Result
20/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Peñarol de Montevideo
68.1% | Draw
20.5% | Juventud de Las Piedras
11.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Juventud de Las Piedras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud de Las Piedras than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Peñarol de Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↓
(1.38) |
4.55 ↑
(4.15) |
7.93 ↑
(7.47) |
7.9%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 3.
- Peñarol has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Juventud is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Peñarol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Peñarol is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 29:6. (average 1.8:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:2. (average 2.1:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Juventud de Las Piedras?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juventud de Las Piedras won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Juventud de Las Piedras has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras were as follows:
21.09.2025
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Juventud de Las Piedras
1:0
27.03.2025
Juventud de Las Piedras
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
0:2
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Latest results of Juventud de Las Piedras
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | 10 | 26 |
| 2 | Maldonado | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 22 |
| 3 | Penarol | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17:10 | 7 | 22 |
| 4 | Central Esp | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 18 |
| 5 | Liverpool M | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:13 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | Albion | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Defensor Sp | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9:7 | 2 | 16 |
| 8 | Nacional | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 | Montevideo City | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 10 | Danubio | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 | Wanderers | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 14 |
| 13 | Boston River | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | CA Cerro | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 9 |
| 15 | Juventud | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10:17 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | Progreso | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
