Zvezda Moscow vs Norilsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
15/02/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • VHL

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 07:05, 0 - 1, Skorikov D. (G), Barinov S. (A),
  • 17:20, 1 - 1, Khulapov D. (G), Barabosha A. (A), Shalyshkin N. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (2 - 0)
  • 08:13, 2 - 1, Lazutin D. (G), Vlasenko D. (A),
  • 09:00, 3 - 1, Solovyov Y. (G), Barantsev D. (A),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 02:41, 4 - 1, Savvateyev V. (G), Vlasenko D. (A), Gordeyev M. (A2)

Official Live

Chances of winning


Zvezda Moscow
52.8%
Draw
23%
Norilsk
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 23.5% 26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4% 25.3% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Zvezda Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Norilsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zvezda Moscow than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zvezda Moscow that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Zvezda Moscow - Norilsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.84)
    4.02
    (3.92)
    3.81
    (3.47)
    8.3%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zvezda Moscow won 4.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Norilsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Zvezda Moscow is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Zvezda Moscow will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Zvezda Moscow won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 3:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Zvezda Moscow won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 3.3:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Zvezda Moscow - Norilsk were as follows:
    02.10.2025 Norilsk - Zvezda Moscow 1:2
    27.02.2025 Zvezda Moscow - Norilsk 5:4
    23.09.2024 Norilsk - Zvezda Moscow 2:4
    23.01.2024 Zvezda Moscow - Norilsk 5:1
    28.09.2023 Norilsk - Zvezda Moscow 5:2
    Latest results of Zvezda Moscow
    Latest results of Norilsk
    13.02.2026 Khimik - Norilsk 2:3
    11.02.2026 Torpedo-Gorky - Norilsk 4:0
    07.02.2026 Norilsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk 1:0
    03.02.2026 Norilsk - Chelmet 2:3
    VHL Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Metallurg Novokuznetsk ✔ 56341147196:12294
    2HC Yugra ✔ 5534867151:8590
    3Almetyevsk ✔ 5531699196:11183
    4Khimik54295713161:11175
    5Magnitka Magnitogorsk54247815160:12070
    6Gornyak55238717161:13469
    7Perm552012518133:13969
    8Izhevsk55283618139:12268
    9CSK VVS54238617153:12568
    10Ryazan54257418146:12868
    11Dizel55255817139:12268
    12Chelmet Chelyabinsk54255717155:14467
    13Omskie Krylia55266320145:12267
    14Krasnoyarsk571811820134:13866
    15Torpedo Gorky54227619151:12564
    16Rubin Tyumen551712620131:12564
    17Bars542241216116:11964
    18Toros Neftekamsk55216820127:13762
    19Kurgan55197722129:13059
    20Dinamo St. Petersburg55215623146:14158
    21Zvezda Moscow54224523119:12557
    22AKM551213624124:15356
    23Tambov55177625136:15154
    24SKA-VMF St. Petersburg55194626109:14352
    25Olympia5412892595:14049
    26Orsk5317292586:14047
    27Dyn. Altay56127928120:17247
    28Buran Voronezh56146729117:16647
    29Kristall Saratov54163629116:15444
    30HK Norilsk55135532109:15341
    31Chelny54127233122:16840
    32HC Rostov55113932110:16737

          Promotion ~ VHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Metallurg Novokuznetsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    HC Yugra is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Almetyevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)