Result
2:1
01/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 5
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 34', 1 - 0, Londe L. ⚽,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Demanuele N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 90+5', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Żurrieq
35.2% | Draw
23.8% | Marsa
41% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Żurrieq has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Żurrieq's form might have worsened.Marsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marsa's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Żurrieq than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Żurrieq, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marsa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Żurrieq - Marsa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.56 ↑
(2.19) |
3.79 ↓
(4.01) |
2.2 ↓
(2.58) |
10.9%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Żurrieq won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, Marsa has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Żurrieq won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Żurrieq won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Żurrieq won against Marsa?
Żurrieq has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marsa won against Żurrieq?
Marsa has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Żurrieq - Marsa were as follows:
13.09.2025
Marsa
-
Żurrieq
1:3
09.03.2025
Marsa
-
Żurrieq
0:2
01.12.2024
Marsa
-
Żurrieq
1:0
26.04.2024
Marsa
-
Żurrieq
0:0
09.03.2024
Żurrieq
-
Marsa
1:3
Latest results of Żurrieq
Maltese Challenge League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mgarr | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 39:29 | 10 | 33 |
| 2 | Gudja | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 29 |
| 3 | Santa Lucia | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 35:30 | 5 | 27 |
| 4 | Zurrieq | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 24 |
| 5 | Vittoriosa | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24:30 | -6 | 21 |
| 6 | Zebbug | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 22:44 | -22 | 19 |
| 7 | Marsa | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 31:37 | -6 | 16 |
| 8 | Mtarfa | 21 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 9:89 | -80 | -2 |
Relegation
