Holstein Kiel vs Fortuna Düsseldorf – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
09/11/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 12
  • Referee: Bickel F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 7
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.751.08
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
75% (258/343)83% (343/415)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.751.08
xG on target (xGOT)
0.650.67
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
57
Shots inside the Box
611
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1928
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
169
Passes
75% (258/343)83% (343/415)
Long passes
32% (15/47)54% (31/57)
Passes in final third
56% (42/75)68% (99/145)
Crosses
11% (1/9)33% (11/33)
Expected assists (xA)
0.441.76
Throw-ins
2024
Fouls
916
Tackles
63% (12/19)53% (9/17)
Duels won
5763
Clearances
4126
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
0.670.65
Goals prevented
0.67-0.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Daland J. 🟨,
  • 33', El Azzouzi A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', 1 - 0, Davidsen K. ,
  • 62', El Azzouzi A. , Appelkamp S. ,
  • 62', Zimmermann M. , Heyer M. ,
  • 68', Therkelsen J. , Knudsen M. ,
  • 73', Schmidt K. , Suso S. ,
  • 74', Rasmussen C. , Raimund L. ,
  • 77', Komenda M. , Ivezic M. ,
  • 77', Kapralik A. , Harres P. ,
  • 82', Breithaupt T. , Egouli E. ,
  • 84', Schwab S. , Wagner R. ,
  • 84', Rosenboom L. , Niehoff N. ,
  • 90+3', Oberdorf T. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Krumrey J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Holstein Kiel
52.2%
Draw
24.4%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51% 24.3% 24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52% 23.8% 24.2%

Holstein Kiel - Fortuna Düsseldorf Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.82
(1.85)
3.86
(3.89)
4
(3.82)
5.9%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Holstein Kiel - Fortuna Düsseldorf?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Holstein Kiel (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Holstein Kiel will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.37%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 13 and 14)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 2.
    • Holstein Kiel has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Fortuna is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Fortuna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Fortuna has had a series of home games.
    • Holstein Kiel is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Cvjetinovic M. (Ankle Injury) Erras P. (Concussion) Kelati A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Fortuna: Alexandropoulos S. (Muscle Injury) Hettwer J. (Knee Injury) Lenz C. (Muscle Injury) Lunddal V. (Foot Injury) Rossmann T. (Illness) Schock F. (Tendon Injury) Zimmermann M. (Head Injury)
    • There are questionable in Holstein Kiel: Davidsen K. (Illness) Rosenboom L. (Injury) Skrzybski S. (Heel Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fortuna: Itten C. (Knock) Rasmussen C. (Illness)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Holstein Kiel won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Holstein Kiel - Fortuna Düsseldorf were as follows:
    11.05.2024 Holstein Kiel - Fortuna Düsseldorf 1:1
    10.12.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Holstein Kiel 0:1
    06.05.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Holstein Kiel 3:0
    29.10.2022 Holstein Kiel - Fortuna Düsseldorf 1:2
    Latest results of Holstein Kiel
    Latest results of Fortuna Düsseldorf
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke17121422:101237
    2Elversberg17104331:151634
    3Darmstadt1796229:171233
    4Paderborn17103428:181033
    5Hannover1785430:22829
    6Hertha Berlin1784521:16528
    7Kaiserslautern1783629:21827
    8Nurnberg1764719:23-422
    9Karlsruher SC1764725:33-822
    10Bochum1763823:22121
    11Holstein Kiel1755720:22-220
    12Preussen Munster1755722:26-420
    13Braunschweig1762920:29-920
    14Arminia Bielefeld1754827:24319
    15Magdeburg17521021:29-817
    16Dusseldorf17521015:27-1217
    17Greuther Furth17431026:44-1815
    18SG Dynamo Dresden17341024:34-1013

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