Result
1:1
07/12/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 17
- Referee: Put B. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (305/382) | 82% (373/453) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (305/382) | 82% (373/453) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (30/59) | 61% (36/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (72/109) | 68% (85/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 15% (3/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.42 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.28 | 1.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.72 | 0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', 1 - 0, Verlinden T. ⚽, Lakomy L. (A),
- 35', 1 - 1, Nyssen B. ⚽, Nnadi T. (A),
- 39', Verlinden T. ↓, Terho C. ↑,
- 40', Verstraete B. 🟨,
- 44', Ementa A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 63', Lemoine L. 🟨,
- 65', Maziz Y. ↓, Ikwuemesi C. ↑,
- 66', Ake M. ↓, Opoku J. ↑,
- 76', Gil O. ↓, Opoku D. ↑,
- 76', Kaba S. ↓, Traore A. K. ↑,
- 76', Lakomy L. ↓, George W. ↑,
- 81', Nyssen B. 🟨,
- 89', Soglo E. ↓, Gavriel S. ↑,
- 90+3', Traore A. K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
43.8% | Draw
28% | Zulte Waregem
28.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oud-Heverlee Leuven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Zulte Waregem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zulte Waregem than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Zulte Waregem Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↓
(2.25) |
3.37 ↑
(3.3) |
3.35 ↑
(3) |
5.8%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Zulte Waregem?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Oud-Heverlee Leuven will win
(16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Oud-Heverlee Leuven will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leuven won 3.
- Recent performances by Leuven have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Waregem has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Waregem may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Leuven might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Leuven: Kayo B.
(Knock)
Vlietinck T.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Waregem: Willen L.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Leuven: Schrijvers S.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Waregem: Paugain W.
(Inactive)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Leuven won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:28. (average 2.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leuven won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 2.1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Oud-Heverlee Leuven won against Zulte Waregem?
Oud-Heverlee Leuven has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zulte Waregem won against Oud-Heverlee Leuven?
Zulte Waregem has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Zulte Waregem were as follows:
13.09.2025
Zulte Waregem
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
2:0
04.12.2024
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Zulte Waregem
5:0
04.03.2023
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Zulte Waregem
4:2
08.10.2022
Zulte Waregem
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
2:5
Latest results of Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Latest results of Zulte Waregem
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 29 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 47:16 | 31 | 63 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 29 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 55:35 | 20 | 60 |
| 3 | St. Truiden ✔ | 29 | 18 | 3 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 57 |
| 4 | KV Mechelen ✔ | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 38:33 | 5 | 45 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 44 |
| 6 | Gent | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 46:42 | 4 | 42 |
| 7 | Genk | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 41:42 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 27:35 | -8 | 39 |
| 9 | Westerlo ✔ | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 36:40 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 | Antwerp ✔ | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31:31 | 0 | 35 |
| 11 | Charleroi ✔ | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 38:41 | -3 | 34 |
| 12 | Leuven | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
| 13 | RAAL La Louviere | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 25:32 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Waregem | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 29 |
| 15 | Cercle Brugge KSV ✔ | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 36:45 | -9 | 28 |
| 16 | Dender ✔ | 29 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 23:48 | -25 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
KV Mechelen is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Westerlo is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )
Antwerp is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )
Charleroi is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )
Cercle Brugge KSV is Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group )
Dender is Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group )
