Result
4:2
02/03/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 24
- Referee: Vos M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.91 | 0.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 34 | 21 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 30 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (250/340) | 75% (227/304) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 57% (71/124) | 61% (34/56) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 33% (2/6) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 70% (16/23) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 14 | 48 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 8', van der Haar D. 🟨,
- 8', 1 - 0, De Keersmaecker B. (Pen),
- 9', 1 - 1, Vente D. ⚽,
- 18', Monteiro J. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 2, Garcia MacNulty A. ⚽, Van Den Berg D. (A),
- 40', Mesik I. 🟨,
- 44', 2 - 2, Bruns T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', van der Haar D. ↓, Lutonda T. ↑,
- 46', Aertssen O. ↓, Floranus S. ↑,
- 58', 3 - 2, Talvitie J. ⚽, Podgoreanu S. (A),
- 60', Talvitie J. ↓, Engels M. ↑,
- 63', 4 - 2, Hornkamp J. ⚽, Engels M. (A),
- 67', Van Den Berg D. ↓, Thomas R. ↑,
- 68', Krastev F. ↓, Velanas O. ↑,
- 76', Hornkamp J. ↓, Limbombe B. ↑,
- 77', Bruns T. ↓, van Oorschot D. ↑,
- 82', Monteiro J. ↓, Buitink T. ↑,
- 90', De Keersmaecker B. ↓, van Kaam D. ↑,
- 90', Podgoreanu S. ↓, Benita M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Heracles Almelo
42.4% | Draw
28.5% | Zwolle
29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Zwolle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Heracles Almelo - Zwolle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↓
(2.38) |
3.33 ↓
(3.5) |
3.26 ↑
(2.8) |
5.5%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Heracles Almelo - Zwolle?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Heracles will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Zwolle will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heracles: 25.5% – 74.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 15 and 13).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Heracles won 1.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Heracles could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Zwolle: Gooijer T.
(Knee Injury)
Lagsir S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Heracles: Cestic S.
(Broken ankle)
Laursen N.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Zwolle: Namli Y.
(Groin Injury)
van der Haar D.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Heracles won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 29:26 (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Heracles won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20:10 (average 1.8:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Heracles Almelo won against Zwolle?
Heracles Almelo has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zwolle won against Heracles Almelo?
Zwolle has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heracles Almelo - Zwolle were as follows:
01.09.2024
Zwolle
-
Heracles Almelo
3:0
28.04.2024
Zwolle
-
Heracles Almelo
3:1
01.10.2023
Heracles Almelo
-
Zwolle
2:1
15.01.2023
Heracles Almelo
-
Zwolle
0:3
14.10.2022
Zwolle
-
Heracles Almelo
3:2
Latest results of Heracles Almelo
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sittard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Telstar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | FC Volendam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Zwolle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | PSV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | NAC Breda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Twente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Nijmegen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | AZ Alkmaar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Heracles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | G.A. Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Groningen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
