Result
3:2
15/02/2026 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 25
- Referee: Verboomen N. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | Sporza, Sporza |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 1.13 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (280/416) | 56% (164/294) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 1.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 1.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (280/416) | 56% (164/294) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (21/74) | 31% (29/93) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (134/213) | 48% (60/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/27) | 6% (1/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.44 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 36 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 55% (11/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 51 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.27 | -1.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 18', 0 - 1, Opoku J. ⚽,
- 18', Kokubo L. 🟨,
- 25', 0 - 2, Opoku J. ⚽, Soglo E. (A),
- 33', Vrancken W. 🟨,
- 44', Kiilerich J. 🟥,
- 45+1', 1 - 2, Goto K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+6', 2 - 2, Jukleroed S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', Lofolomo E. 🟨,
- 62', Willen L. 🟨,
- 66', Soglo E. ↓, Cappelle Y. ↑,
- 66', Nyssen B. ↓, Paugain W. ↑,
- 67', Cappelle Y. 🟨,
- 69', Jukleroed S. ↓, Diouf O. ↑,
- 75', Opoku J. ↓, Asare D. ↑,
- 80', Vanwesemael R. 🟨,
- 82', Ito R. ↓, Merlen R. ↑,
- 85', 3 - 2, Mbe Soh L. ⚽, Yamamoto R. (A),
- 90', Claes T. ↓, Ake M. ↑,
- 90', Erenbjerg J. ↓, Gavriel S. ↑,
- 90+1', Yamamoto R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sint-Truidense
54.7% | Draw
25% | Zulte Waregem
20.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sint-Truidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Zulte Waregem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zulte Waregem than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Sint-Truidense - Zulte Waregem Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(1.74) |
3.78 ↓
(3.79) |
4.66 ↑
(4.39) |
5.7%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sint-Truidense - Zulte Waregem?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Sint-Truidense (1.19) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Sint-Truidense will win
(18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.7% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sint-Truidense will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Sint-Truidense (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sint-Truidense won 4.
- Sint-Truidense is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Waregem's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Sint-Truidense is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Waregem: Lemoine L.
(Surgery)
Mituljikic N.
(Muscle Injury)
Ujka S.
(Knee Injury)
- We predict that Sint-Truidense will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sint-Truidense won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:32. (average 1.2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sint-Truidense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Sint-Truidense won against Zulte Waregem?
Sint-Truidense has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zulte Waregem won against Sint-Truidense?
Zulte Waregem has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sint-Truidense - Zulte Waregem were as follows:
23.08.2025
Zulte Waregem
-
Sint-Truidense
0:2
11.01.2023
Zulte Waregem
-
Sint-Truidense
2:0
27.12.2022
Sint-Truidense
-
Zulte Waregem
2:0
17.09.2022
Zulte Waregem
-
Sint-Truidense
0:3
Latest results of Sint-Truidense
Latest results of Zulte Waregem
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 29 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 47:16 | 31 | 63 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 29 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 55:35 | 20 | 60 |
| 3 | St. Truiden ✔ | 29 | 18 | 3 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 57 |
| 4 | KV Mechelen ✔ | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 38:33 | 5 | 45 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 44 |
| 6 | Gent | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 46:42 | 4 | 42 |
| 7 | Genk | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 41:42 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 27:35 | -8 | 39 |
| 9 | Westerlo ✔ | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 36:40 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 | Antwerp ✔ | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31:31 | 0 | 35 |
| 11 | Charleroi ✔ | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 38:41 | -3 | 34 |
| 12 | Leuven | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
| 13 | RAAL La Louviere | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 25:32 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Waregem | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 29 |
| 15 | Cercle Brugge KSV ✔ | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 36:45 | -9 | 28 |
| 16 | Dender ✔ | 29 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 23:48 | -25 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
KV Mechelen is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Westerlo is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )
Antwerp is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )
Charleroi is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )
Cercle Brugge KSV is Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group )
Dender is Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group )
