Result
2:1
28/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.76 | 1.47 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (349/429) | 60% (156/258) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.76 | 1.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.53 | 1.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 47 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (349/429) | 60% (156/258) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (25/49) | 29% (21/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (113/162) | 46% (37/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (12/39) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.87 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 6 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 52 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.68 | 3.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', Stanic J. 🟨,
- 21', 0 - 1, Kasami P. ⚽, Citherlet T. (A),
- 28', Kapino S. 🟨,
- 38', Muhl L. 🟨,
- 38', Boukhalfa C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 39', Sidler S. 🟨,
- 45+2', Kasami P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 50', Ulrich D. 🟨,
- 62', Ulrich D. ↓, Rohner F. ↑,
- 63', Golliard T. ↓, Burkart N. ↑,
- 66', Balde A. ↓, Besio D. ↑,
- 68', Rohner F. 🟨,
- 77', 1 - 1, Vogt A. ⚽,
- 82', Witzig C. ↓, Weibel N. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 1, Vogt A. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
St. Gallen
76% | Draw
14.6% | Winterthur
9.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Gallen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St. Gallen's performance.Winterthur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Gallen than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Winterthur than the current prediction. (+2%)
St. Gallen - Winterthur Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.24 ↓
(1.31) |
6.36 ↑
(5.51) |
9.9 ↑
(7.61) |
6.3%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for St. Gallen - Winterthur?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. St. Gallen will win (votes: 9 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Gallen: 100% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2.5 - St. Gallen (2.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - St. Gallen (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): St. Gallen will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. St. Gallen (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Gallen won 2.
- St. Gallen is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Winterthur has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- St. Gallen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, St. Gallen is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in St. Gallen: Buttiker P.
(Injury)
Dumrath B.
(Back Injury)
Fazliji B.
(Knee Injury)
Gaal T.
(Inactive)
Neziri B.
(Knee Injury)
Owusu E.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Winterthur: Dansoko B.
(Inactive)
Diaby S.
(Inactive)
Luthi L.
(Thigh Injury)
Momoh F.
(Inactive)
Stillhart B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Winterthur: Kasami P.
(Inactive)
Sidler S.
(Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, St. Gallen won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 42:34. (average 2.2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, St. Gallen won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:19. (average 3:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has St. Gallen won against Winterthur?
St. Gallen has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Winterthur won against St. Gallen?
Winterthur has won 7 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. Gallen - Winterthur were as follows:
18.02.2026
Winterthur
-
St. Gallen
1:5
09.08.2025
St. Gallen
-
Winterthur
5:0
10.05.2025
St. Gallen
-
Winterthur
1:4
01.03.2025
Winterthur
-
St. Gallen
4:0
30.10.2024
St. Gallen
-
Winterthur
2:2
Latest results of St. Gallen
Latest results of Winterthur
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun ✔ | 27 | 21 | 1 | 5 | 62:29 | 33 | 64 |
| 2 | St. Gallen | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 53:33 | 20 | 50 |
| 3 | Lugano | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43:32 | 11 | 46 |
| 4 | Basel | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 41:35 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | Sion | 27 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 39:30 | 9 | 41 |
| 6 | Young Boys | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 55:52 | 3 | 39 |
| 7 | Luzern | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 53:51 | 2 | 33 |
| 8 | Zurich | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 39:53 | -14 | 31 |
| 9 | Lausanne | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 40:44 | -4 | 30 |
| 10 | Servette | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 44:51 | -7 | 29 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 35:47 | -12 | 24 |
| 12 | Winterthur ✔ | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 30:77 | -47 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Thun is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Winterthur is Super League (Relegation Group )
