Result
1:1
05/05/2023 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 31
- Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Bosnia-and-herzegovina | SportKlub |
Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
Croatia | SportKlub |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
Germany | Sky Bundesliga, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
Norway | Viaplay |
Poland | Viaplay |
Portugal | Eleven Sports |
Serbia | SportKlub |
Slovenia | SportKlub, Sport TV |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Chances of winning
Arminia Bielefeld 43% | Draw 27% | Greuther Fürth 30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Greuther Fürth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Arminia Bielefeld - Greuther Fürth Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.21 ↓ (2.38) |
3.48 ↑ (3.33) |
3.16 ↑ (2.84) |
5.7% (7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Arminia Bielefeld - Greuther Fürth?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Arminia will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). Fürth will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 52.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.2% – 76.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation) and 12).
- Arminia has the most likely position - 16 (27.2%), project points - 35, currently - 29, a chance of relegated (40%), not chance of promoted.
- Fürth has the most likely position - 12 (25.77%), project points - 41, currently - 36, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), not chance of promoted.
- This event has quality 33, importance 43, match rating 38. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Arminia won 1.
- Arminia is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Fürth is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Arminia won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 25-22.
- Including matches at home between the teams Arminia won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-11.
How many head-to-head matches has Arminia Bielefeld won against Greuther Fürth?
Arminia Bielefeld has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Greuther Fürth won against Arminia Bielefeld?
Greuther Fürth has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arminia Bielefeld - Greuther Fürth were as follows:
28.10.2022
Greuther Fürth
-
Arminia Bielefeld
1:0
Latest results of Arminia Bielefeld
Latest results of Greuther Fürth
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Arminia Bielefeld | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 6 |
2 | Darmstadt | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 6 |
3 | Hannover | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
4 | Braunschweig | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
5 | Karlsruher SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
6 | Paderborn | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
7 | Greuther Furth | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
8 | Magdeburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
9 | Schalke | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
10 | Kaiserslautern | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
11 | Bochum | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
12 | Elversberg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
13 | Preussen Munster | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
14 | Hertha Berlin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
15 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 0 |
16 | Nurnberg | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
18 | Dusseldorf | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga