Willem II vs Zwolle: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

14/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Koning Willem II Stadion (Tilburg).

: Eredivisie - Round 33
Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.00	1.09
Ball Possession
42%	58%
Total shots
15	16
Shots on target
3	6
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
3	8
Passes
73% (257/350)	84% (401/478)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00	1.09
xG on target (xGOT)
0.85	1.88
Total shots
15	16
Shots on target
3	6
Shots off target
5	6
Blocked Shots
7	4
Shots inside the Box
10	9
Shots outside the Box
5	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
3	8
Touches in opposition box
30	30
Accurate through passes
1	2
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
8	11
Passes
73% (257/350)	84% (401/478)
Long passes
40% (23/58)	45% (25/55)
Passes in final third
57% (50/87)	75% (126/168)
Crosses
21% (3/14)	31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.60	1.30
Throw-ins
26	23
Fouls
11	8
Tackles
69% (18/26)	47% (9/19)
Duels won
69	61
Clearances
15	30
Interceptions
16	15
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2
xGOT faced
1.88	0.85
Goals prevented
-0.12	-0.16

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Namli Y. ⚽, Van Den Berg D. (A),
29', Van Den Berg D. 🟨,
29', Nizet R. 🟨,
36', El Azzouzi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', Vaesen K. ↓, Bokila J. ↑,
63', Doodeman N. ↓, van Aalst U. ↑,
69', Mbayo D. ↓, de Rooij K. ↑,
69', Floranus S. ↓, van der Haar D. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Bosch J. ⚽,
77', Krastev F. ↓, Monteiro J. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Reijnders E. ⚽, de Rooij K. (A),
82', Kaygin D. ↓, Sylla Y. ↑,
89', Namli Y. ↓, Lagsir S. ↑,
90+1', Bosch J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Willem II
33.3%

Draw
28%

Zwolle
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

27.8%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

28.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Zwolle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Willem II - Zwolle Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.72)	3.42 ↑ (3.42)	2.45 ↓ (2.55)	5.2% (5.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Willem II - Zwolle?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Willem II will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Zwolle will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Willem II: 19.5% – 68.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Willem II (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation) and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 2.
Willem II is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Zwolle's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Zwolle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Willem II: Behounek R. (Red Card) Lachkar A. (Yellow Cards) Mathieu D. (Knee Injury) Sandra C. (Injury) Sigurgeirsson R. (Injury)
There will not play in Zwolle: Gooijer T. (Knee Injury) Lagsir S. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Zwolle: Aertssen O. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:25. (average 1.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Willem II won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Willem II won against Zwolle?

Willem II has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Zwolle won against Willem II?

Zwolle has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Willem II - Zwolle were as follows:

13.12.2024 Zwolle - Willem II 0:1

10.03.2023 Willem II - Zwolle 2:3

09.09.2022 Zwolle - Willem II 2:2

Latest results of Willem II

09.05.2025 Willem II - Heracles Almelo 1:2 ✺

03.05.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Willem II 1:1 ✺

27.04.2025 Fortuna Sittard - Willem II 1:0 ✺

13.04.2025 Willem II - Ajax 1:2 ✺

04.04.2025 Heerenveen - Willem II 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Zwolle

11.05.2025 Zwolle - Go Ahead Eagles 1:1 ✺

04.05.2025 NAC Breda - Zwolle 1:3 ✺

25.04.2025 Feyenoord - Zwolle 4:0 ✺

13.04.2025 Zwolle - Twente 1:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Almere City - Zwolle 2:2 ✺

Dutch Eredivisie Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sittard	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Telstar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	FC Volendam	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Zwolle	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	PSV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	NAC Breda	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Twente	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Heerenveen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Feyenoord	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Nijmegen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Utrecht	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	AZ Alkmaar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Sparta Rotterdam	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Heracles	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Excelsior	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	G.A. Eagles	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Groningen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
      Eredivisie (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

Which TV channels are streaming of Willem II - Zwolle?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


China	K-Ball
Netherlands	ESPN Extra