Fortuna Sittard vs Zwolle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie Fortuna Sittard - Zwolle
Result
1:4
26/01/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 20
  • Referee: van Boekel P. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, ESPN 1
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport ESPN

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.552.02
Ball Possession
43%57%
Goal Attempts
168
Shots on Goal
15
Shots off Goal
103
Blocked Shots
50
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
73
Shots inside the Box
138
Shots outside the Box
30
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
10
Free Kicks
810
Offsides
20
Fouls
108
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
10
Throw-ins
3118
Touches in the Opposition Box
3223
Passes
76% (266/349)83% (391/473)
Passes in the final third
65% (62/95)73% (101/139)
Crosses
27% (7/26)25% (4/16)
Tackles
60% (9/15)64% (14/22)
Clearances Total
1935
Interceptions
46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Vente D. , van der Haar D. (A),
  • 33', 0 - 2, Van Den Berg D. , Mbayo D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Pinto I. , Mitrovic J. ,
  • 46', Adewoye S. , van Ottele S. ,
  • 46', Dahlhaus J. , Dijks M. ,
  • 54', 1 - 2, Mitrovic J. ,
  • 60', 1 - 3, Vente D. (Pen),
  • 66', Rosier L. 🟨,
  • 67', Aiko M. , Tunjic L. ,
  • 68', Dijks M. 🟨,
  • 72', Aertssen O. , Reijnders E. ,
  • 75', Dijks M. 🟨,
  • 78', Halilovic A. , Grujcic D. ,
  • 78', Monteiro J. , Thomas R. ,
  • 78', El Azzouzi A. , Fichtinger N. ,
  • 81', 1 - 4, Krastev F. , Thomas R. (A),
  • 87', Mbayo D. , Velanas O. ,
  • 87', Vente D. , Buitink T. ,
  • 89', Krastev F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Fortuna Sittard
44.5%
Draw
27.1%
Zwolle
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.8% 25.1% 24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52% 24.5% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortuna Sittard's form might have worsened.
  • Zwolle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortuna Sittard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • Fortuna Sittard - Zwolle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (1.85)
    3.51
    (3.75)
    3.36
    (3.9)
    5%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Fortuna Sittard - Zwolle?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 9 - 32.1%). Zwolle will win (votes: 6 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 46.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 27.9%64.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Fortuna Sittard won 2.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Zwolle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Fortuna Sittard will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Fosso R. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Zwolle: Namli Y. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: Bullaude E. (Injury) Demir O. (Injury) Sierhuis K. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Zwolle: Gooijer T. (Knee Injury) Lagsir S. (Knee Injury) Schendelaar J. (Injury)
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Fortuna Sittard won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 17:20 (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Fortuna Sittard won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:5 (average 2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fortuna Sittard - Zwolle were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Zwolle - Fortuna Sittard 3:1
    16.03.2024 Fortuna Sittard - Zwolle 3:1
    05.11.2023 Zwolle - Fortuna Sittard 2:0
    Latest results of Fortuna Sittard
    Latest results of Zwolle
    18.01.2025 Zwolle - PSV Eindhoven 3:1
    11.01.2025 Zwolle - NEC Nijmegen 0:1
    20.12.2024 Waalwijk - Zwolle 1:1
    13.12.2024 Zwolle - Willem II 0:1
    08.12.2024 Groningen - Zwolle 0:0
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV330012:399
    2Nijmegen22009:186
    3Feyenoord22004:136
    4Zwolle22003:036
    5Sparta Rotterdam32016:7-16
    6AZ Alkmaar21106:334
    7Ajax21104:224
    8Utrecht21015:233
    9NAC Breda21012:3-13
    10Groningen31025:9-43
    11FC Volendam20203:302
    12G.A. Eagles30214:7-32
    13Sittard20113:4-11
    14Heerenveen20112:3-11
    15Twente20020:3-30
    16Telstar20020:4-40
    17Excelsior20021:7-60
    18Heracles20021:8-70

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie