Result
0:3
06/05/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 31
- Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | SportKlub |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Croatia | SportKlub |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Germany | Sky Bundesliga, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event, Sport 1 |
 Greece | Nova Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Portugal | Eleven Sports |
 Serbia | SportKlub |
 Slovenia | SportKlub, Sport TV |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Turkey | beIN Sports 4 |
Chances of winning
Darmstadt
47.1% | Draw
26.4% | St. Pauli
26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Darmstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Darmstadt - St. Pauli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↓
(2.13) |
3.59 ↑
(3.57) |
3.54 ↑
(3.28) |
5.6%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Darmstadt - St. Pauli?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Darmstadt will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). St. Pauli will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darmstadt: 35.4% – 82.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 5).
- Darmstadt has the most likely position - 1 (79.13%), project points - 71, currently - 64, not chance of relegated, a very good chance of promoted (>99%), a good chance of win league (79%).
- St. Pauli has the most likely position - 6 (37.13%), project points - 56, currently - 50, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
- This event has quality 40, importance 54, match rating 47. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Darmstadt won 2.
- Darmstadt is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches St. Pauli is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Darmstadt will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Darmstadt won 9 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 24-10.
- Including matches at home between the teams Darmstadt won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16-3.
How many head-to-head matches has Darmstadt won against St. Pauli?
Darmstadt has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Darmstadt?
St. Pauli has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Darmstadt - St. Pauli were as follows:
29.10.2022
St. Pauli
-
Darmstadt
1:1
Latest results of Darmstadt
Latest results of St. Pauli
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Schalke | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 39:24 | 15 | 55 |
| 2 | Paderborn | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 47:31 | 16 | 54 |
| 3 | Elversberg | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 48:30 | 18 | 52 |
| 4 | Darmstadt | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 50:32 | 18 | 50 |
| 5 | Hannover | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 47:35 | 12 | 50 |
| 6 | Hertha Berlin | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 43:34 | 9 | 47 |
| 7 | Kaiserslautern | 29 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 49:41 | 8 | 46 |
| 8 | Karlsruher SC | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 47:53 | -6 | 40 |
| 9 | Nurnberg | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 38:40 | -2 | 37 |
| 10 | Bochum | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | -1 | 33 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 47:47 | 0 | 32 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 36:43 | -7 | 32 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 42:44 | -2 | 31 |
| 14 | Dusseldorf | 29 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 27:45 | -18 | 31 |
| 15 | Magdeburg | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 43:51 | -8 | 30 |
| 16 | Braunschweig | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 30:45 | -15 | 30 |
| 17 | Greuther Furth | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 40:61 | -21 | 30 |
| 18 | Preussen Munster | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 31:47 | -16 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
