Minnesota Wild vs Toronto Maple Leafs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:4
15/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Extra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3826
Shots off target
219
Shooting PCT
5.26% (2/38)15.38% (4/26)
Blocked shots
2813
Goalkeeper Saves
2236
Saves PCT
88% (22/25)94.74% (36/38)
Penalties
34
PIM
68
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/4)0% (0/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (3/3)100% (4/4)
Hits
2113
Faceoffs Won
2629
Faceoffs %
47.2752.73
Giveaways
1623
Takeaways
64
Empty Net Goals
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 3)
  • 01:07, 0 - 1, Rielly M. (G), Maccelli M. (A), Tavares J. (A2)
  • 02:19, 0 - 2, Groulx B. (G), Stecher T. (A), Robertson N. (A2)
  • 08:18, 0 - 3, Groulx B. (G),
  • 09:29, Jarnkrok C. (2 min),
  • 14:13, Zuccarello M. (2 min),
  • 14:13, Carlo B. (2 min),
  • 15:05, Kaprizov K. (2 min),
  • 15:05, McCabe J. (2 min),
  • 17:18, Trenin Y. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (2 - 1)
  • 04:51, 1 - 3, Tarasenko V. (G), Zuccarello M. (A), Hartman R. (A2)
  • 05:14, 2 - 3, Tarasenko V. (G), Hartman R. (A), Zuccarello M. (A2)
  • 11:22, Robertson N. (2 min),
  • 19:23, 2 - 4, Knies M. (G),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Minnesota Wild
57.6%
Draw
20.5%
Toronto Maple Leafs
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.8% 22.6% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 22.5% 29.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Minnesota Wild has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Minnesota Wild's performance.
  • Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toronto Maple Leafs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota Wild than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Minnesota Wild that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toronto Maple Leafs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Minnesota Wild - Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.98)
    4.64
    (4.19)
    4.29
    (3.19)
    5.5%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    What is the prediction for Minnesota Wild - Toronto Maple Leafs?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Toronto will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 39.2%89.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1.5, OT - Minnesota (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 6 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, OT - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Minnesota Wild will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 3.
    • Recent performances by Minnesota have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Toronto's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Minnesota may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Minnesota is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Minnesota: Foligno M. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Matthews A. (Knee Injury) Tanev C. (Abdominal strain)
    • There are questionable in Minnesota: Brink B. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 52:54. (average 2.6:2.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 2.4:2.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Minnesota Wild - Toronto Maple Leafs were as follows:
    19.01.2026 Toronto Maple Leafs - Minnesota Wild 3:6
    29.01.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Minnesota Wild 1:3
    03.11.2024 Minnesota Wild - Toronto Maple Leafs 2:1
    19.11.2023 Minnesota Wild - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:4
    14.10.2023 Toronto Maple Leafs - Minnesota Wild 7:4
    Latest results of Minnesota Wild
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche ✔ 814771116300:203119
    2Dallas Stars ✔ 8238121220279:226112
    3Minnesota Wild ✔ 8231151224272:240104
    4Vegas Golden Knights ✔ 823091726265:25095
    5Utah Mammoth ✔ 813310632265:23592
    6Edmonton Oilers ✔ 813191130276:26891
    7Anaheim Ducks ✔ 812517633268:28490
    8Los Angeles Kings ✔ 8122132026224:24490
    9Nashville Predators8128101033243:26486
    10San Jose Sharks812612835245:29184
    11St. Louis Blues813241233226:25584
    12Winnipeg Jets812871234230:25482
    13Seattle Kraken812681136226:26179
    14Calgary Flames81267939209:25875
    15Chicago Blackhawks822271439213:27572
    16Vancouver Canucks811510848215:31058


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes ✔ 823914722296:240113
    2Buffalo Sabres ✔ 82428923288:241109
    3Tampa Bay Lightning ✔ 824010626290:231106
    4Montreal Canadiens ✔ 8234141024283:256106
    5Boston Bruins ✔ 8233121027272:250100
    6Ottawa Senators ✔ 823861127278:24699
    7Pittsburgh Penguins ✔ 823471625293:26898
    8Philadelphia Flyers ✔ 8227161227250:24398
    9Washington Capitals82376930263:24495
    10Detroit Red Wings8230111031241:25892
    11Columbus Blue Jackets8228121230253:25392
    12New York Islanders822914534233:24191
    13New Jersey Devils822913337230:25487
    14Florida Panthers82328438251:27684
    15Toronto Maple Leafs822391436253:29978
    16New York Rangers82259939238:25077

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Colorado Avalanche is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Dallas Stars is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Minnesota Wild is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Vegas Golden Knights is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Utah Mammoth is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Edmonton Oilers is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Anaheim Ducks is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Los Angeles Kings is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Carolina Hurricanes is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Buffalo Sabres is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Tampa Bay Lightning is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Montreal Canadiens is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Boston Bruins is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Ottawa Senators is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Pittsburgh Penguins is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Philadelphia Flyers is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )