Result
1:0
07/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 24
- Referee: Letellier A. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.48 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (345/419) | 81% (333/410) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 0.97 | 0.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
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| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 26 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
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| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
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| 82% (345/419) | 81% (333/410) |
| Long passes |
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| 55% (26/47) | 61% (30/49) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 70% (100/143) | 69% (73/106) |
| Crosses |
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| 29% (5/17) | 35% (6/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.32 | 0.59 |
| Throw ins |
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| 13 | 31 |
| Fouls |
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| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
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| 83% (10/12) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
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| 44 | 37 |
| Clearances |
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| 21 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
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| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.61 | 0.97 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.61 | -0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 5', Marijnissen L. 🟨,
- 7', Willen L. 🟨,
- 13', Goncalves B. 🟨,
- 13', Sambu M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', Opoku J. ↓, Ake M. ↑,
- 68', Jahanbakhsh A. ↓, Toshevski D. ↑,
- 68', Sambu M. ↓, De Kerf B. ↑,
- 72', Goncalves B. ↓, De Fougerolles L. ↑,
- 72', Nsimba B. ↓, Berte M. ↑,
- 78', Claes T. ↓, Gavriel S. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 0, Gavriel S. ⚽, Ementa A. (A),
- 82', Viltard M. ↓, Acquah D. ↑,
- 87', Nyssen B. ↓, Paugain W. ↑,
- 87', Soglo E. ↓, Cappelle Y. ↑,
- 90+3', Toshevski D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Zulte Waregem
41.7% | Draw
29.1% | Dender EH
29.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zulte Waregem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zulte Waregem's form might have worsened.Dender EH has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zulte Waregem than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zulte Waregem, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (-3%)
Zulte Waregem - Dender EH Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↑
(1.93) |
3.26 ↓
(3.69) |
3.24 ↓
(3.71) |
5.7%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Zulte Waregem - Dender EH?
Users Predictions:
Zulte Waregem will win
(16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Zulte Waregem will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 16 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
- Waregem is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Dender EH has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Waregem could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Waregem: Lemoine L.
(Surgery)
Mituljikic N.
(Muscle Injury)
Ujka S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Dender EH: Dietsch G.
(Foot Injury)
Verrips M.
(Shoulder Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Waregem won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Waregem won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Zulte Waregem won against Dender EH?
Zulte Waregem has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dender EH won against Zulte Waregem?
Dender EH has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zulte Waregem - Dender EH were as follows:
07.11.2025
Dender EH
-
Zulte Waregem
2:2
29.10.2024
Zulte Waregem
-
Dender EH
2:1
13.04.2024
Dender EH
-
Zulte Waregem
1:4
01.09.2023
Zulte Waregem
-
Dender EH
1:1
Latest results of Zulte Waregem
Latest results of Dender EH
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 50:17 | 33 | 66 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 59:36 | 23 | 63 |
| 3 | St. Truiden | 30 | 18 | 3 | 9 | 47:35 | 12 | 57 |
| 4 | Gent | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 49:43 | 6 | 45 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 39:37 | 2 | 45 |
| 6 | Anderlecht | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 43:39 | 4 | 44 |
| 7 | Genk | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 46:47 | -1 | 42 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 27:35 | -8 | 40 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 36:40 | -4 | 39 |
| 10 | Antwerp | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
| 11 | Charleroi | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 38:42 | -4 | 34 |
| 12 | Leuven | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 34 |
| 13 | Waregem | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 38:47 | -9 | 32 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39:47 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 31 |
| 16 | Dender | 30 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 24:51 | -27 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
