Result
2:0
25/04/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 31
- Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
 Bulgaria | Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, OneSoccer |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports Extra 1 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Sony LIV, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN USA, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.11 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (287/385) | 75% (356/472) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.58 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (287/385) | 75% (356/472) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (32/80) | 29% (23/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (48/100) | 56% (73/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.15 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 71% (15/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.83 | 2.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Zivzivadze B. ⚽, Schoppner J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Fujita J. ↓, Kaars M. ↑,
- 46', Rasmussen M. ↓, Smith E. ↑,
- 56', Beck A. ↓, Kerber L. ↑,
- 63', Saliakas M. ↓, Ritzka L. ↑,
- 64', Hountondji A. ↓, Ceesay A. ↑,
- 76', Kaars M. 🟨,
- 82', 2 - 0, Dinkci E. ⚽, Ramaj D. (A),
- 85', Dorsch N. ↓, Niehues J. ↑,
- 88', Sinani D. ↓, Metcalfe C. ↑,
- 90+1', Dinkci E. ↓, Ibrahimovic A. ↑,
- 90+1', Pieringer M. ↓, Schimmer S. ↑,
- 90+1', Zivzivadze B. ↓, Conteh C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Heidenheim
40.5% | Draw
27.7% | St. Pauli
31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heidenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Heidenheim - St. Pauli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↓
(2.52) |
3.43 ↑
(3.35) |
3.01 ↑
(2.81) |
4.9%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Heidenheim - St. Pauli?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Heidenheim will win (votes: 10 - 45.5%). St. Pauli will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heidenheim: 24.7% – 66.3%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Heidenheim (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Heidenheim (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 1.
- Recent performances by Heidenheim have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- St. Pauli is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Heidenheim may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Heidenheim: Conteh S.
(Knee Injury)
Kaufmann M.
(Muscle Injury)
Paqarada L.
(Knee Injury)
Rothweiler N.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in St. Pauli: Jones R.J.
(Ankle Injury)
Pereira Lage M.
(Knee Injury)
Sands J.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Heidenheim: Dinkci E.
(Injury)
Honsak M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 24:26. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Heidenheim won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Heidenheim won against St. Pauli?
Heidenheim has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Heidenheim?
St. Pauli has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heidenheim - St. Pauli were as follows:
13.12.2025
St. Pauli
-
Heidenheim
2:1
18.01.2025
Heidenheim
-
St. Pauli
0:2
25.08.2024
St. Pauli
-
Heidenheim
0:2
08.04.2023
Heidenheim
-
St. Pauli
0:1
01.10.2022
St. Pauli
-
Heidenheim
0:0
Latest results of Heidenheim
Latest results of St. Pauli
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich ✔ | 32 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 116:35 | 81 | 83 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 65:31 | 34 | 67 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 63:42 | 21 | 62 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 66:43 | 23 | 58 |
| 5 | Stuttgart | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 66:46 | 20 | 58 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 64:48 | 16 | 58 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 57:60 | -3 | 43 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 44:52 | -8 | 43 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 42:56 | -14 | 40 |
| 10 | Mainz | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 39:49 | -10 | 34 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 36:51 | -15 | 34 |
| 12 | Union Berlin | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 37:57 | -20 | 33 |
| 13 | FC Koln | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 47:55 | -8 | 32 |
| 14 | B. Monchengladbach | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 36:50 | -14 | 32 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 37:57 | -20 | 32 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 26:53 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 41:66 | -25 | 25 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 38:69 | -31 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
