Result
2:1
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 21
- Referee: D'hondt L. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 0.47 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (316/383) | 88% (547/620) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 0.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 1.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (316/383) | 88% (547/620) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (41/65) | 51% (20/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (80/115) | 73% (106/146) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 0% (0/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.56 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | -0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 40', Smets M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 47', Sattlberger N. 🟨,
- 59', Lofolomo E. 🟨,
- 66', Sor Y. ↓, Ito J. ↑,
- 66', Sattlberger N. ↓, Bangoura I. ↑,
- 66', Mirisola R. ↓, Bibout A. ↑,
- 73', Soglo E. ↓, Cappelle Y. ↑,
- 73', Nyssen B. ↓, Paugain W. ↑,
- 74', 0 - 1, Bibout A. ⚽, El Ouahdi Z. (A),
- 76', 1 - 1, Ake M. ⚽,
- 82', Heymans D. ↓, Steuckers J. ↑,
- 83', Paugain W. 🟨,
- 85', Erenbjerg J. ↓, Gavriel S. ↑,
- 85', Medina Y. ↓, Palacios A. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 1, Paugain W. ⚽,
- 90+3', De Jaegere B. ↓, Tanghe A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Zulte Waregem
25.9% | Draw
26.5% | Genk
47.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zulte Waregem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Genk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zulte Waregem than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Zulte Waregem - Genk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.63 ↑
(3.45) |
3.57 ↑
(3.56) |
1.98 ↑
(1.98) |
6.1%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Zulte Waregem - Genk?
Users Predictions:
31 users predict this event. Waregem will win (votes: 3 - 9.7%). Genk will win (votes: 24 - 77.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genk: 62.7% – 92.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Genk (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Genk will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Genk (votes: 14 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waregem won 0.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Recently, Waregem has had a series of away games.
- Genk might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Waregem: Willen L.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Genk: Adedeji-Sternberg N.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Waregem: Ndour A.
(Injury)
Opoku J.
(Injury)
Tanghe A.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Waregem won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 17:44. (average 0.9:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Waregem won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:21. (average 1:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Zulte Waregem won against Genk?
Zulte Waregem has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Genk won against Zulte Waregem?
Genk has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zulte Waregem - Genk were as follows:
31.08.2025
Genk
-
Zulte Waregem
3:2
14.01.2023
Genk
-
Zulte Waregem
1:0
Latest results of Zulte Waregem
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 56 |
| 2 | St. Truiden ✔ | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 26 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 49:31 | 18 | 53 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 40 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Gent | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 41:38 | 3 | 36 |
| 7 | Genk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 34 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Antwerp | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | -1 | 30 |
| 12 | Waregem | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Leuven | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 27 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:30 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | Dender | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
