Result
3:6
23/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4 |
 Germany | NHL.tv |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Mexico | Disney+, Sky Sport |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Slovakia | Dajto, Voyo |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Ukraine | Setanta Sports+ |
 United-kingdom | DAZN, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | NHL.tv |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 21 | 31 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 14.29% (3/21) | 19.35% (6/31) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 83.33% (25/30) | 85.71% (18/21) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 0% (0/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 100% (1/1) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 29 | 21 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 58 | 42 |
| Giveaways |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Takeaways |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 2)
- 01:06, 0 - 1, Eichel J. (G), Stone M. (A), Barbashev I. (A2)
- 04:31, 0 - 2, Kolesar K. (G), Rondbjerg J. (A), Smith R. (A2)
- 07:01, Laughton S. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (3 - 2)
- 00:13, 1 - 2, Tavares J. (G), Knies M. (A), Maccelli M. (A2)
- 03:32, 1 - 3, Dorofeyev P. (G),
- 05:16, 1 - 4, Bowman B. (G), Laczynski T. (A), Holtz A. (A2)
- 10:04, 2 - 4, Laughton S. (G), Knies M. (A),
- 18:19, 3 - 4, McMann B. (G), Domi M. (A), Rielly M. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 2)
- 12:37, Hertl T. (2 min),
- 15:11, 3 - 5, Stone M. (G), Barbashev I. (A),
- 18:59, 3 - 6, Stone M. (G), Eichel J. (A), Andersson R. (A2)
Chances of winning
Toronto Maple Leafs
36.2% | Draw
23% | Vegas Golden Knights
40.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Vegas Golden Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vegas Golden Knights than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Toronto Maple Leafs - Vegas Golden Knights Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.61 ↑
(2.59) |
4.14 ↑
(4.08) |
2.34
(2.34) |
5.2%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
What is the prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs - Vegas Golden Knights?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Vegas will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Toronto (votes: 3 - 50%). Vegas (votes: 3 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- H/A, 3rd Period - Toronto (1.99) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 6, OT - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Toronto (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Vegas (votes: 3 - 37.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:4.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 2.
- Toronto has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Vegas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Vegas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Toronto: Joshua D.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Nylander W.
(Groin Injury)
Tanev C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There will not play in Vegas: Hart C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Howden B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Karlsson W.
(Lower-Body Injury)
McNabb B.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Pietrangelo A.
(Hip Injury)
Saad B.
(Injury)
Sissons C.
(Upper-Body Injury)
- There are questionable in Toronto: Ekman-Larsson O.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 51:48. (average 3.4:3.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:15. (average 3:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto Maple Leafs won against Vegas Golden Knights?
Toronto Maple Leafs has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vegas Golden Knights won against Toronto Maple Leafs?
Vegas Golden Knights has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Maple Leafs - Vegas Golden Knights were as follows:
15.01.2026
Vegas Golden Knights
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
6:5
05.03.2025
Vegas Golden Knights
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
5:2
20.11.2024
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Vegas Golden Knights
3:0
27.02.2024
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Vegas Golden Knights
2:6
22.02.2024
Vegas Golden Knights
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
3:7
Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
Latest results of Vegas Golden Knights
NHL Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Colorado Avalanche | 60 | 38 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 230:149 | 91 |
| 2 | Dallas Stars | 61 | 31 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 212:165 | 85 |
| 3 | Minnesota Wild | 62 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 209:180 | 82 |
| 4 | Vegas Golden Knights | 62 | 21 | 8 | 14 | 19 | 205:197 | 72 |
| 5 | Anaheim Ducks | 61 | 20 | 14 | 3 | 24 | 205:212 | 71 |
| 6 | Utah Mammoth | 62 | 26 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 196:169 | 70 |
| 7 | Edmonton Oilers | 62 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 24 | 220:210 | 68 |
| 8 | Seattle Kraken | 61 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 173:179 | 67 |
| 9 | San Jose Sharks | 59 | 18 | 12 | 4 | 25 | 186:207 | 64 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Kings | 61 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 160:182 | 64 |
| 11 | Nashville Predators | 62 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 185:213 | 64 |
| 12 | Winnipeg Jets | 61 | 21 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 175:187 | 60 |
| 13 | Chicago Blackhawks | 61 | 18 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 163:195 | 56 |
| 14 | St. Louis Blues | 61 | 22 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 159:210 | 55 |
| 15 | Calgary Flames | 61 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 150:185 | 55 |
| 16 | Vancouver Canucks | 61 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 36 | 157:230 | 43 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Carolina Hurricanes | 61 | 29 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 214:175 | 84 |
| 2 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 60 | 29 | 9 | 4 | 18 | 211:162 | 80 |
| 3 | Buffalo Sabres | 62 | 31 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 214:184 | 80 |
| 4 | Detroit Red Wings | 62 | 24 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 185:187 | 77 |
| 5 | Montreal Canadiens | 60 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 213:200 | 75 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 61 | 27 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 205:180 | 75 |
| 7 | New York Islanders | 63 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 23 | 186:182 | 75 |
| 8 | Boston Bruins | 61 | 26 | 8 | 5 | 22 | 205:194 | 73 |
| 9 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 61 | 22 | 10 | 8 | 21 | 196:193 | 72 |
| 10 | Ottawa Senators | 61 | 24 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 205:194 | 69 |
| 11 | Washington Capitals | 63 | 26 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 199:189 | 69 |
| 12 | Philadelphia Flyers | 61 | 19 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 177:191 | 67 |
| 13 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 63 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 200:221 | 65 |
| 14 | New Jersey Devils | 62 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 29 | 160:186 | 64 |
| 15 | Florida Panthers | 62 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 188:209 | 63 |
| 16 | New York Rangers | 61 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 166:192 | 56 |
Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )
