Result
2:2
01/03/2026 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 23
- Referee: Arys K. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | FOX Sports 2 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 Spain | GolStadium |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.85 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (374/463) | 75% (252/334) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (374/463) | 75% (252/334) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (15/55) | 47% (25/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (115/148) | 64% (89/139) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 43% (10/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.86 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.01 | 1.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | -0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 17', 1 - 0, Flach L. ⚽, Mazurek B. (A),
- 22', 2 - 0, Pululu A. ⚽,
- 45+1', 2 - 1, Vital B. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Vital B. ↓, Pelmard A. ↑,
- 56', Montoia G. ↓, Wdowik B. ↑,
- 57', 2 - 2, Flach L. (Own goal),
- 70', Bichakhchyan V. ↓, Urbanski W. ↑,
- 71', Kapustka B. ↓, Urbanski K. ↑,
- 73', Flach L. ↓, Drachal D. ↑,
- 74', Rajovic M. ↓, Colak A. ↑,
- 85', Imaz J. ↓, Rallis D. ↑,
- 85', Pozo A. ↓, Bazdar S. ↑,
- 90+4', Adamski R. ↓, Krasniqi E. ↑,
- 90+4', Konstantopoulos A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Jagiellonia Białystok
42.8% | Draw
27% | Legia Warsaw
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Jagiellonia Białystok - Legia Warsaw Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↑
(2.15) |
3.46 ↑
(3.11) |
3.08 ↑
(3.01) |
7%
(11.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Jagiellonia Białystok - Legia Warsaw?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Jagiellonia will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Legia will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Jagiellonia (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Jagiellonia (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Jagiellonia (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Jagiellonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Jagiellonia might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Jagiellonia: Lozano S.
(Inactive)
Romanczuk T.
(Yellow Cards)
Stojinovic D.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Legia: Nsame J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Szymanski D.
(Yellow Cards)
Vinagre R.
(Injury)
Wszolek P.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Jagiellonia: Jozwiak K.
(Injury)
Wojtuszek N.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:32. (average 0.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jagiellonia won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:10. (average 1.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Legia Warsaw?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
Legia Warsaw has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jagiellonia Białystok - Legia Warsaw were as follows:
24.09.2025
Legia Warsaw
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
0:0
13.04.2025
Legia Warsaw
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
0:1
26.02.2025
Legia Warsaw
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
3:1
06.10.2024
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Legia Warsaw
1:1
06.07.2024
Legia Warsaw
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
2:0
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Latest results of Legia Warsaw
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 37:27 | 10 | 38 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 40:34 | 6 | 38 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 33:31 | 2 | 34 |
| 5 | Rakow | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 31:29 | 2 | 34 |
| 6 | Cracovia | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 33 |
| 7 | Wisla Plock | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 33 |
| 8 | Pogon Szczecin | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 31 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 30 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 30 |
| 11 | Motor Lublin | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 32:37 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Radomiak Radom | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 37:34 | 3 | 29 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 29 |
| 14 | Lechia Gdansk | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 46:45 | 1 | 28 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 21:38 | -17 | 26 |
| 16 | Legia | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 27:29 | -2 | 25 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 29:33 | -4 | 24 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
