Birmingham City vs Queens Park Rangers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship
Result
1:0
11/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 37
  • Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.580.37
Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
2110
Shots on target
61
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
101
Passes
84% (431/513)77% (284/371)
Yellow cards
40
Expected goals (xG)
1.580.37
xG on target (xGOT)
0.600.04
Total shots
2110
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
95
Blocked shots
64
Shots inside the box
165
Shots outside the box
55
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
101
Touches in opposition box
4012
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free kicks
99
Passes
84% (431/513)77% (284/371)
Long passes
44% (25/57)39% (21/54)
Passes in final third
75% (147/196)61% (47/77)
Crosses
21% (6/28)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.340.27
Throw ins
2120
Fouls
99
Tackles
80% (12/15)60% (9/15)
Duels won
4952
Clearances
2436
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
14
xGOT faced
0.040.60
Goals prevented
0.04-0.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Roberts P. ⚽, Osman I. (A),
  • 25', Osman I. 🟨,
  • 45', Laird E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Saito K. ↓, Kolli R. ↑,
  • 46', Varane J. ↓, Morgan K. ↑,
  • 58', Cook S. ↓, Norrington-Davies R. ↑,
  • 64', Osman I. ↓, Gray D. ↑,
  • 64', Laird E. ↓, Panzo J. ↑,
  • 70', Smyth P. ↓, Poku K. ↑,
  • 76', Ducksch M. ↓, Fujimoto K. ↑,
  • 76', Roberts P. ↓, Vicente C. ↑,
  • 79', Clarke-Salter J. ↓, Hayden I. ↑,
  • 81', Beadle J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Stansfield J. ↓, Furuhashi K. ↑,
  • 90+7', Gray D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Birmingham City
55.7%		Draw
25.3%		Queens Park Rangers
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.7% 25.4% 20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8% 24.9% 20.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Queens Park Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
    •

    Birmingham City - Queens Park Rangers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.72 ↑
    (1.72)    		 3.74 ↑
    (3.63)    		 4.98 ↑
    (4.42)    		 5%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Queens Park Rangers?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Birmingham (2.12) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Birmingham (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Birmingham (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Birmingham (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - QPR (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Birmingham (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Birmingham (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Birmingham (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Birmingham City will win (36 of 42 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 75.13% – 96.29%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Birmingham City will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 23 high ROI users predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 20 - 87%). QPR (votes: 2 - 8.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 2.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Birmingham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Birmingham is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:31. (average 1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 0.9:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham City - Queens Park Rangers were as follows:
    09.12.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Birmingham City 2:1
    29.03.2024 Queens Park Rangers - Birmingham City 2:1
    22.09.2023 Birmingham City - Queens Park Rangers 0:0
    18.03.2023 Queens Park Rangers - Birmingham City 0:1
    28.10.2022 Birmingham City - Queens Park Rangers 2:0
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    07.03.2026 Charlton Athletic - Birmingham City 1:0 ✺
    02.03.2026 Birmingham City - Middlesbrough 1:3 ✺
    25.02.2026 Millwall - Birmingham City 3:0 ✺
    21.02.2026 Norwich City - Birmingham City 1:2 ✺
    15.02.2026 Birmingham City - Leeds United 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Queens Park Rangers
    08.03.2026 Queens Park Rangers - Middlesbrough 0:4 ✺
    28.02.2026 Queens Park Rangers - Sheffield United 0:2 ✺
    24.02.2026 Southampton - Queens Park Rangers 5:0 ✺
    21.02.2026 Hull City - Queens Park Rangers 1:3 ✺
    14.02.2026 Queens Park Rangers - Blackburn Rovers 1:3 ✺
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry39248781:404180
    2Middlesbrough392011859:372271
    3Ipswich381912767:392869
    4Millwall392091053:44969
    5Hull392061362:57566
    6Southampton3917121063:481563
    7Wrexham3917121060:51963
    8Derby391791356:48860
    9Watford3914141150:46456
    10Norwich391661752:46654
    11Birmingham3914111448:49-153
    12QPR391581655:61-653
    13Preston3913131345:49-452
    14Swansea391571744:49-552
    15Stoke391491646:43351
    16Bristol City391491649:50-151
    17Sheffield Utd391551954:54050
    18Charlton3912121536:46-1048
    19Blackburn3911101836:49-1343
    20West Brom3911101840:54-1443
    21Portsmouth3810101837:54-1740
    22Leicester3911121651:60-939
    23Oxford Utd399121836:51-1539
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 39192924:79-55-6

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
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