Result
0:1
10/05/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.15 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (277/339) | 83% (295/356) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (277/339) | 83% (295/356) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (35/60) | 40% (23/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (83/122) | 75% (82/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (10/25) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.99 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.80 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Alvarado A. ⚽, Gruezo C. (A),
- 8', Ramirez Leon B. J. 🟨,
- 26', Marrufo J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Viera M. ↓, Morales J. ↑,
- 47', Allala Menendez G. F. 🟨,
- 58', Villamil G. ↓, Minda K. ↑,
- 58', Pastran L. ↓, Cornejo F. ↑,
- 65', Alvarez L. ↓, Tello M. ↑,
- 66', Arena N. ↓, Munoz A. ↑,
- 66', Zambrano R. ↓, Ayala M. ↑,
- 71', Ramirez Leon B. J. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
- 71', Arce A. ↓, Estrada M. ↑,
- 78', Quintero J. ↓, de la Cruz D. I. ↑,
- 81', Chere A. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
- 83', Espinoza T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Macará
31.7% | Draw
30% | LDU Quito
38.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and LDU Quito might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that LDU Quito could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportivo Macará - LDU Quito Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.93 ↓
(3.39) |
3.09 ↓
(3.3) |
2.42 ↑
(2.11) |
7.8%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportivo Macará - LDU Quito?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. LDU Quito (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macará won 1.
- Macará is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- LDU Quito is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Macará may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Macará won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:37. (average 1.2:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Macará won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:21. (average 1.4:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Macará won against LDU Quito?
Deportivo Macará has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has LDU Quito won against Deportivo Macará?
LDU Quito has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Macará - LDU Quito were as follows:
04.08.2024
Deportivo Macará
-
LDU Quito
0:4
04.03.2024
LDU Quito
-
Deportivo Macará
2:1
22.10.2022
Deportivo Macará
-
LDU Quito
0:5
Latest results of Deportivo Macará
Latest results of LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 39:19 | 20 | 43 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 33:25 | 8 | 38 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 37:21 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 34 |
| 5 | Orense | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 | Libertad | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 31:26 | 5 | 33 |
| 7 | Aucas | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 32 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 34:28 | 6 | 28 |
| 9 | Delfin | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
| 10 | Emelec | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 25 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 24 |
| 12 | Vinotinto | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 23 |
| 13 | Manta | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 27:34 | -7 | 23 |
| 14 | Macara | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 19:21 | -2 | 22 |
| 15 | Mushuc Runa | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 17 |
| 16 | Tecnico U | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19:33 | -14 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
