Lens vs Toulouse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
21/04/2026 at 15:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Coupe de France - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.330.27
Ball possession
62%38%
Total shots
167
Shots on target
101
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
60
Passes
85% (465/547)79% (264/335)
Yellow cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
3.330.27
xG on target (xGOT)
3.470.53
Total shots
167
Shots on target
101
Shots off target
54
Blocked shots
12
Shots inside the box
85
Shots outside the box
82
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
60
Touches in opposition box
2613
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free kicks
139
Passes
85% (465/547)79% (264/335)
Long passes
55% (32/58)42% (22/53)
Passes in final third
76% (111/146)51% (39/77)
Crosses
17% (3/18)33% (1/3)
Expected assists (xA)
2.400.47
Throw ins
2119
Fouls
1012
Tackles
52% (13/25)57% (12/21)
Duels won
6554
Clearances
1127
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
06
xGOT faced
0.533.47
Goals prevented
-0.47-0.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 8', Demba P. 🟨,
  • 9', 1 - 0, Thauvin F. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 18', 2 - 0, Saint-Maximin A. , Thauvin F. (A),
  • 21', 2 - 1, Hidalgo S. , Emersonn (A),
  • 35', 3 - 1, Udol M. , Abdulhamid S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', Casseres C. 🟨,
  • 64', Saint-Maximin A. , Said W. ,
  • 64', Baidoo S. , Masuaku A. ,
  • 64', Sidibe D. , Russell-Rowe J. ,
  • 64', Demba P. , Vossah A. ,
  • 67', Martinez C. 🟨,
  • 72', Edouard O. , Sima A. ,
  • 74', 4 - 1, Thomasson A. , Abdulhamid S. (A),
  • 76', Hidalgo S. , Azizi I. ,
  • 76', Koumbassa S. , Kamanzi W. ,
  • 78', Abdulhamid S. , Aguilar R. ,
  • 79', Thauvin F. , Haidara A. ,
  • 86', Casseres C. , Sauer M. ,

