Winterthur vs Zürich – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
02/05/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Relegation Group - Round 35
  • Referee: Cibelli L. (Sui)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.821.85
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
1816
Shots on target
65
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
63
Passes
72% (224/311)80% (255/320)
Yellow cards
34
Expected goals (xG)
1.821.85
xG on target (xGOT)
2.591.49
Total shots
1816
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
65
Blocked shots
66
Shots inside the box
1111
Shots outside the box
75
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2824
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free kicks
1814
Passes
72% (224/311)80% (255/320)
Long passes
36% (17/47)53% (27/51)
Passes in final third
56% (45/81)75% (86/114)
Crosses
26% (6/23)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.990.94
Throw ins
3020
Fouls
1418
Tackles
68% (15/22)100% (4/4)
Duels won
6445
Clearances
2637
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
34
xGOT faced
1.492.59
Goals prevented
-0.510.59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 1', Kasami P. 🟨,
  • 23', 0 - 1, Perea J. , Keny P. P. (A),
  • 25', 1 - 1, Kasami P. , Rohner F. (A),
  • 30', Palacio N. 🟨,
  • 32', Cueni S. 🟨,
  • 37', Walker S. 🟨,
  • 39', Perea J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Smith R. , Diaby S. ,
  • 61', Walker S. , Sauter I. ,
  • 61', Di Giusto N. , Krasniqi B. ,
  • 69', 1 - 2, Keny P. P. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 70', Rohner F. , Ulrich D. ,
  • 70', Cueni S. , Buess R. ,
  • 70', Burkart N. , Schneider R. ,
  • 70', Perea J. , Emmanuel U. ,
  • 70', Hodza S. , Comenencia L. ,
  • 78', Kasami P. , Maksutaj L. ,
  • 86', Cavaleiro I. , Vujevic D. ,
  • 90', Hunziker A. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Huber S. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 2 - 2, Hunziker A. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Winterthur
36.6%
Draw
25.6%
Zürich
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.2% 25.1% 43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8% 24.8% 44.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Winterthur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Winterthur's performance.
  • Zürich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zürich might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Winterthur than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Winterthur that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zürich than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zürich could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Winterthur - Zürich Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.61
    (2.97)
    3.68
    (3.7)
    2.45
    (2.12)
    6.2%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Winterthur - Zürich?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Winterthur will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Zürich will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 0.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Winterthur: Kryeziu M. (Injury) Stillhart B. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Zürich: Kablan C. (Injury) Segura J. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 2 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:37. (average 1:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Winterthur won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:15. (average 0.6:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Winterthur - Zürich were as follows:
    11.02.2026 Zürich - Winterthur 3:0
    13.12.2025 Zürich - Winterthur 2:2
    30.08.2025 Winterthur - Zürich 1:3
    13.05.2025 Zürich - Winterthur 4:1
    05.04.2025 Winterthur - Zürich 0:0
    Latest results of Winterthur
    26.04.2026 Servette - Winterthur 5:3
    11.04.2026 Winterthur - Grasshoppers 0:2
    22.03.2026 Winterthur - Basel 0:2
    Latest results of Zürich
    25.04.2026 Lausanne-Sport - Zürich 3:0
    11.04.2026 Zürich - Lugano 0:1
    06.04.2026 St. Gallen - Zürich 2:1
    21.03.2026 Zürich - Thun 2:1
    14.03.2026 Zürich - Sion 1:2
    Swiss Super League Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Thun35242976:413574
    2St. Gallen35189866:442263
    3Lugano35189852:381463
    4Sion351513756:352158
    5Basel351681154:48656
    6Young Boys351391366:63348

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )