Result
1:0
22/03/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 30
- Referee: Van Driessche B. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.99 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (252/329) | 84% (454/539) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (252/329) | 84% (454/539) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (35/66) | 70% (50/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (80/129) | 75% (123/165) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 11% (3/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.98 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 62% (13/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.73 | -0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 27', Keita C. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 0, Erenbjerg J. ⚽, Opoku J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Claes T. ↓, Lofolomo E. ↑,
- 66', Camara E. ↓, Szymczak F. ↑,
- 71', Ousou A. 🟨,
- 79', Opoku J. ↓, Mbaye M. ↑,
- 80', Nyssen B. ↓, De Jaegere B. ↑,
- 80', Pflucke P. ↓, Colassin A. ↑,
- 80', Gaudin J. ↓, Nzita M. ↑,
- 85', Gabriel B. 🟨,
- 86', Bernier A. ↓, Cisse Y. ↑,
- 90', Lemoine L. ↓, Paugain W. ↑,
Chances of winning
Zulte Waregem
39.4% | Draw
27.7% | Charleroi
32.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zulte Waregem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Charleroi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zulte Waregem than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Zulte Waregem - Charleroi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↓
(2.65) |
3.43 ↑
(3.27) |
2.88 ↑
(2.62) |
5.2%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Zulte Waregem - Charleroi?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Waregem will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Charleroi will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Charleroi: 19% – 81%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
- Charleroi is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waregem won 1.
- In recent games, both teams have suffered a series of defeats.
- Waregem may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Waregem: Hedl T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Charleroi: Guiagon P.
(Yellow Cards)
Sow M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Waregem won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 28:42. (average 1.4:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Waregem won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:20. (average 1.6:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Zulte Waregem won against Charleroi?
Zulte Waregem has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Charleroi won against Zulte Waregem?
Charleroi has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zulte Waregem - Charleroi were as follows:
20.09.2025
Charleroi
-
Zulte Waregem
1:2
08.04.2023
Charleroi
-
Zulte Waregem
3:2
Latest results of Zulte Waregem
Latest results of Charleroi
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 36 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 35 |
| 3 | St. Truiden | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 29 |
| 4 | Gent | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 24 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 24 |
| 6 | Anderlecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