Chances of winning


Lens
60.7%
Draw
22.5%
Toulouse
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.3% 26.7% 19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55% 26.4% 18.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lens's performance.
  • Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lens that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Lens - Toulouse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.74)
    4.21
    (3.54)
    5.61
    (4.97)
    6%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Lens - Toulouse?
  • Users Predictions: Lens will win (21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.62%95.92%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lens won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Toulouse may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Lens is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Lens: Antonio K. (Foot Injury) Gradit J. (Thigh Injury) Gurtner R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Toulouse: Dominguez A. (Injury) Francis A. (Broken Leg) Magri F. (Knee Injury) McKenzie M. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Lens: Celik N. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Toulouse: Messali R. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Lens won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:5. (average 1.8:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lens won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lens - Toulouse were as follows:
    17.04.2026 Lens - Toulouse 3:2
    02.01.2026 Toulouse - Lens 0:3
    10.05.2025 Toulouse - Lens 1:1
    05.01.2025 Lens - Toulouse 0:1
    28.01.2024 Toulouse - Lens 0:2
    Latest results of Lens
    17.04.2026 Lens - Toulouse 3:2
    04.04.2026 Lille - Lens 3:0
    20.03.2026 Lens - Angers 5:1
    14.03.2026 Lorient - Lens 2:1
    08.03.2026 Lens - Metz 3:0
    Latest results of Toulouse
    17.04.2026 Lens - Toulouse 3:2
    12.04.2026 Toulouse - Lille 0:4
    21.03.2026 Toulouse - Lorient 1:0
    15.03.2026 Metz - Toulouse 3:4
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/128-finals
    1Saint-Brice CourcellesBogny1 : 2
    2CamonLusitanos0 : 7
    4ByeLille
    5LyonBye
    7Saint-Cyr CollongesThonon-Evian1 : 0
    8FC RhoneGrasse2 : 1
    9SeyssinetAubagne1 : 0
    10SS AllingesIstres1 : 2
    11SA MerignacColomiers1 : 0
    12TrelissacPau FC0 : 2
    13Stade QuimperloisAncienne Chateau-Gontier0 : 9
    14St. Colomban LocmineGuingamp1 : 2
    15Le Cellier MauvesLaval0 : 6
    16Saint-PauloiseDominicaine1 : 0
    17EspoirEveil1 : 0
    18ChallansPontivy0 : 2
    19SableSaint-Malo0 : 1
    20US Chateau-MaloBastia0 : 6
    21Olympique MarcquoisAire-sur-la-Lys5 : 0
    22LonguenesseBondues0 : 2
    23TouraineEpernay2 : 1
    24AizenayTroyes0 : 3
    25Villars-l'IsleSarre Union1 : 2
    26PontarlierSochaux2 : 3
    27SteenvoordeChambly2 : 1
    28Loon PlageBethune1 : 2
    29LensBye
    31APM MetzFleury-Merogis3 : 2
    32CambraiFeignies-Aulnoye0 : 4
    33YvetotASPTT Caen2 : 1
    34BayeuxCaen3 : 2
    35Le PoinconnetRomorantin0 : 2
    36BloisClermont2 : 1
    37MarseilleBye
    39Mauguio CarnonSelongey0 : 1
    40Atlas PailladeBourg en Bresse0 : 2
    41CormontreuilPorto Portugais5 : 2
    42PremontreChantilly0 : 3
    43WittenheimFreyming2 : 3
    44BesanconThionville4 : 0
    45Pen HirLes Sables1 : 2
    46PlouvornVitre2 : 1
    48ByeRennes
    49PledranPlabennec0 : 2
    50OrvaultLes Herbiers1 : 3
    52ByeAngers
    53PierrelatteLyon - La Duchere0 : 2
    54Carnoux F.C.Pirae5 : 1
    56ByeToulouse
    57MontreuilBandrele1 : 0
    58GranvilleDinan3 : 1
    59Gouzon AvenirChauvigny1 : 5
    60LapalisseStade Poitevin1 : 2
    61Le HavreBye
    63Reims Ste AnneGFC Ajaccio2 : 1
    64AubyAmiens0 : 3
    65BrestBye
    67AvranchesParis 13 Atl.1 : 0
    68SA BeaumontAubervilliers4 : 7
    69StrasbourgBye
    71ES CappelleAbbeville2 : 3
    72BoulogneDunkerque2 : 3
    73Saint-JeanAngouleme CFC1 : 0
    74OrleansBayonne3 : 0
    75JA DrancyBeauvais0 : 1
    76Saint AmandDieppe0 : 3
    77AuxerreBye
    80ByeMonaco
    81Montreal-la-CluseChalon0 : 3
    82ASPTT DijonLe Puy-en-Velay0 : 1
    83FC 2 Rives 82Mazeres0 : 1
    84EBBEBordeaux0 : 1
    85IC CroixRacing CFF3 : 2
    86Etoile MatouryLe Geldar1 : 2
    87AvionTorcy0 : 2
    88OCPAMReims0 : 1
    89Etoile BobignyVilleneuve-la-Garenne1 : 2
    90IvryLe Mans1 : 2
    91Saint-MezieryPerigny1 : 2
    92MontmorillonBeaucouze0 : 1
    93CannesAnnecy1 : 2
    94Olympique de VillefontaineGrenoble0 : 3
    95SarregueminesFuriani Agliani5 : 3
    96GSA TomblaineNancy0 : 5
    97Seignosse CapbretonMarmande2 : 3
    98Bassin d'ArcachonBlagnac4 : 1
    99AndrezieuxHauts Lyonnais1 : 2
    100Savigneux MontbrisonFeurs3 : 5
    101LorientBye
    103MoulienAS Le Gosier2 : 3
    104OisselQuevilly Rouen3 : 2
    105PSGBye
    107FontenayChamalieres1 : 0
    108Biars-BretenouxChateauroux0 : 2
    109Paris FCBye
    111MutzigRaon L Etape0 : 3
    112MagentaMulhouse0 : 3
    113Les BleuetsConcarneau0 : 3
    114St. RenanStade Briochin0 : 4
    116ByeNantes
    117NiceBye
    119Nord LozereEcotay Moingt4 : 5
    120QuetignySt Etienne1 : 3
    121Strasbourg KoenigshoffenBiesheim2 : 3
    122ForbachRed Star0 : 2
    124ByeMetz
    125AuchCanet Roussillon1 : 4
    126LavaurRodez1 : 3
    127MontceauL'Etrat La Tour2 : 1
    128AgdeMontpellier0 : 2

