Deportivo Cuenca vs Deportivo Macará – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/03/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar (Cuenca).

Liga Pro - Round 6
Referee: Contreras O. (Ecu)
Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.16	0.77
Ball possession
46%	54%
Total shots
6	15
Shots on target
1	5
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
6	3
Passes
72% (217/303)	76% (278/366)
Yellow cards
3	3
Expected goals (xG)
1.16	0.77
xG on target (xGOT)
0.92	0.52
Total shots
6	15
Shots on target
1	5
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked shots
0	6
Shots inside the box
5	7
Shots outside the box
1	8
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
6	3
Touches in opposition box
10	24
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	0
Free kicks
13	11
Passes
72% (217/303)	76% (278/366)
Long passes
45% (27/60)	40% (22/55)
Passes in final third
53% (42/80)	69% (96/139)
Crosses
19% (4/21)	17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.48	0.61
Throw ins
22	15
Fouls
11	13
Tackles
70% (7/10)	63% (5/8)
Duels won
40	35
Clearances
24	21
Interceptions
7	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	0
xGOT faced
0.52	0.92
Goals prevented
-0.48	-0.08

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Ordonez J. (Penalty Awarded),
29', Cazares J. 🟨,
35', Guevara E. 🟨,
45+4', Rivero G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lopez A. ↓, Mosquera I. ↑,
49', Etchebarne S. 🟨,
65', Klimowicz M. ↓, Leguizamon N. ↑,
65', Mancinelli L. ↓, Chacon J. ↑,
65', Cazares J. ↓, Estacio J. ↑,
65', Viera M. ↓, Posse F. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Paz F. ⚽, Ayala M. (A),
75', Ordonez J. ↓, Ibarra R. ↑,
76', Blanc G. 🟨,
79', Ferro L. ↓, Chamba T. ↑,
79', Miranda M. ↓, Chala J. ↑,
80', Rivero G. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
82', Postel S. 🟨,
90+3', Blanc G. ↓, Caicedo C. ↑,

Chances of winning

Deportivo Cuenca
44.1%

Draw
31.6%

Deportivo Macará
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

31.6%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

33.9%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Cuenca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Cuenca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Macará, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Deportivo Cuenca - Deportivo Macará Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.94)	2.9 ↓ (2.96)	3.82 ↓ (4.61)	8.3% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca - Deportivo Macará?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Macará (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Macará (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 3.
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
Deportivo Cuenca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Deportivo Cuenca could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Cuenca won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.9:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cuenca won against Deportivo Macará?

Deportivo Cuenca has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Macará won against Deportivo Cuenca?

Deportivo Macará has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Cuenca - Deportivo Macará were as follows:

13.02.2026 Deportivo Macará - Deportivo Cuenca 1:2

13.12.2025 Deportivo Macará - Deportivo Cuenca 0:1

07.11.2025 Deportivo Cuenca - Deportivo Macará 0:2

01.08.2025 Deportivo Cuenca - Deportivo Macará 1:1

10.04.2025 Deportivo Macará - Deportivo Cuenca 0:1

Latest results of Deportivo Cuenca

17.03.2026 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Deportivo Cuenca 1:0 ✺

13.03.2026 Deportivo Cuenca - Leones del Norte 1:1 ✺

08.03.2026 SD Aucas - Deportivo Cuenca 0:1 ✺

04.03.2026 Deportivo Cuenca - Libertad Loja 3:0 ✺

01.03.2026 Deportivo Cuenca - Barcelona Guayaquil 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Deportivo Macará

18.03.2026 Deportivo Macará - Delfín 1:0 ✺

15.03.2026 Mushuc Runa - Deportivo Macará 0:0 ✺

08.03.2026 Deportivo Macará - Técnico Universitario 1:1 ✺

05.03.2026 Orense - Deportivo Macará 0:1 ✺

01.03.2026 LDU Quito - Deportivo Macará 0:2 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle	12	9	1	2	22:13	9	28
2	U. Catolica	12	6	4	2	21:8	13	22
3	Barcelona SC	12	5	5	2	13:10	3	20
4	Aucas	12	5	4	3	14:11	3	19
5	Guayaquil City	12	5	3	4	10:11	-1	18
6	LDU Quito	12	5	2	5	10:10	0	17
7	Dep. Cuenca	12	5	2	5	14:16	-2	17
8	Mushuc Runa	12	4	4	4	15:13	2	16
9	Macara	12	4	4	4	13:12	1	16
10	Orense	12	4	4	4	17:17	0	16
11	Delfin	12	4	3	5	5:6	-1	15
12	Emelec	12	4	2	6	9:15	-6	14
13	Leones del Norte	12	3	4	5	10:12	-2	13
14	Libertad	12	3	4	5	11:16	-5	13
15	Tecnico U	12	3	2	7	9:13	-4	11
16	Manta	12	2	2	8	4:14	-10	8

      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
      Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )