Result
1:0
13/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 16
- Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Indonesia | Kompas TV, Vidio |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.71 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (204/286) | 82% (414/506) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 0.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 12 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (204/286) | 82% (414/506) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (23/60) | 43% (24/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (58/97) | 71% (101/143) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 22% (7/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.18 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.20 | 2.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Kostons K. ⚽, Shoretire S. (A),
- 13', Lonwijk J. 🟨,
- 37', Graves S. 🟨,
- 43', Kostons K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 49', van Ottele S. 🟨,
- 59', Pinto I. ↓, Limnios D. ↑,
- 59', Lonwijk J. ↓, Gladon P. ↑,
- 59', Peterson K. ↓, Aiko M. ↑,
- 67', Monteiro J. ↓, Buurmeester Z. ↑,
- 70', Marquez I. ↓, Brittijn P. ↑,
- 73', Fosso R. 🟨,
- 83', van Ottele S. ↓, Bastien S. ↑,
- 84', Oosting T. ↓, Fichtinger N. ↑,
- 90', Floranus S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Zwolle
37.8% | Draw
26.6% | Fortuna Sittard
35.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zwolle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zwolle's form might have worsened.Fortuna Sittard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fortuna Sittard's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zwolle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fortuna Sittard, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Zwolle - Fortuna Sittard Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.51 ↑
(2.1) |
3.57 ↑
(3.5) |
2.68 ↓
(3.2) |
5.2%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Zwolle - Fortuna Sittard?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Zwolle will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zwolle: 41.1% – 82.7%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zwolle (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1.5 - Fortuna Sittard (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Zwolle (votes: 1 - 50%). Fortuna Sittard (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 4.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Zwolle: Lagsir S.
(Inactive)
Manu B. M.
(Inactive)
Renwarin G.
(Inactive)
Schendelaar J.
(Injury)
Velanas O.
(Ankle Injury)
van der Haar D.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Bayram R.
(Knee Injury)
Halilovic A.
(Ankle Injury)
Hubner J.
(Red Card)
Sinkgraven D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Zwolle: Thomas R.
(Injury)
Voute D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:18. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zwolle won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:5. (average 2.1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Zwolle won against Fortuna Sittard?
Zwolle has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortuna Sittard won against Zwolle?
Fortuna Sittard has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zwolle - Fortuna Sittard were as follows:
26.01.2025
Fortuna Sittard
-
Zwolle
1:4
09.11.2024
Zwolle
-
Fortuna Sittard
3:1
16.03.2024
Fortuna Sittard
-
Zwolle
3:1
05.11.2023
Zwolle
-
Fortuna Sittard
2:0
Latest results of Fortuna Sittard
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV ✔ | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 84:40 | 44 | 74 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 62:41 | 21 | 55 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 72:48 | 24 | 54 |
| 4 | Twente | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 51:32 | 19 | 53 |
| 5 | Ajax | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 57:37 | 20 | 51 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 52:45 | 7 | 48 |
| 7 | Utrecht | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 49:36 | 13 | 44 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 53:50 | 3 | 44 |
| 9 | Groningen | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 42:37 | 5 | 42 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 35:49 | -14 | 42 |
| 11 | G.A. Eagles | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 50:45 | 5 | 36 |
| 12 | Sittard | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 44:55 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 40:60 | -20 | 34 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 31:50 | -19 | 28 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 31:51 | -20 | 28 |
| 16 | Telstar | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 39:52 | -13 | 27 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30:51 | -21 | 25 |
| 18 | Heracles | 30 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 34:77 | -43 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
Clinched Spots for Teams
PSV is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
