Result
3:2
31/08/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 6
- Referee: Van Driessche B. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 2, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.24 | 1.36 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (312/377) | 84% (372/443) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.24 | 1.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.64 | 1.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (312/377) | 84% (372/443) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (30/55) | 61% (35/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (77/121) | 76% (97/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.55 | 2.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.45 | -0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Erenbjerg J. ⚽, Claes T. (A),
- 13', 1 - 1, Sadick M. ⚽, Smets M. (A),
- 14', Mirisola R. 🟨,
- 29', 2 - 1, Mirisola R. ⚽, El Ouahdi Z. (A),
- 33', Sadick M. 🟥,
- 35', 2 - 2, Tanghe A. (Pen),
- 38', Bangoura I. ↓, Kongolo J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', Lofolomo E. 🟨,
- 56', 3 - 2, El Ouahdi Z. ⚽, Steuckers J. (A),
- 63', Ujka S. ↓, Mituljikic N. ↑,
- 74', Nnadi T. 🟨,
- 77', Steuckers J. ↓, Adedeji-Sternberg N. ↑,
- 77', Ito J. ↓, Medina Y. ↑,
- 77', Karetsas K. ↓, Sattlberger N. ↑,
- 78', Lofolomo E. ↓, Ementa A. ↑,
- 82', Claes T. ↓, Gavriel S. ↑,
- 88', Mirisola R. ↓, Nkuba K. ↑,
- 90+2', Kayembe J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Genk
68.8% | Draw
18.1% | Zulte Waregem
13% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Genk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Zulte Waregem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk than the current prediction. (+1.9%)The ML Model estimate for Zulte Waregem aligns with the current prediction.
Genk - Zulte Waregem Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↓
(1.39) |
5.16
(5.16) |
7.51 ↑
(7.01) |
5.8%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Genk - Zulte Waregem?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Genk will win (votes: 9 - 90%). Waregem will win (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genk: 71.4% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 13 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genk won 5.
- Genk has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Waregem is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Genk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Genk is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Genk: Heymans D.
(Ankle Injury)
Van Crombrugge H.
(Back Injury)
- There will not play in Waregem: Hedl T.
(Red Card)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Genk won 16 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 44:17. (average 2.2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Genk won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:6. (average 2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Genk won against Zulte Waregem?
Genk has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zulte Waregem won against Genk?
Zulte Waregem has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Genk - Zulte Waregem were as follows:
14.01.2023
Genk
-
Zulte Waregem
1:0
Latest results of Zulte Waregem
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 15:3 | 12 | 17 |
| 2 | St. Truiden | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 | Charleroi | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 4 | KV Mechelen | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Club Brugge KV | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Westerlo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 | Antwerp | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Genk | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Gent | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | St. Liege | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 | Waregem | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 | RAAL La Louviere | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Leuven | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:14 | -8 | 7 |
| 16 | Dender | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2:10 | -8 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
