Result
2:1
25/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 14
- Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.94 | 0.85 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 58% (189/324) | 58% (190/327) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.94 | 0.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.21 | 1.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 58% (189/324) | 58% (190/327) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (28/99) | 27% (24/88) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 40% (40/99) | 48% (55/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/23) | 18% (5/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (14/30) | 50% (10/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 84 | 70 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.07 | 3.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | 1.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Henderson A. ⚽, Brown C. (A),
- 22', Davies W. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 57', McCann L. ↓, Roberts L. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 1, Graydon R. ⚽,
- 65', Davies W. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
- 65', Virtue-Thick M. ↓, Helm M. ↑,
- 67', Henderson A. 🟨,
- 68', Henderson A. ↓, Caton C. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 1, Evans C. ⚽, Graydon R. (A),
- 73', Brown C. ↓, O'Brien C. ↑,
- 74', O'Brien C. 🟨,
- 81', Coyle L. 🟨,
- 83', Matthews D. ↓, Sass F. ↑,
- 84', Coyle L. ↓, Bauress J. ↑,
- 84', Sinclair I. ↓, Woods J. ↑,
- 86', Graydon R. ↓, Norwood J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fleetwood Town
46.4% | Draw
26.9% | Accrington Stanley
26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Fleetwood Town - Accrington Stanley Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↑
(1.92) |
3.47 ↓
(3.49) |
3.55 ↓
(3.71) |
6.6%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fleetwood Town - Accrington Stanley?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Fleetwood (votes: 1 - 50%). Accrington (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Fleetwood Town will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 20).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 3.
- Fleetwood is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Accrington's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Accrington has had a series of home games.
- Fleetwood might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Fleetwood: Potter F.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Accrington: Whalley S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Fleetwood: Johnson W.
(Inactive)
Rooney S.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Accrington: Walton T.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 32:31. (average 1.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fleetwood won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 1.6:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Accrington Stanley?
Fleetwood Town has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Accrington Stanley won against Fleetwood Town?
Accrington Stanley has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fleetwood Town - Accrington Stanley were as follows:
02.09.2025
Fleetwood Town
-
Accrington Stanley
2:2
01.04.2025
Accrington Stanley
-
Fleetwood Town
1:4
16.12.2024
Fleetwood Town
-
Accrington Stanley
1:1
15.04.2023
Accrington Stanley
-
Fleetwood Town
2:5
29.10.2022
Fleetwood Town
-
Accrington Stanley
3:0
Latest results of Fleetwood Town
Latest results of Accrington Stanley
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 23:15 | 8 | 29 |
| 2 | Swindon | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 26:20 | 6 | 29 |
| 3 | Notts Co | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27:16 | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | Salford | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 26 |
| 5 | MK Dons | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 29:17 | 12 | 25 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 29:20 | 9 | 25 |
| 7 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 20:14 | 6 | 25 |
| 8 | Crewe | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23:19 | 4 | 25 |
| 9 | Bromley | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 23:18 | 5 | 24 |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 27:24 | 3 | 24 |
| 11 | Barnet | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20:17 | 3 | 22 |
| 12 | Cambridge Utd | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 22 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22:22 | 0 | 22 |
| 14 | Oldham | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 19 |
| 15 | Barrow | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15:17 | -2 | 19 |
| 16 | Colchester | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21:20 | 1 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14:26 | -12 | 17 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 23:22 | 1 | 16 |
| 19 | Crawley | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:23 | -7 | 15 |
| 20 | Accrington | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16:20 | -4 | 14 |
| 21 | Harrogate | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15:24 | -9 | 14 |
| 22 | Cheltenham | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 11:27 | -16 | 14 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13:25 | -12 | 13 |
| 24 | Newport | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 16:27 | -11 | 11 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
