Result
8:2
02/11/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 11
- Referee: Oostrom I. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.75 | 1.19 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (350/438) | 74% (250/337) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.75 | 1.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 5.93 | 0.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 43 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (350/438) | 74% (250/337) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (18/40) | 31% (20/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (104/153) | 50% (31/62) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (9/26) | 0% (0/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.79 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 84% (16/19) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.94 | 5.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.06 | -2.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (4 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, de Rooij K. ⚽, Kostons K. (A),
- 15', Fichtinger N. 🟨,
- 18', 1 - 1, Hornkamp J. ⚽, Limbombe B. (A),
- 20', Graves S. 🟨,
- 29', 2 - 1, Hornkamp J. ⚽, Hrustic A. (A),
- 32', 3 - 1, Hornkamp J. ⚽, Kulenovic L. (A),
- 38', Fichtinger N. 🟨,
- 39', 4 - 1, Kulenovic L. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (4 - 1)
- 50', 5 - 1, te Wierik M. ⚽, Ould Chikh W. (A),
- 57', Oosting T. ↓, Pereira da Gama J. ↑,
- 59', 6 - 1, Limbombe B. ⚽,
- 64', Hornkamp J. ↓, Bruns T. ↑,
- 64', Shoretire S. ↓, Faberski J. ↑,
- 65', Kostons K. ↓, Mbayo D. ↑,
- 67', 7 - 1, Van Hoorenbeeck A. ⚽, Hrustic A. (A),
- 68', te Wierik M. ↓, Wieckhoff J. ↑,
- 68', Ould Chikh W. ↓, Borges Sanches Y. ↑,
- 71', 7 - 2, de Rooij K. ⚽,
- 84', Limbombe B. ↓, Blokhuis S. ↑,
- 84', Mesik I. ↓, Tijink J. ↑,
- 89', 8 - 2, Bruns T. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Heracles Almelo
37.8% | Draw
27.2% | Zwolle
35% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heracles Almelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)The chances for Zwolle have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Heracles Almelo - Zwolle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↑
(2.41) |
3.46 ↓
(3.7) |
2.75 ↑
(2.71) |
5.3%
(5.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Heracles Almelo - Zwolle?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Heracles will win (votes: 9 - 34.6%). Zwolle will win (votes: 14 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zwolle: 34.6% – 73%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Heracles (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Zwolle will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Heracles (votes: 2 - 20%). Zwolle (votes: 7 - 70%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heracles won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Heracles may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Heracles: Cestic S.
(Broken ankle)
Engels M.
(Red Card)
Reine-Adelaide J.
(Knee Injury)
Scheperman S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Zwolle: Buurmeester Z.
(Ankle Injury)
Velanas O.
(Ankle Injury)
van der Haar D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Heracles: Benita M.
(Injury)
Wieckhoff J.
(Inactive)
van Gilst T.
(Health problems)
- There are questionable in Zwolle: Gooijer T.
(Injury)
Thomas R.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Heracles won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:28. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Heracles won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:12. (average 2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Heracles Almelo won against Zwolle?
Heracles Almelo has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zwolle won against Heracles Almelo?
Zwolle has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heracles Almelo - Zwolle were as follows:
02.03.2025
Heracles Almelo
-
Zwolle
4:2
01.09.2024
Zwolle
-
Heracles Almelo
3:0
28.04.2024
Zwolle
-
Heracles Almelo
3:1
01.10.2023
Heracles Almelo
-
Zwolle
2:1
15.01.2023
Heracles Almelo
-
Zwolle
0:3
Latest results of Heracles Almelo
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 70:29 | 41 | 62 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 55:33 | 22 | 48 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 59:40 | 19 | 43 |
| 4 | Ajax | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 43 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:38 | 4 | 39 |
| 6 | Twente | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:40 | -9 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 36:31 | 5 | 31 |
| 9 | Groningen | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Sittard | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 36:43 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 37:39 | -2 | 26 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26:39 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 28:41 | -13 | 18 |
| 18 | Heracles | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 31:62 | -31 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
