Result
1:3
27/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 22', 1 - 0, Correa L. ⚽,
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Remedi E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Vazquez L. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
- 46', Arezo M. ↓, Umpierrez L. ↑,
- 46', Jesus Trindade ↓, Garcia Cardozo D. G. ↑,
- 49', Santilli G. 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 2, Silvera M. ⚽,
- 64', Gonzalez C. ↓, Anasco M. ↑,
- 64', Rossi F. ↓, Gabriel Rossetto ↑,
- 66', Correa L. 🟨,
- 70', Bertocchi N. 🟨,
- 73', Sosa I. 🟨,
- 75', Brasil M. ↓, Gallard J. ↑,
- 75', Perez A. ↓, Olivera E. ↑,
- 78', Sosa I. ↓, Gularte E. ↑,
- 83', Olivera M. ↓, Baez J. ↑,
- 90+2', Gularte E. 🟨,
- 90+6', 1 - 3, Baez J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Cerro Largo
15.6% | Draw
24.3% | Peñarol de Montevideo
60.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro Largo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Cerro Largo - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.18 ↑
(5.08) |
3.77 ↑
(3.59) |
1.56 ↓
(1.7) |
6.7%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cerro Largo - Peñarol de Montevideo?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Peñarol (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Peñarol de Montevideo will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Largo won 1.
- Cerro Largo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Peñarol is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Cerro Largo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Peñarol is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerro Largo won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:29. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Largo won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Largo won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Cerro Largo has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Cerro Largo?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Largo - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
01.06.2025
Cerro Largo
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
1:1
30.03.2025
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Cerro Largo
0:2
17.08.2024
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Cerro Largo
0:0
18.02.2024
Cerro Largo
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
1:2
14.11.2023
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Cerro Largo
1:1
Latest results of Cerro Largo
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19:7 | 12 | 22 |
| 2 | Nacional | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 | 20 |
| 3 | Montevideo City | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 20 |
| 4 | Boston River | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | Liverpool M | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Cerro Largo | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10:9 | 1 | 16 |
| 7 | Defensor Sp | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 16 |
| 8 | Danubio | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:9 | 5 | 13 |
| 9 | CA Cerro | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | Miramar | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Progreso | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Juventud | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5:8 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Racing Montevideo | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:15 | -8 | 11 |
| 14 | Wanderers | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2:12 | -10 | 4 |
| 15 | River Plate | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 3 |
| 16 | Plaza Colonia | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6:20 | -14 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
