Result
2:1
09/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 20
- Referee: Bell J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD |
Australia | beIN Sports 3 |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
Hungary | Match 4 |
Ireland | NOW |
Israel | Sport 2 |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kenya | Gotv |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
South-africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Turkey | Exxen |
United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (187/254) | 80% (361/451) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (187/254) | 80% (361/451) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (23/54) | 34% (24/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (62/101) | 66% (74/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 15% (3/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 43 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.10 | -0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 40', 1 - 0, Dunne J. ⚽, Saito K. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Osayi-Samuel B. ↓, Doyle T. ↑,
- 46', Ducksch M. ↓, Furuhashi K. ↑,
- 67', Smyth P. ↓, Dembele K. ↑,
- 68', Stansfield J. ↓, Dykes L. ↑,
- 68', Robinson J. ↓, Cashin E. ↑,
- 79', Saito K. ↓, Poku K. ↑,
- 80', Paik Seung-Ho 🟨,
- 82', Neumann P. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
- 86', Mbengue A. S. ↓, Morgan K. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 1, Roberts P. ⚽, Gray D. (A),
- 90+7', 2 - 1, Morgan K. ⚽, Varane J. (A),
- 90+8', Morgan K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Queens Park Rangers 33.1% | Draw 28% | Birmingham City 38.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Queens Park Rangers - Birmingham City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.87 ↑ (2.75) |
3.37 ↑ (3.3) |
2.43 ↓ (2.55) |
5.7% (5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Queens Park Rangers - Birmingham City?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. QPR will win (votes: 9 - 42.9%). Birmingham will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for QPR: 21.7% – 64.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - QPR (1.53) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. QPR (votes: 2 - 40%). Birmingham (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 10 and 8)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, QPR won 2.
- QPR is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Birmingham has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in QPR: Field S.
(Injury)
Hamer B.
(Injury)
Kolli R.
(Muscle Injury)
Larkeche Z.
(Knee Injury)
Vale H.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L.
(Knee Injury)
Laird E.
(Hamstring Injury)
Willumsson W. T.
(Muscle Injury)
Wright S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in QPR: Chair I.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, QPR won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:19. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, QPR won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Queens Park Rangers won against Birmingham City?
Queens Park Rangers has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Queens Park Rangers?
Birmingham City has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Queens Park Rangers - Birmingham City were as follows:
29.03.2024
Queens Park Rangers
-
Birmingham City
2:1
22.09.2023
Birmingham City
-
Queens Park Rangers
0:0
18.03.2023
Queens Park Rangers
-
Birmingham City
0:1
28.10.2022
Birmingham City
-
Queens Park Rangers
2:0
Latest results of Queens Park Rangers
Latest results of Birmingham City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 61:31 | 30 | 58 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 42:29 | 13 | 52 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 47:24 | 23 | 50 |
| 4 | Hull | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 45:39 | 6 | 47 |
| 5 | Millwall | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 32:35 | -3 | 46 |
| 6 | Preston | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 36:29 | 7 | 43 |
| 7 | Watford | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 38:32 | 6 | 42 |
| 8 | Stoke | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 33:25 | 8 | 41 |
| 9 | Wrexham | 28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 40:35 | 5 | 41 |
| 10 | Derby | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38:36 | 2 | 41 |
| 11 | Bristol City | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 38:31 | 7 | 40 |
| 12 | QPR | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 38:39 | -1 | 40 |
| 13 | Birmingham | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 38 |
| 14 | Leicester | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39:41 | -2 | 38 |
| 15 | Southampton | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 40:40 | 0 | 36 |
| 16 | Swansea | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 31:35 | -4 | 36 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 27 | 10 | 2 | 15 | 36:40 | -4 | 32 |
| 18 | Charlton | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 32 |
| 19 | West Brom | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
| 20 | Norwich | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 35:40 | -5 | 30 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 23:36 | -13 | 29 |
| 22 | Blackburn | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 25:36 | -11 | 28 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 25:35 | -10 | 24 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 18:54 | -36 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One