Sunderland vs Luton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
12/02/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 32
  • Referee: Busby J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryNet4+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.240.31
Ball Possession
65%35%
Goal Attempts
134
Shots on Goal
31
Shots off Goal
71
Blocked Shots
32
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
61
Shots inside the Box
102
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
11
Goalkeeper Saves
11
Free Kicks
96
Offsides
12
Fouls
69
Yellow Cards
02
Throw-ins
2117
Touches in the Opposition Box
1913
Passes
87% (499/575)68% (206/303)
Passes in the final third
66% (76/115)46% (49/106)
Crosses
0% (0/15)13% (1/8)
Tackles
79% (11/14)63% (12/19)
Clearances Total
3417
Interceptions
55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Le Fee E. , Hume T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', Dabo L. 🟨,
  • 58', 2 - 0, Isidor W. ,
  • 62', Dabo L. , Bowler J. ,
  • 62', Alli M. , Brown J. ,
  • 67', Morris C. , Adebayo E. ,
  • 67', Andersen M. , Naismith K. ,
  • 76', Rigg C. , Mayenda E. ,
  • 82', Aasgaard T. , Nordas L. ,
  • 86', Isidor W. , Abdul Samed S. ,
  • 90+4', Clark J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Sunderland
64.9%
Draw
22.2%
Luton Town
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.4% 24.6% 19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58% 23.9% 18.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sunderland's performance.
  • Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luton Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sunderland that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sunderland - Luton Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.68)
    4.32
    (3.84)
    7.45
    (4.98)
    4.6%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Sunderland - Luton Town?
  • Users Predictions: Sunderland will win (48 of 53 users predict this - 90.57%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 82.7%98.44%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 2.
    • Sunderland is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Luton is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Sunderland could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Sunderland is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Sunderland: Alese A. (Broken Leg) Browne A. (Broken Leg) Danns J. (Back Injury) Huggins N. (Knee Injury) Watson T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Luton: Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury) Mengi T. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Luton: Chong T. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:8 (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sunderland won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sunderland - Luton Town were as follows:
    23.10.2024 Luton Town - Sunderland 1:2
    16.05.2023 Luton Town - Sunderland 2:0
    13.05.2023 Sunderland - Luton Town 2:1
    18.03.2023 Sunderland - Luton Town 1:1
    29.10.2022 Luton Town - Sunderland 1:1
    Latest results of Sunderland
    08.02.2025 Sunderland - Watford 2:2
    03.02.2025 Middlesbrough - Sunderland 2:3
    21.01.2025 Derby County - Sunderland 0:1
    17.01.2025 Burnley - Sunderland 0:0
    Latest results of Luton Town
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry35218672:383471
    2Middlesbrough35199754:351966
    3Ipswich34189760:342663
    4Millwall35188947:40762
    5Hull351861156:49760
    6Wrexham351512854:45957
    7Southampton3514111057:461153
    8Derby351491252:46651
    9Watford3513121045:41451
    10Bristol City351481348:44450
    11Preston3512131041:40149
    12Birmingham3513101246:46049
    13Sheffield Utd351531750:48248
    14Stoke351381439:34547
    15QPR351381446:54-847
    16Swansea351371540:43-346
    17Norwich351361647:44345
    18Charlton3510111433:44-1141
    19Portsmouth341091534:44-1039
    20Blackburn351081733:46-1338
    21West Brom35981834:52-1835
    22Leicester3510101547:56-934
    23Oxford Utd357111731:47-1632
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 35182621:71-50-7

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One