Zvezda Moscow vs Norilsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
15/02/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • VHL

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 07:05, 0 - 1, Skorikov D. (G), Barinov S. (A),
  • 17:20, 1 - 1, Khulapov D. (G), Barabosha A. (A), Shalyshkin N. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (2 - 0)
  • 08:13, 2 - 1, Lazutin D. (G), Vlasenko D. (A),
  • 09:00, 3 - 1, Solovyov Y. (G), Barantsev D. (A),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 02:41, 4 - 1, Savvateyev V. (G), Vlasenko D. (A), Gordeyev M. (A2)

Official Live

Chances of winning


Zvezda Moscow
52.8%
Draw
23%
Norilsk
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 23.5% 26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4% 25.3% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Zvezda Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Norilsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zvezda Moscow than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zvezda Moscow that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Zvezda Moscow - Norilsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.84)
    4.02
    (3.92)
    3.81
    (3.47)
    8.3%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zvezda Moscow won 4.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Norilsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Zvezda Moscow is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Zvezda Moscow will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Zvezda Moscow won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 3:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Zvezda Moscow won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 3.3:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Zvezda Moscow - Norilsk were as follows:
    02.10.2025 Norilsk - Zvezda Moscow 1:2
    27.02.2025 Zvezda Moscow - Norilsk 5:4
    23.09.2024 Norilsk - Zvezda Moscow 2:4
    23.01.2024 Zvezda Moscow - Norilsk 5:1
    28.09.2023 Norilsk - Zvezda Moscow 5:2
    Latest results of Zvezda Moscow
    Latest results of Norilsk
    13.02.2026 Khimik - Norilsk 2:3
    11.02.2026 Torpedo-Gorky - Norilsk 4:0
    07.02.2026 Norilsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk 1:0
    03.02.2026 Norilsk - Chelmet 2:3
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Metallurg Novokuznetsk (1)CSK VVS (16)1 : 0
    2Gornyak (8)Perm (9)
    3Khimik (4)Izhevsk (13)
    4Magnitka Magnitogorsk (5)Torpedo Gorky (12)
    5HC Yugra (2)Bars (15)
    6Omskie Krylia (7)Chelmet Chelyabinsk (10)0 : 1
    7Almetyevsk (3)Dizel (14)
    8Ryazan (6)Rubin Tyumen (11)