AEK Athens vs PAOK – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
19/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 7
  • Referee: Stegemann S. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 5
australiaAustraliaANT1 Pacific
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
russiaRussiaTelekanal Futbol
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
usaUsaANT1 Satellite

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.331.79
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
79% (259/328)82% (361/439)
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.331.79
xG on target (xGOT)
0.743.25
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
106
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
2121
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1420
Passes
79% (259/328)82% (361/439)
Long passes
44% (23/52)56% (32/57)
Passes in final third
68% (46/68)75% (100/134)
Crosses
21% (3/14)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.581.46
Throw-ins
2523
Fouls
2014
Tackles
75% (9/12)75% (12/16)
Duels won
4361
Clearances
1323
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
3.250.74
Goals prevented
1.250.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 44', Vida D. 🟨,
  • 45', 0 - 1, Baba A. R. , Zivkovic A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 49', 0 - 2, Konstantelias G. ,
  • 56', Kutesa D. , Pineda O. ,
  • 56', Joao Mario , Mantalos P. ,
  • 56', Koita A. , Eliasson N. ,
  • 56', Marin R. , Pierrot F. ,
  • 71', Taison , Despodov K. ,
  • 72', Ozdoev M. , Camara M. ,
  • 77', Grujic M. , Kaloskamis D. ,
  • 78', Konstantelias G. , Pelkas D. ,
  • 86', Moukoudi H. 🟥,
  • 90+1', Pineda O. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Tsiftsis A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


AEK Athens
40.3%
Draw
29.6%
PAOK
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 30.8% 28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3% 29.8% 27.4%

AEK Athens - PAOK Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.36
(2.3)
3.19
(3.05)
3.12
(3.33)
5.7%
(6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for AEK Athens - PAOK?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. AEK will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). PAOK will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for AEK: 30.1%75.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. PAOK (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEK won 3.
    • AEK is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • PAOK's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in AEK: Callens A. (Heart Problems) Pereyra R. (Muscle Injury) Relvas F. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in PAOK: Chalov F. (Injury) Pelkas D. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in AEK: Moukoudi H. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AEK won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:20. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, AEK won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 1.6:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AEK Athens - PAOK were as follows:
    11.05.2025 PAOK - AEK Athens 1:0
    30.03.2025 AEK Athens - PAOK 2:3
    02.02.2025 PAOK - AEK Athens 1:2
    09.01.2025 PAOK - AEK Athens 1:1
    18.12.2024 AEK Athens - PAOK 1:0
    Latest results of AEK Athens
    05.10.2025 AE Kifisia - AEK Athens 2:3
    02.10.2025 Celje - AEK Athens 3:1
    28.09.2025 AEK Athens - Volos 1:0
    24.09.2025 AEK Athens - Panetolikos 2:1
    21.09.2025 AEL Larissa - AEK Athens 1:1
    Latest results of PAOK
    05.10.2025 PAOK - Olympiacos Piraeus 2:1
    02.10.2025 Celta de Vigo - PAOK 3:1
    28.09.2025 Asteras Tripolis - PAOK 3:3
    24.09.2025 PAOK - Maccabi Tel Aviv 0:0
    20.09.2025 PAOK - Panetolikos 0:0
    Greek Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AEK Athens15121226:111537
    2Olympiacos Piraeus15113131:82336
    3PAOK15112231:121935
    4Levadiakos1584336:171928
    5Volos1581618:18025
    6Panathinaikos1464421:17422
    7Aris1555513:16-320
    8Kifisia1546522:23-118
    9Panetolikos1543814:24-1015
    10Asteras Tripolis1527615:19-413
    11Atromitos1534814:20-613
    12OFI Crete14401015:27-1212
    13AEL Larissa1516813:27-149
    14Panserraikos1512127:37-305

          Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
          Super League (Relegation Group: )