Result
1:0
09/11/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 12
- Referee: Bickel F. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 7 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 2 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
 Slovakia | Sport TV2 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (258/343) | 83% (343/415) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (258/343) | 83% (343/415) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (15/47) | 54% (31/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (42/75) | 68% (99/145) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (1/9) | 33% (11/33) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.67 | -0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Daland J. 🟨,
- 33', El Azzouzi A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', 1 - 0, Davidsen K. ⚽,
- 62', El Azzouzi A. ↓, Appelkamp S. ↑,
- 62', Zimmermann M. ↓, Heyer M. ↑,
- 68', Therkelsen J. ↓, Knudsen M. ↑,
- 73', Schmidt K. ↓, Suso S. ↑,
- 74', Rasmussen C. ↓, Raimund L. ↑,
- 77', Komenda M. ↓, Ivezic M. ↑,
- 77', Kapralik A. ↓, Harres P. ↑,
- 82', Breithaupt T. ↓, Egouli E. ↑,
- 84', Schwab S. ↓, Wagner R. ↑,
- 84', Rosenboom L. ↓, Niehoff N. ↑,
- 90+3', Oberdorf T. 🟨,
- 90+5', Krumrey J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Holstein Kiel
52.2% | Draw
24.4% | Fortuna Düsseldorf
23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Holstein Kiel - Fortuna Düsseldorf Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↓
(1.85) |
3.86 ↓
(3.89) |
4 ↑
(3.82) |
5.9%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Holstein Kiel - Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Users Predictions:
Holstein Kiel will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Holstein Kiel will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 13 and 14)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 2.
- Holstein Kiel has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Fortuna is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Fortuna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Fortuna has had a series of home games.
- Holstein Kiel is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Cvjetinovic M.
(Ankle Injury)
Erras P.
(Concussion)
Kelati A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Fortuna: Alexandropoulos S.
(Muscle Injury)
Hettwer J.
(Knee Injury)
Lenz C.
(Muscle Injury)
Lunddal V.
(Foot Injury)
Rossmann T.
(Illness)
Schock F.
(Tendon Injury)
Zimmermann M.
(Head Injury)
- There are questionable in Holstein Kiel: Davidsen K.
(Illness)
Rosenboom L.
(Injury)
Skrzybski S.
(Heel Injury)
- There are questionable in Fortuna: Itten C.
(Knock)
Rasmussen C.
(Illness)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Holstein Kiel won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Holstein Kiel won against Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Holstein Kiel has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortuna Düsseldorf won against Holstein Kiel?
Fortuna Düsseldorf has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Holstein Kiel - Fortuna Düsseldorf were as follows:
11.05.2024
Holstein Kiel
-
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1:1
10.12.2023
Fortuna Düsseldorf
-
Holstein Kiel
0:1
06.05.2023
Fortuna Düsseldorf
-
Holstein Kiel
3:0
29.10.2022
Holstein Kiel
-
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1:2
Latest results of Holstein Kiel
Latest results of Fortuna Düsseldorf
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Schalke | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 34:21 | 13 | 47 |
| 2 | Paderborn | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 40:27 | 13 | 46 |
| 3 | Darmstadt | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 45:28 | 17 | 45 |
| 4 | Elversberg | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 43:26 | 17 | 45 |
| 5 | Hannover | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 42:30 | 12 | 45 |
| 6 | Kaiserslautern | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 40:35 | 5 | 37 |
| 7 | Hertha Berlin | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 37 |
| 8 | Karlsruher SC | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 37:44 | -7 | 33 |
| 9 | Nurnberg | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 31:34 | -3 | 30 |
| 10 | Bochum | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 32:30 | 2 | 29 |
| 11 | Dusseldorf | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 23:34 | -11 | 28 |
| 12 | Arminia Bielefeld | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 36:33 | 3 | 27 |
| 13 | Preussen Munster | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 29:36 | -7 | 26 |
| 14 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 35:41 | -6 | 25 |
| 15 | Holstein Kiel | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 25 |
| 16 | Braunschweig | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 27:42 | -15 | 25 |
| 17 | Magdeburg | 24 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 23 |
| 18 | Greuther Furth | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 35:55 | -20 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
