Fatih Karagümrükspor vs İstanbulspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
17/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Turkish Cup - Round 1
  • Referee: Taskinsoy A. B. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaA Spor
turkeyTurkeyA Spor

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
66
Shots on target
13
Corner Kicks
90
Yellow Cards
20
Total shots
66
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
53
Corner Kicks
90
Free Kicks
1217
Throw-ins
1816

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 42', Gray A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Serginho , Sivri A. ,
  • 46', Kurukalip C. , Balkovec J. ,
  • 59', Demirol A. , Ozcan B. ,
  • 66', Sol M. , Yavuz S. ,
  • 74', Cinar A. 🟨,
  • 76', Johnson D. , Fofana D. D. ,
  • 79', Sandikci E. , Ay F. K. ,
  • 87', Sahin C. , Yilmaz T. ,
  • 87', Koseoglu E. , Bozkus B. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Fatih Karagümrükspor
65.9%
Draw
20.1%
İstanbulspor
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39% 26.1% 34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 25.8% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fatih Karagümrükspor's performance.
  • İstanbulspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and İstanbulspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-27.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fatih Karagümrükspor that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (+21.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that İstanbulspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Fatih Karagümrükspor - İstanbulspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (2.37)
    4.69
    (3.55)
    6.74
    (2.65)
    4.7%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrükspor - İstanbulspor?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Karagümrük (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Karagümrük (1.97) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.75 - Karagümrük (1.70) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.25 - Karagümrük (1.53) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Fatih Karagümrükspor will win (20 of 21 users predict this - 95.24%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 86.13%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fatih Karagümrükspor will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Karagümrük (votes: 16 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 4.
    • In recent matches, Karagümrük has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • İstanbulspor is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Karagümrük may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.2:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Karagümrük won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 1.6:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fatih Karagümrükspor - İstanbulspor were as follows:
    22.02.2025 İstanbulspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 2:0
    30.09.2024 Fatih Karagümrükspor - İstanbulspor 1:0
    20.04.2024 İstanbulspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 1:2
    01.12.2023 Fatih Karagümrükspor - İstanbulspor 3:0
    03.04.2023 İstanbulspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 0:1
    Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
    Latest results of İstanbulspor
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1GalatasarayGenclerbirligi0 : 2
    2SamsunsporTrabzonspor0 : 1
    3BesiktasAlanyaspor3 : 0
    4KonyasporFenerbahce1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1GenclerbirligiTrabzonspor
    2BesiktasKonyaspor

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2