Żurrieq vs Naxxar Lions – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2 ET
04/03/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FA Trophy - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Yellow cards
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Vinicius Baiano ,
  • 44', Grech S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 60', JP Iseppe 🟨,
  • 71', Aquilina G. , Zammit I. ,
  • 74', 1 - 1, Jon Harding W. ,
  • 80', Letherby D. 🟨,
  • 81', MacKay S. , Borg C. ,
  • 86', Pahama N. , Montero Y. ,
  • 87', Letherby D. , Micallef M. ,
  • Extra Time (0 - 1)
  • 103', Jon Harding W. , Monney J. ,
  • 106', Costa Goncalves G. , Kontchou C. ,
  • 111', De 🟨,
  • 114', 1 - 2, Vitinho (Penalty Awarded),
  • 117', Zammit I. 🟨,
  • 118', Vinicius Baiano , Guehi S. ,
  • 120', Kontchou C. 🟨,
  • 120+1', Joao Moura 🟨,

Chances of winning


Żurrieq
20.3%
Draw
23.6%
Naxxar Lions
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.5% 22.1% 60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2% 21.7% 61.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Żurrieq has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Naxxar Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Żurrieq than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naxxar Lions than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Naxxar Lions could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Żurrieq - Naxxar Lions Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.46
    (5.14)
    3.84
    (4.08)
    1.61
    (1.49)
    10.5%
    (11%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Żurrieq - Naxxar Lions?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Żurrieq is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Naxxar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Żurrieq may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Żurrieq has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Naxxar is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Żurrieq won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:11. (average 0.3:3.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Żurrieq won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.5:4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Żurrieq - Naxxar Lions were as follows:
    06.02.2025 Żurrieq - Naxxar Lions 0:4
    05.02.2023 Naxxar Lions - Żurrieq 3:0
    02.09.2022 Żurrieq - Naxxar Lions 1:4
    Latest results of Żurrieq
    21.02.2026 Gudja United - Żurrieq 0:3
    14.02.2026 Pietà Hotspurs - Żurrieq 3:1
    07.02.2026 Sirens - Żurrieq 1:0
    01.02.2026 Żurrieq - Mġarr United 1:1
    Latest results of Naxxar Lions
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1TarxienBye
    2ByeGhajnsielem
    3PembrokeBye
    4ByeValletta
    5HamrunBye
    6Victoria HotspursXaghra3 : 1
    7FguraBye
    8SirensSanta Lucia1 : 2
    9BirkirkaraBye
    10ByeVictoria Wanderers
    11PietaBye
    12ByeMtarfa
    13FlorianaBye
    14ByeMarsaxlokk
    15ZabbarBye
    16MelitaXewkija0 : 1
    17St. AndrewsVittoriosa3 : 0
    18ByeGzira
    19HiberniansBye
    20ByeGudja
    21ZebbugQala Saints0 : 5
    22ByeMgarr
    23MostaBye
    24ByeMqabba FC
    25ZurrieqBye
    26ByeKercem Ajax
    27QormiBalzan1 : 4
    28NadurBirzebbuga1 : 4
    29SliemaBye
    30ByeSwieqi
    31MarsaBye
    32ByeNaxxar

    1/16-finals
    1TarxienGhajnsielem4 : 0
    2PembrokeValletta0 : 1
    3HamrunVictoria Hotspurs5 : 0
    4FguraSanta Lucia2 : 1
    5BirkirkaraVictoria Wanderers3 : 1
    6PietaMtarfa5 : 0
    7FlorianaMarsaxlokk1 : 0
    8ZabbarXewkija1 : 0
    9St. AndrewsGzira0 : 2
    10HiberniansGudja3 : 1
    11Qala SaintsMgarr0 : 2
    12MostaMqabba FC2 : 1
    13ZurrieqKercem Ajax4 : 0
    14BalzanBirzebbuga1 : 2
    15SliemaSwieqi1 : 2
    16MarsaNaxxar0 : 3

    1/8-finals
    1TarxienValletta0 : 1
    2HamrunFgura5 : 0
    3BirkirkaraPieta2 : 0
    4FlorianaZabbar0 : 1
    5GziraHibernians3 : 2
    6MgarrMosta0 : 3
    7ZurrieqBirzebbuga3 : 0
    8SwieqiNaxxar2 : 4

    Quarter-finals
    1VallettaHamrun3 : 1
    2BirkirkaraZabbar2 : 1
    3GziraMosta2 : 1
    4ZurrieqNaxxar1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1VallettaBirkirkara
    2GziraNaxxar

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2