Toulouse vs Lens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
0:3
02/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 17
  • Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
italyItalyLigue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport MIX
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaGotv
mexicoMexicoFOX One, Fox Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 4
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.661.53
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
816
Shots on target
27
Big Chances
07
Corner Kicks
28
Passes
74% (199/269)89% (509/573)
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.661.53
xG on target (xGOT)
0.623.03
Total shots
816
Shots on target
27
Shots off target
38
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
611
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
07
Corner Kicks
28
Touches in opposition box
1230
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1616
Passes
74% (199/269)89% (509/573)
Long passes
43% (20/47)50% (19/38)
Passes in final third
63% (44/70)82% (136/166)
Crosses
27% (3/11)32% (8/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.511.13
Throw-ins
1518
Fouls
1616
Tackles
65% (13/20)79% (11/14)
Duels won
5347
Clearances
2218
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
3.030.62
Goals prevented
0.030.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 23', Emersonn 🟥,
  • 30', Nicolaisen R. ↓, Koumbassa S. ↑,
  • 38', Edouard O. ↓, Fofana R. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 50', Thauvin F. 🟨,
  • 57', 0 - 1, Said W. ⚽,
  • 57', Cresswell C. 🟨,
  • 63', Messali R. ↓, Hidalgo S. ↑,
  • 63', Vossah A. ↓, Sauer M. ↑,
  • 74', Thauvin F. ↓, Guilavogui M. ↑,
  • 77', Donnum A. ↓, Vignolo J. ↑,
  • 77', Koumbassa S. ↓, Kamanzi W. ↑,
  • 85', 0 - 2, Thomasson A. ⚽,
  • 86', Martinez C. 🟨,
  • 87', Sauer M. 🟨,
  • 88', Bulatovic A. 🟨,
  • 90', Bulatovic A. ↓, Sotoca F. ↑,
  • 90', Abdulhamid S. ↓, Bermont A. ↑,
  • 90+2', Risser R. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 0 - 3, Ganiou I. ⚽, Thomasson A. (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/bdesvrvn

Chances of winning


Toulouse
36.1%		Draw
29.4%		Lens
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.2% 27.7% 38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7% 28.9% 36.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+2%)
    •

    Toulouse - Lens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.65 ↓
    (2.76)    		 3.23 ↓
    (3.41)    		 2.73 ↑
    (2.48)    		 5.3%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Toulouse - Lens?
  • Users Predictions: 65 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 10 - 15.4%). Lens will win (votes: 38 - 58.5%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 26.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lens: 46.5% – 70.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Toulouse (votes: 4 - 25%). Lens (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Lens (2.04) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Lens (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Toulouse (1.40) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 22 high ROI users predict this event. Toulouse (votes: 5 - 22.7%). Lens (votes: 14 - 63.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 1.
    • Toulouse is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Lens is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Toulouse: Azizi I. (Knee Injury) Francis A. (Broken Leg) Magri F. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Lens: Aguilar R. (Muscle Injury) Gradit J. (Thigh Injury) Haidara A. (International duty) Jhoanner Chavez (Thigh Injury) Sangare M. (International duty)
    • There are questionable in Toulouse: Kamanzi W. (Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 3:12. (average 0.4:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Lens were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Toulouse - Lens 1:1
    05.01.2025 Lens - Toulouse 0:1
    28.01.2024 Toulouse - Lens 0:2
    24.09.2023 Lens - Toulouse 2:1
    02.05.2023 Toulouse - Lens 0:1
    Latest results of Toulouse
    20.12.2025 Lyon La Duchère - Toulouse 1:2 ✺
    13.12.2025 Paris FC - Toulouse 0:3 ✺
    06.12.2025 Toulouse - Strasbourg 1:0 ✺
    29.11.2025 Olympique Marseille - Toulouse 2:2 ✺
    23.11.2025 Toulouse - Angers 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Lens
    19.12.2025 Lens - Feignies Aulnoye 3:1 ✺
    14.12.2025 Lens - Nice 2:0 ✺
    06.12.2025 Nantes - Lens 1:2 ✺
    30.11.2025 Angers - Lens 1:2 ✺
    22.11.2025 Lens - Strasbourg 1:0 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG24183353:193457
    2Lens24172545:212453
    3Lyon24143739:261345
    4Marseille24134751:331843
    5Lille24124837:31640
    6Rennes24117638:35340
    7Monaco24114940:36437
    8Strasbourg24105940:31935
    9Brest2496932:34-233
    10Lorient2489734:38-433
    11Toulouse2487933:28531
    12Angers24851122:30-829
    13Le Havre24681020:30-1026
    14Paris FC24681028:40-1226
    15Nice24661230:44-1424
    16Auxerre24461419:35-1618
    17Nantes24451522:41-1917
    18Metz24341722:53-3113

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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