Luton Town vs Millwall – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
25/01/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 29
  • Referee: Ward G. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.271.42
Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
1213
Shots on Goal
26
Shots off Goal
62
Blocked Shots
45
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
75
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
07
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
Free Kicks
1911
Offsides
32
Fouls
1119
Yellow Cards
24
Throw-ins
2729
Touches in the Opposition Box
2423
Passes
61% (194/316)63% (163/259)
Passes in the final third
54% (71/132)50% (55/110)
Crosses
37% (7/19)29% (4/14)
Tackles
59% (19/32)60% (9/15)
Clearances Total
3054
Interceptions
413

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Scanlon C. , Connolly A. ,
  • 34', Connolly A. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 61', Krauss T. , Adebayo E. ,
  • 61', 0 - 1, Ivanovic M. , Bangura-Williams R. (A),
  • 68', Brown J. , Nelson Z. ,
  • 68', Doughty A. , Jones I. ,
  • 71', Saville G. 🟨,
  • 74', Andersen M. 🟨,
  • 74', Cooper J. 🟨,
  • 76', Nakamba M. , Walsh L. ,
  • 84', Watmore D. , Honeyman G. ,
  • 88', Honeyman G. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Jensen L. , Roberts L. ,
  • 90+7', Tanganga J. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Walsh L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Luton Town
42.7%
Draw
31.3%
Millwall
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41% 28.5% 30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8% 28.6% 30.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Luton Town - Millwall Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (2.31)
    3.04
    (3.32)
    3.65
    (3.11)
    5.2%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Luton Town - Millwall?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 9 - 39.1%). Millwall will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 39.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 19.2%59%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 17).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Luton won 2.
    • Luton has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Millwall is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recently Millwall have a series of home games.
    • Luton will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Luton: Baptiste S. (Calf Injury) Burke R. (Hip Injury) Chong T. (Muscle Injury) Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury) Mengi T. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Millwall: Coburn J. (Broken Leg) Emakhu A. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Millwall: Bangura-Williams R. (Injury) Leonard R. (Injury) McNamara D. (Injury)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Luton won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:17 (average 1:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Luton won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:12 (average 1.2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Millwall were as follows:
    14.09.2024 Millwall - Luton Town 0:1
    07.04.2023 Millwall - Luton Town 0:0
    28.02.2023 Luton Town - Millwall 2:2
    Latest results of Luton Town
    Latest results of Millwall
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry422510784:424285
    2Ipswich402112771:403175
    3Millwall4221101156:47973
    4Middlesbrough4220121062:422072
    5Southampton4119121070:502069
    6Hull422081464:60468
    7Wrexham4217131263:60364
    8Derby421891561:53863
    9Norwich421771855:50558
    10Bristol City4216101652:51158
    11QPR4216101658:63-558
    12Watford4214151352:51157
    13Preston4214151350:53-357
    14Swansea421691750:54-457
    15Birmingham4215111651:52-156
    16Stoke4215101749:46355
    17Sheffield Utd421662059:59054
    18Charlton4212131739:51-1249
    19Blackburn4212121838:50-1248
    20West Brom4211131842:56-1446
    21Portsmouth4111121841:57-1645
    22Oxford Utd4210141841:54-1344
    23Leicester4211141754:64-1041
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 421113025:82-57-4

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One