Result
0:4
17/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 38
- Referee: Yates O. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 2.52 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (189/307) | 76% (364/480) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 2.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 3.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (189/307) | 76% (364/480) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (22/74) | 30% (19/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (48/89) | 60% (65/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 15% (4/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.78 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 35 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 27% (3/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.81 | 1.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.19 | 1.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 9', 0 - 1, Jones J. ⚽, Tangen H. (A),
- 23', Tsaroulla N. 🟨,
- 31', 0 - 2, Bennetts K. ⚽, Grant C. (A),
- 38', Grant C. ↓, Conneely S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Sass F. ↓, Martin D. ↑,
- 68', 0 - 3, Grant C. ⚽,
- 70', Bennetts K. ↓, Hall T. ↑,
- 70', Tangen H. ↓, Jatta A. ↑,
- 73', Madden P. ↓, Sinclair I. ↑,
- 73', Whalley S. ↓, Abimbola D. ↑,
- 77', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Kouhyar Q. ↑,
- 77', Bedeau J. ↓, Ness L. ↑,
- 77', Palmer M. ↓, Browne L. ↑,
- 83', 0 - 4, Hall T. ⚽, Jatta A. (A),
- 88', Martin D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Accrington Stanley
23.2% | Draw
28.4% | Notts County
48.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Accrington Stanley - Notts County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4 ↑
(3.3) |
3.29 ↑
(3.2) |
1.95 ↓
(2.1) |
6.8%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Notts County?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Notts County will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 35.9% – 97.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Notts County (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.5 - Accrington (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Accrington (votes: 1 - 50%). Notts County (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 1.
- Accrington is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Notts County has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Notts County is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Accrington: Coyle L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Notts County: Bedeau J.
(Yellow Cards)
Dennis M.
(Yellow Cards)
Luker J.
(Inactive)
Norburn O.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Accrington: Mooney K.
(Inactive)
Sinclair I.
(Inactive)
Walton T.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Accrington Stanley won against Notts County?
Accrington Stanley has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Accrington Stanley?
Notts County has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Notts County were as follows:
01.01.2026
Notts County
-
Accrington Stanley
0:1
18.01.2025
Accrington Stanley
-
Notts County
0:3
07.09.2024
Notts County
-
Accrington Stanley
2:0
16.03.2024
Accrington Stanley
-
Notts County
2:2
02.09.2023
Notts County
-
Accrington Stanley
3:1
Latest results of Accrington Stanley
Latest results of Notts County
English League Two Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley ✔ | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
| 2 | MK Dons ✔ | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One
