Charleroi vs Zulte Waregem – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Belgian Jupiler Pro League Charleroi - Zulte Waregem
Result
1:2
20/09/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Jupiler Pro League - Round 8
  • Referee: Allaerts M. (Bel)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
belgiumBelgiumDAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.001.29
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
919
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
611
Passes
77% (204/264)88% (434/491)
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.001.29
xG on target (xGOT)
0.350.52
Total shots
919
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
28
Shots inside the Box
511
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
611
Touches in opposition box
1633
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
62
Free Kicks
1412
Passes
77% (204/264)88% (434/491)
Long passes
46% (26/56)71% (35/49)
Passes in final third
62% (49/79)81% (125/154)
Crosses
25% (5/20)19% (6/32)
Expected assists (xA)
0.811.46
Throw-ins
1113
Fouls
1214
Tackles
50% (5/10)67% (6/9)
Duels won
5043
Clearances
3617
Interceptions
125
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.520.35
Goals prevented
-1.48-0.65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Pflucke P. , Camara E. (A),
  • 24', Ousou A. 🟥,
  • 27', Colassin A. , Boukamir A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Gavriel S. , Ake M. ,
  • 46', Nnadi T. , Vossen J. ,
  • 55', Pflucke P. , Blum L. ,
  • 55', Nzita M. , Gaudin J. ,
  • 62', Cappelle Y. , Soglo E. ,
  • 62', Paugain W. , Nyssen B. ,
  • 62', Keita C. 🟨,
  • 62', 1 - 1, Opoku J. ,
  • 67', Kiilerich J. 🟨,
  • 73', Van Den Kerkhof K. 🟨,
  • 77', Opoku J. , Ujka S. ,
  • 78', Bernier A. , Khalifi Y. ,
  • 79', Titraoui Y. , Szymczak F. ,
  • 80', Blum L. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 1 - 2, Vossen J. , Ementa A. (A),

Chances of winning


Charleroi
52.2%
Draw
25.1%
Zulte Waregem
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.1% 22.8% 21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8% 22.1% 20.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Charleroi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Zulte Waregem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Charleroi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zulte Waregem than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Charleroi - Zulte Waregem Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (1.7)
    3.69
    (4.18)
    4.25
    (4.53)
    4%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Charleroi - Zulte Waregem?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Charleroi will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Waregem will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Charleroi: 50.5%99.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 13 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 3.
    • Charleroi is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Waregem has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Charleroi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Charleroi is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Charleroi: Sow M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 42:27. (average 2.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Charleroi won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:8. (average 2.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Charleroi - Zulte Waregem were as follows:
    08.04.2023 Charleroi - Zulte Waregem 3:2
    Latest results of Charleroi
    17.09.2025 Genk - Charleroi 0:1
    14.09.2025 Cercle Brugge - Charleroi 2:3
    30.08.2025 Charleroi - Dender EH 3:1
    17.08.2025 Charleroi - Royal Antwerp 1:1
    Latest results of Zulte Waregem
    Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Royale Union SG1072119:51423
    2Club Brugge KV1062217:11620
    3Anderlecht1053215:9618
    4Gent1052317:13417
    5St. Truiden1052315:12317
    6KV Mechelen1044213:11216
    7Genk1042414:14014
    8Waregem1042413:13014
    9Westerlo1041518:20-213
    10Charleroi1033413:14-112
    11RAAL La Louviere103347:9-212
    12St. Liege103259:13-411
    13Antwerp1025310:12-211
    14Cercle Brugge KSV1024413:14-110
    15Leuven102268:19-118
    16Dender100373:15-123

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