Result
1:2
20/09/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 8
- Referee: Allaerts M. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
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| 9 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (204/264) | 88% (434/491) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 0.35 | 0.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
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| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 2 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 5 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 6 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 16 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
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| 6 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (204/264) | 88% (434/491) |
| Long passes |
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| 46% (26/56) | 71% (35/49) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 62% (49/79) | 81% (125/154) |
| Crosses |
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| 25% (5/20) | 19% (6/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.81 | 1.46 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 11 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
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| 50% (5/10) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
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| 50 | 43 |
| Clearances |
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| 36 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
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| 12 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.35 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -1.48 | -0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Pflucke P. ⚽, Camara E. (A),
- 24', Ousou A. 🟥,
- 27', Colassin A. ↓, Boukamir A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Gavriel S. ↓, Ake M. ↑,
- 46', Nnadi T. ↓, Vossen J. ↑,
- 55', Pflucke P. ↓, Blum L. ↑,
- 55', Nzita M. ↓, Gaudin J. ↑,
- 62', Cappelle Y. ↓, Soglo E. ↑,
- 62', Paugain W. ↓, Nyssen B. ↑,
- 62', Keita C. 🟨,
- 62', 1 - 1, Opoku J. ⚽,
- 67', Kiilerich J. 🟨,
- 73', Van Den Kerkhof K. 🟨,
- 77', Opoku J. ↓, Ujka S. ↑,
- 78', Bernier A. ↓, Khalifi Y. ↑,
- 79', Titraoui Y. ↓, Szymczak F. ↑,
- 80', Blum L. 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 2, Vossen J. ⚽, Ementa A. (A),
Chances of winning
Charleroi
52.2% | Draw
25.1% | Zulte Waregem
22.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Charleroi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Zulte Waregem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Charleroi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zulte Waregem than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Charleroi - Zulte Waregem Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↑
(1.7) |
3.82 ↓
(4.18) |
4.3 ↓
(4.53) |
4%
(4.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Charleroi - Zulte Waregem?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Charleroi will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Waregem will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Charleroi: 50.5% – 99.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Charleroi (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 13 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 3.
- Charleroi is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Waregem has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Charleroi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Charleroi is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Charleroi: Sow M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 42:27. (average 2.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Charleroi won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:8. (average 2.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Charleroi won against Zulte Waregem?
Charleroi has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zulte Waregem won against Charleroi?
Zulte Waregem has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Charleroi - Zulte Waregem were as follows:
08.04.2023
Charleroi
-
Zulte Waregem
3:2
Latest results of Charleroi
Latest results of Zulte Waregem
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 27 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 57 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 27 | 18 | 2 | 7 | 51:32 | 19 | 56 |
| 3 | St. Truiden ✔ | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 44:30 | 14 | 54 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 39:33 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 36:30 | 6 | 42 |
| 6 | Genk | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 39:40 | -1 | 38 |
| 7 | Gent | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 36 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 25:34 | -9 | 35 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | Antwerp | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 30:30 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Charleroi | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 36:37 | -1 | 33 |
| 12 | Waregem | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 37:44 | -7 | 29 |
| 13 | Leuven | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 29:42 | -13 | 28 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 28 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 22:31 | -9 | 26 |
| 16 | Dender | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
