecht won against Zulte Waregem?
Anderlecht has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zulte Waregem won against Anderlecht?
Zulte Waregem has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Anderlecht - Zulte Waregem were as follows:
18.01.2023
Anderlecht
-
Zulte Waregem
2:3
20.10.2022
Zulte Waregem
-
Anderlecht
3:2
Latest results of Anderlecht
Latest results of Zulte Waregem
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 | 10 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | KV Mechelen | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | St. Truiden | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | St. Liege | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | Anderlecht | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Antwerp | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 5 |
| 8 | Genk | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 9 | Gent | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 10 | Waregem | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 11 | Westerlo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
| 12 | RAAL La Louviere | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
| 13 | Charleroi | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 | Dender | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
| 15 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 1 |
| 16 | Leuven | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:12 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
