Result
3:0
04/04/2026 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 28
- Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, StarTimes App, SuperSport GOtv Football, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia, TV5 Monde Pacifique |
Austria | DAZN |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
Brazil | Caze TV, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Europe | TV5 Monde Europe |
Finland | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Israel | 5 LIVE Israel, 5 PLUS Israel |
Italy | Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kenya | Gotv |
Mexico | FOX One |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | Cignal Play |
Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
Portugal | Sport TV7 |
Romania | Voyo |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
Slovakia | Nova Sport 3, Voyo |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
South-africa | SuperSport Variety 4 |
South-america | TV5 Monde Amerique Latine |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.63 | 0.59 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (396/468) | 79% (294/372) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.63 | 0.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.91 | 0.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (396/468) | 79% (294/372) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (28/50) | 34% (14/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (96/132) | 62% (50/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.34 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.31 | 3.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 44', 1 - 0, Haraldsson H. ⚽, Fernandez-Pardo M. (A),
- 45+5', Thomasson A. 🟨,
- 45+5', Ngoy N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 49', 2 - 0, Correia F. ⚽,
- 55', Said W. ↓, Saint-Maximin A. ↑,
- 55', Celik N. ↓, Haidara A. ↑,
- 58', 3 - 0, Fernandez-Pardo M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 67', Thomasson A. ↓, Sotoca F. ↑,
- 71', Ozer B. 🟨,
- 73', Correia F. ↓, Giroud O. ↑,
- 73', Haraldsson H. ↓, Andre B. ↑,
- 78', Abdulhamid S. 🟨,
- 80', Mukau N. ↓, Mbappe E. ↑,
- 80', Fernandez-Pardo M. ↓, Perrin G. ↑,
- 85', Thauvin F. ↓, Bulatovic A. ↑,
- 85', Edouard O. ↓, Fofana R. ↑,
- 90', Mbappe E. 🟨,
- 90+4', Perraud R. ↓, Verdonk C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lille 33% | Draw 28.2% | Lens 38.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Lille - Lens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.92 ↑ (2.61) |
3.39 ↑ (3.34) |
2.46 ↓ (2.66) |
4.3% (5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lille - Lens?
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 10 - 37%). Lens will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 37%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 18.8% – 55.2%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Lille (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Lens (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.5 - Lens (2.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- DC - Lens (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Lille (votes: 1 - 20%). Lens (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lille won 3.
- In recent matches, Lille has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Lens is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Lens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Lille: Caillard M.
(Elbow Injury)
Igamane H.
(Knee Injury)
Mbemba Ch.
(Injury)
Toure O.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Lens: Aguilar R.
(Calf Injury)
Antonio K.
(Foot Injury)
Baidoo S.
(Muscle Injury)
Gradit J.
(Thigh Injury)
Gurtner R.
(Muscle Injury)
Masuaku A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Lille won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:14. (average 1.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lille won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Lens?
Lille has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lens won against Lille?
Lens has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Lens were as follows:
20.09.2025
Lens
-
Lille
3:0
30.03.2025
Lille
-
Lens
1:0
26.10.2024
Lens
-
Lille
0:2
29.03.2024
Lille
-
Lens
2:1
08.10.2023
Lens
-
Lille
1:1
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 27 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 61:23 | 38 | 63 |
| 2 | Lens | 28 | 19 | 2 | 7 | 54:27 | 27 | 59 |
| 3 | Lille | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 49:34 | 15 | 53 |
| 4 | Marseille | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 58:38 | 20 | 52 |
| 5 | Lyon | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 43:29 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | Rennes | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49:41 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Monaco | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 50:43 | 7 | 49 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 46:34 | 12 | 43 |
| 9 | Lorient | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 38:44 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 39:39 | 0 | 37 |
| 11 | Brest | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 37:43 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 | Paris FC | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 37:45 | -8 | 35 |
| 13 | Angers | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 25:39 | -14 | 33 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 24:37 | -13 | 29 |
| 15 | Nice | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 34:56 | -22 | 28 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 23:37 | -14 | 24 |
| 17 | Nantes | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 24:45 | -21 | 19 |
| 18 | Metz | 29 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 26:63 | -37 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2