Result
 
                    1:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        20/09/2025 at  12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Jupiler Pro League - Round 8
- Referee: Allaerts M. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.29 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 36% | 64% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 9 | 19 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 2 | 4 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 11 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 77% (204/264) | 88% (434/491) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 3 | 1 | 
| Red Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.29 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.52 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 9 | 19 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 2 | 4 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 5 | 7 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 2 | 8 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 5 | 11 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 4 | 8 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Headed Goals | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 11 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 16 | 33 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 6 | 2 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 14 | 12 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 77% (204/264) | 88% (434/491) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 46% (26/56) | 71% (35/49) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 62% (49/79) | 81% (125/154) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 19% (6/32) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.46 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 11 | 13 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 12 | 14 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 67% (6/9) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 50 | 43 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 36 | 17 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 12 | 5 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.35 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -1.48 | -0.65 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Pflucke P. ⚽, Camara E. (A), 
- 24', Ousou A. 🟥, 
- 27', Colassin A. ↓, Boukamir A. ↑, 
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Gavriel S. ↓, Ake M. ↑, 
- 46', Nnadi T. ↓, Vossen J. ↑, 
- 55', Pflucke P. ↓, Blum L. ↑, 
- 55', Nzita M. ↓, Gaudin J. ↑, 
- 62', Cappelle Y. ↓, Soglo E. ↑, 
- 62', Paugain W. ↓, Nyssen B. ↑, 
- 62', Keita C. 🟨, 
- 62', 1 - 1, Opoku J. ⚽, 
- 67', Kiilerich J. 🟨, 
- 73', Van Den Kerkhof K. 🟨, 
- 77', Opoku J. ↓, Ujka S. ↑, 
- 78', Bernier A. ↓, Khalifi Y. ↑, 
- 79', Titraoui Y. ↓, Szymczak F. ↑, 
- 80', Blum L. 🟨, 
- 90+4', 1 - 2, Vossen J. ⚽, Ementa A. (A), 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Charleroi 52.2%
 | Draw 25.1%
 | Zulte Waregem 22.7%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Charleroi - Zulte Waregem Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 1.83 ↑ (1.7)
 | 3.82 ↓ (4.18)
 | 4.3 ↓ (4.53)
 | 4% (4.8%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Charleroi - Zulte Waregem?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            12 users predict this event. Charleroi will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Waregem will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Charleroi: 50.5% – 99.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 13 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 3.
- Charleroi is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Waregem has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Charleroi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Charleroi is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Charleroi: Sow M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 42:27. (average 2.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Charleroi won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:8. (average 2.6:1).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Charleroi won against Zulte Waregem?
                    
                    
                        
                            Charleroi has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Zulte Waregem won against Charleroi?
                    
                    
                        
                             Zulte Waregem has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Charleroi - Zulte Waregem were as follows:
                                                        
                                08.04.2023 
                                Charleroi 
                                - 
                                Zulte Waregem 
                                3:2
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Charleroi                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Zulte Waregem                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 24:6 | 18 | 29 | 
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 26 | 
| 3 | Gent | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22:17 | 5 | 20 | 
| 4 | KV Mechelen | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 20 | 
| 5 | Anderlecht | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 19 | 
| 6 | Waregem | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 18 | 
| 7 | St. Truiden | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 18 | 
| 8 | Genk | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 16 | 
| 9 | Westerlo | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19:21 | -2 | 15 | 
| 10 | Charleroi | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 15 | 
| 11 | St. Liege | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 14 | 
| 12 | RAAL La Louviere | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 14 | 
| 13 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 12 | 
| 14 | Antwerp | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 | 
| 15 | Leuven | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9:21 | -12 | 9 | 
| 16 | Dender | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5:19 | -14 | 4 | 
      Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
      Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )