Fatih Karagümrükspor vs Galatasaray – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish Super League
Result
1:3
24/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 19
  • Referee: Karaoglan A. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.521.40
Ball possession
36%64%
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
34
Big chances
14
Corner kicks
26
Passes
80% (277/347)90% (558/617)
Yellow cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
0.521.40
xG on target (xGOT)
0.742.04
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
45
Blocked shots
32
Shots inside the box
510
Shots outside the box
51
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
14
Corner kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1420
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
71
Free kicks
138
Passes
80% (277/347)90% (558/617)
Long passes
49% (24/49)50% (20/40)
Passes in final third
71% (77/109)82% (133/163)
Crosses
10% (1/10)36% (10/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.350.82
Throw ins
2316
Fouls
813
Tackles
85% (11/13)58% (14/24)
Duels won
3943
Clearances
2122
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
2.040.74
Goals prevented
-0.96-0.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Gabriel Sara ⚽, Gundogan I. (A),
  • 23', Jakobs I. 🟨,
  • 27', 1 - 1, Kalayci B. ⚽, Serginho (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Torreira L. ↓, Lemina M. ↑,
  • 50', 1 - 2, Gabriel Sara ⚽, Sallai R. (A),
  • 55', 1 - 3, Osimhen V. ⚽, Gundogan I. (A),
  • 64', Doh M. ↓, Elmaz B. ↑,
  • 64', Serginho ↓, Cukur T. ↑,
  • 64', Akgun Y. ↓, Elmali E. ↑,
  • 64', Jakobs I. ↓, Karatas K. ↑,
  • 68', Yilmaz B. A. 🟨,
  • 70', Sallai R. ↓, Icardi M. ↑,
  • 77', Larsson S. ↓, Kone ↑,
  • 79', Osimhen V. ↓, Ayhan K. ↑,
  • 85', Kalayci B. ↓, Kalpakli T. ↑,

Chances of winning


Fatih Karagümrükspor
9.6%		Draw
14.6%		Galatasaray
75.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
11.8% 16.7% 71.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.2% 15.8% 75.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Galatasaray has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
    •

    Fatih Karagümrükspor - Galatasaray Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 10 ↑
    (7.9)    		 6.54 ↑
    (5.57)    		 1.24 ↓
    (1.31)    		 5.7%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrükspor - Galatasaray?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Galatasaray will win (votes: 16 - 84.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Galatasaray: 67.8% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Galatasaray (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.75, 1st Half - Galatasaray (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 11 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +1.5 - Karagümrük (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Karagümrük (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Galatasaray (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 1.
    • Karagümrük is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Galatasaray has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Galatasaray may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Galatasaray has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Galatasaray is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Karagümrük: Kranevitter M. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Galatasaray: Baltaci M. (Suspended) Singo W. (Muscle Injury) Unyay A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Karagümrük: Camacho J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Galatasaray: Torreira L. (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Karagümrük won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fatih Karagümrükspor - Galatasaray were as follows:
    15.08.2025 Galatasaray - Fatih Karagümrükspor 3:0
    12.05.2024 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Galatasaray 2:3
    29.02.2024 Galatasaray - Fatih Karagümrükspor 0:2
    20.12.2023 Galatasaray - Fatih Karagümrükspor 1:0
    23.04.2023 Galatasaray - Fatih Karagümrükspor 3:3
    Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
    17.01.2026 İstanbul Başakşehir - Fatih Karagümrükspor 2:1 ✺
    13.01.2026 Alanyaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 2:2
    09.01.2026 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Petrolul Ploieşti 1:2
    21.12.2025 Alanyaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 2:0 ✺
    17.12.2025 Fatih Karagümrükspor - İstanbulspor 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of Galatasaray
    21.01.2026 Galatasaray - Atlético Madrid 1:1 ✺
    17.01.2026 Galatasaray - Gaziantep 1:1 ✺
    13.01.2026 Fethiyespor - Galatasaray 1:2 ✺
    10.01.2026 Galatasaray - Fenerbahçe 0:2 ✺
    05.01.2026 Galatasaray - Trabzonspor 4:1 ✺
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray26204262:184464
    2Fenerbahce27179161:283360
    3Trabzonspor27186353:292460
    4Besiktas27157549:311852
    5Basaksehir27127844:301443
    6Goztepe261110530:201043
    7Samsunspor26811729:31-235
    8Kocaelispor27961223:32-933
    9Gaziantep27891036:46-1033
    10Alanyaspor27613833:32131
    11Rizespor26791032:36-430
    12Konyaspor27791131:39-830
    13Genclerbirligi27671428:37-925
    14Antalyaspor27671425:43-1825
    15Kasimpasa27591323:38-1524
    16Kayserispor274111221:48-2723
    17Eyupspor27571519:38-1922
    18Karagumruk27451824:47-2317

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig

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