SKA-VMF vs Zvezda Moscow – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
20/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • VHL

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 1)
  • 18:15, 0 - 1, Averochkin M. (G),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 14:54, 1 - 1, Nugmanov A. (G),
  • 19:55, 1 - 2, Maistrenko O. (G),
  • 3rd Period (2 - 0)
  • 13:35, 2 - 2, Kuzminov Y. (G), Gurzanov Y. (A),
  • 18:45, 3 - 2, Vydrenkov I. (G), Surayev N. (A), Mamaladze D. (A2)

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


SKA-VMF
36.3%
Draw
24.6%
Zvezda Moscow
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.7% 24.3% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4% 25.1% 34%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SKA-VMF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SKA-VMF's form might have worsened.
  • Zvezda Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zvezda Moscow's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA-VMF than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SKA-VMF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zvezda Moscow than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zvezda Moscow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • SKA-VMF - Zvezda Moscow Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (2.15)
    3.75
    (3.78)
    2.36
    (2.79)
    8.4%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.50
    What is the prediction for SKA-VMF - Zvezda Moscow?
  • Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SKA-VMF won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • SKA-VMF may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Zvezda Moscow has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SKA-VMF won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 66:49. (average 3.3:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, SKA-VMF won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:29. (average 3.5:2.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between SKA-VMF - Zvezda Moscow were as follows:
    27.09.2025 Zvezda Moscow - SKA-VMF 1:0
    23.01.2025 SKA-VMF - Zvezda Moscow 4:3
    01.11.2024 Zvezda Moscow - SKA-VMF 2:5
    11.08.2024 SKA-VMF - Zvezda Moscow 3:7
    18.02.2024 Zvezda Moscow - SKA-VMF 2:6
    Latest results of SKA-VMF
    18.02.2026 SKA-VMF - Khimik 0:3
    16.02.2026 SKA-VMF - Torpedo-Gorky 3:2
    11.02.2026 Yuzhny Ural Orsk - SKA-VMF 2:3
    07.02.2026 Chelmet - SKA-VMF 3:2
    Latest results of Zvezda Moscow
    VHL Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Metallurg Novokuznetsk ✔ 56341147196:12294
    2HC Yugra ✔ 5534867151:8590
    3Almetyevsk ✔ 5531699196:11183
    4Khimik54295713161:11175
    5Magnitka Magnitogorsk54247815160:12070
    6Gornyak55238717161:13469
    7Perm552012518133:13969
    8Izhevsk55283618139:12268
    9CSK VVS54238617153:12568
    10Ryazan54257418146:12868
    11Dizel55255817139:12268
    12Chelmet Chelyabinsk54255717155:14467
    13Omskie Krylia55266320145:12267
    14Krasnoyarsk571811820134:13866
    15Torpedo Gorky54227619151:12564
    16Rubin Tyumen551712620131:12564
    17Bars542241216116:11964
    18Toros Neftekamsk55216820127:13762
    19Kurgan55197722129:13059
    20Dinamo St. Petersburg55215623146:14158
    21Zvezda Moscow54224523119:12557
    22AKM551213624124:15356
    23Tambov55177625136:15154
    24SKA-VMF St. Petersburg55194626109:14352
    25Olympia5412892595:14049
    26Orsk5317292586:14047
    27Dyn. Altay56127928120:17247
    28Buran Voronezh56146729117:16647
    29Kristall Saratov54163629116:15444
    30HK Norilsk55135532109:15341
    31Chelny54127233122:16840
    32HC Rostov55113932110:16737

          Promotion ~ VHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Metallurg Novokuznetsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    HC Yugra is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Almetyevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)