    1/64-finals
    1BognyLusitanos0 : 3
    2ByeLille
    3LyonBye
    4Saint-Cyr CollongesFC Rhone1 : 0
    5SeyssinetIstres0 : 2
    6SA MerignacPau FC1 : 0
    7Ancienne Chateau-GontierGuingamp0 : 4
    8LavalSaint-Pauloise6 : 0
    9EspoirPontivy0 : 4
    10Saint-MaloBastia0 : 1
    11Olympique MarcquoisBondues2 : 0
    12TouraineTroyes0 : 2
    13Sarre UnionSochaux0 : 6
    14SteenvoordeBethune0 : 1
    15LensBye
    16APM MetzFeignies-Aulnoye0 : 2
    17YvetotBayeux0 : 1
    18RomorantinBlois2 : 3
    19MarseilleBye
    20SelongeyBourg en Bresse2 : 3
    21CormontreuilChantilly1 : 2
    22FreymingBesancon1 : 0
    23Les SablesPlouvorn2 : 1
    24ByeRennes
    25PlabennecLes Herbiers1 : 2
    26ByeAngers
    27Lyon - La DuchereCarnoux F.C.3 : 1
    28ByeToulouse
    29MontreuilGranville2 : 1
    30ChauvignyStade Poitevin4 : 3
    31Le HavreBye
    32Reims Ste AnneAmiens0 : 4
    33BrestBye
    34AvranchesAubervilliers2 : 1
    35StrasbourgBye
    36AbbevilleDunkerque0 : 5
    37Saint-JeanOrleans1 : 2
    38BeauvaisDieppe1 : 2
    39AuxerreBye
    40ByeMonaco
    41ChalonLe Puy-en-Velay0 : 1
    42MazeresBordeaux3 : 4
    43IC CroixLe Geldar2 : 1
    44TorcyReims1 : 5
    45Villeneuve-la-GarenneLe Mans2 : 3
    46PerignyBeaucouze3 : 1
    47AnnecyGrenoble1 : 2
    48SarregueminesNancy3 : 4
    49MarmandeBassin d'Arcachon0 : 1
    50Hauts LyonnaisFeurs2 : 1
    51LorientBye
    52AS Le GosierOissel3 : 2
    53PSGBye
    54FontenayChateauroux4 : 1
    55Paris FCBye
    56Raon L EtapeMulhouse3 : 2
    57ConcarneauStade Briochin1 : 0
    58ByeNantes
    59NiceBye
    60Ecotay MoingtSt Etienne1 : 11
    61BiesheimRed Star2 : 1
    62ByeMetz
    63Canet RoussillonRodez1 : 0
    64MontceauMontpellier0 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1LusitanosLille0 : 1
    2LyonSaint-Cyr Collonges3 : 0
    3IstresSA Merignac1 : 0
    4GuingampLaval0 : 1
    5PontivyBastia0 : 1
    6Olympique MarcquoisTroyes1 : 3
    7SochauxBethune4 : 2
    8LensFeignies-Aulnoye3 : 1
    9BayeuxBlois2 : 1
    10MarseilleBourg en Bresse6 : 0
    11ChantillyFreyming3 : 0
    12Les SablesRennes0 : 3
    13Les HerbiersAngers0 : 1
    14Lyon - La DuchereToulouse1 : 2
    15MontreuilChauvigny2 : 1
    16Le HavreAmiens0 : 2
    17BrestAvranches1 : 2
    18StrasbourgDunkerque2 : 1
    19OrleansDieppe3 : 0
    20AuxerreMonaco1 : 2
    21Le Puy-en-VelayBordeaux1 : 0
    22IC CroixReims0 : 4
    23Le MansPerigny2 : 1
    24GrenobleNancy1 : 2
    25Bassin d'ArcachonHauts Lyonnais0 : 1
    26LorientAS Le Gosier7 : 0
    27PSGFontenay4 : 0
    28Paris FCRaon L Etape3 : 0
    29ConcarneauNantes3 : 5
    30NiceSt Etienne2 : 1
    31BiesheimMetz0 : 3
    32Canet RoussillonMontpellier0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1LilleLyon1 : 2
    2IstresLaval0 : 2
    3BastiaTroyes0 : 2
    4SochauxLens0 : 3
    5BayeuxMarseille0 : 9
    6ChantillyRennes1 : 3
    7AngersToulouse1 : 2
    8MontreuilAmiens2 : 4
    9AvranchesStrasbourg0 : 6
    10OrleansMonaco1 : 3
    11Le Puy-en-VelayReims0 : 1
    12Le MansNancy1 : 0
    13Hauts LyonnaisLorient1 : 3
    14PSGParis FC0 : 1
    15NantesNice1 : 2
    16MetzMontpellier0 : 4

    1/8-finals
    1LyonLaval2 : 0
    2TroyesLens2 : 4
    3MarseilleRennes3 : 0
    4ToulouseAmiens1 : 0
    5StrasbourgMonaco3 : 1
    6ReimsLe Mans3 : 0
    7LorientParis FC2 : 0
    8NiceMontpellier3 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1LyonLens2 : 3
    2MarseilleToulouse2 : 3
    3StrasbourgReims2 : 1
    4LorientNice0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1LensToulouse4 : 1
    2StrasbourgNice0 : 2

    Final
    1LensNice