AEK Athens vs Rayo Vallecano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League
Result
3:1
16/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Eskas E. (Nor)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusRIK 1
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 3
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 8
germanyGermanyRTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceANT 1 Greece, COSMOTE Sport 2, Cosmote Sport 4K
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 2, Viaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandPolsat Sport Extra 4
portugalPortugalDAZN 4, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 3
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 9
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamOn Golf, ON Plus

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.791.81
Ball possession
64%36%
Total shots
2110
Shots on target
94
Big chances
73
Corner kicks
82
Passes
80% (300/374)64% (148/232)
Yellow cards
23
Expected goals (xG)
2.791.81
xG on target (xGOT)
3.651.03
Total shots
2110
Shots on target
94
Shots off target
95
Blocked shots
31
Shots inside the box
167
Shots outside the box
53
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
10
Big chances
73
Corner kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
4212
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free kicks
1715
Passes
80% (300/374)64% (148/232)
Long passes
59% (27/46)34% (21/62)
Passes in final third
72% (93/129)44% (30/68)
Crosses
33% (13/39)25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
2.620.14
Throw ins
2120
Fouls
1517
Tackles
58% (7/12)48% (10/21)
Duels won
6958
Clearances
635
Interceptions
817
Errors leading to shot
22
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
35
xGOT faced
1.033.65
Goals prevented
0.030.65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Zini ⚽, Pilios S. (A),
  • 19', Akhomach I. 🟨,
  • 27', Garcia A. ↓, Pacha ↑,
  • 30', Varga B. 🟨,
  • 36', 2 - 0, Marin R. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 44', Lopez U. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Akhomach I. ↓, Alemao ↑,
  • 51', 3 - 0, Zini ⚽, Kutesa D. (A),
  • 55', Lopez U. ↓, Valentin O. ↑,
  • 55', Luiz Felipe ↓, Diaz P. ↑,
  • 60', 3 - 1, Palazon I. ⚽, Diaz P. (A),
  • 71', Kutesa D. ↓, Eliasson N. ↑,
  • 77', Zini ↓, Gacinovic M. ↑,
  • 80', Palazon I. ↓, Mendy N. ↑,
  • 85', Pilios S. ↓, Pereyra R. ↑,
  • 90+1', Koita A. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Diaz P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


AEK Athens
45.7%		Draw
26.1%		Rayo Vallecano
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.8% 27.1% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 27.7% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
    •

    AEK Athens - Rayo Vallecano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.08 ↓
    (2.12)    		 3.63 ↑
    (3.51)    		 3.36 ↓
    (3.38)    		 5.4%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for AEK Athens - Rayo Vallecano?
  • Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. AEK will win (votes: 26 - 68.4%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 6 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for AEK: 53.6% – 83.2%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): AEK Athens will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 0-3. Second leg.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Rayo Vallecano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • AEK could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in AEK: Callens A. (Heart Problems) Grujic M. (Inactive) Joao Mario (Inactive) Jonsson J. (Inactive) Jovic L. (Yellow Cards) Ljubicic R. (Inactive) Sahabo H. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Martin C. (Inactive) Mendez D. (Knee Injury) Mumin A. (Inactive) Nteka R. (Inactive) Perez F. (Inactive) Vertrouwd J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in AEK: Mantalos P. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, AEK won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AEK Athens - Rayo Vallecano were as follows:
    09.04.2026 Rayo Vallecano - AEK Athens 3:0
    Latest results of AEK Athens
    09.04.2026 Rayo Vallecano - AEK Athens 3:0 ✺
    05.04.2026 Olympiacos Piraeus - AEK Athens 0:1 ✺
    22.03.2026 AEK Athens - AE Kifisia 3:0 ✺
    19.03.2026 AEK Athens - Celje 0:2 ✺
    15.03.2026 Atromitos Athens - AEK Athens 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
    12.04.2026 Mallorca - Rayo Vallecano 3:0 ✺
    09.04.2026 Rayo Vallecano - AEK Athens 3:0 ✺
    03.04.2026 Rayo Vallecano - Elche 1:0 ✺
    22.03.2026 Barcelona - Rayo Vallecano 1:0 ✺
    19.03.2026 Rayo Vallecano - Samsunspor 0:1 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)2 : 1, 1 : 3
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)4 : 0, 2 : 1
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)2 : 1, 0 : 0
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)2 : 1, 2 : 1
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)1 : 0, 1 : 3
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)2 : 0, 0 : 4
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)1 : 1, 1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Shakhtar Donetsk (6)AZ Alkmaar (14)2 : 2, 3 : 0
    2Crystal Palace (10)Fiorentina (15)1 : 2, 3 : 0
    3Rayo Vallecano (5)AEK Athens (3)1 : 3, 3 : 0
    4Mainz (7)Strasbourg (1)0 : 4, 2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Crystal Palace (10)
    2Rayo Vallecano (5)Strasbourg (1)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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